marcusvinicius Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YesPolitics 3,768.42 shares	26.2¢ / 23.9¢	-$81.3 (-6.5%)	$1.22K · 18	$272 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:29 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	1.6¢ / 0.0¢	$223 (33.5%)	$644 · 13	$891 · 3	$0	Jul 10, 2026 1:16 AM
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	0.1¢ / 0.0¢	$148 (97.2%)	$150 · 33	$300 · 44	$0	Jul 4, 2026 4:00 AM
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? WonYesSports	54.8¢ / 100.0¢	$144 (78.8%)	$180 · 1	$327 · 1	$0	Jun 29, 2026 7:24 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET WonDownCrypto	30.3¢ / 100.0¢	$11.5 (229.7%)	$4.94 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:17 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	14.6¢ / 0.0¢	$6.1 (81.0%)	$7.37 · 2	$13.6 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 3:32 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET WonUpCrypto	43.6¢ / 100.0¢	$5.9 (117.9%)	$4.93 · 1	$10.9 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 6:51 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2? WonYesCrypto	79.2¢ / 100.0¢	$4.19 (13.5%)	$31 · 3	$35.1 · 3	$0	Mar 2, 2026 7:40 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	43.7¢ / 100.0¢	$2.54 (126.8%)	$1.97 · 1	$4.53 · 1	$0	Feb 21, 2026 7:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	82.5¢ / 100.0¢	$2.45 (20.1%)	$12.1 · 1	$14.6 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:02 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.71 (52.5%)	$3.25 · 1	$4.95 · 1	$0	Mar 3, 2026 12:45 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	47.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.65 (32.4%)	$4.92 · 1	$6.74 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 2:46 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET WonDownCrypto	90.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.52 (9.8%)	$15.5 · 1	$17.1 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:11 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	18.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.44 (71.9%)	$1.98 · 2	$3.44 · 3	$0	Feb 5, 2026 4:02 PM
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? Won80kCrypto	89.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.39 (9.2%)	$15.1 · 1	$16.5 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 8:14 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	50.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.35 (26.5%)	$4.92 · 1	$6.43 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 2:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET WonDownCrypto	48.8¢ / 100.0¢	$1.15 (23.1%)	$4.92 · 1	$6.15 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 3:16 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET WonDownCrypto	39.4¢ / 0.0¢	$1.12 (54.5%)	$1.97 · 1	$3.16 · 1	$0	Feb 21, 2026 7:21 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET WonUpCrypto	64.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.05 (52.6%)	$1.97 · 1	$3.05 · 1	$0	Feb 21, 2026 9:51 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	60.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.04 (20.5%)	$4.93 · 1	$6.1 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:15 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	68.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.95 (18.9%)	$4.94 · 1	$5.99 · 1	$0	Mar 3, 2026 3:01 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	85.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.89 (8.8%)	$9.96 · 1	$10.9 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 1:47 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET WonDownCrypto	86.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.73 (14.7%)	$4.98 · 1	$5.73 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:25 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET WonDownCrypto	51.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.63 (24.8%)	$2.46 · 1	$3.17 · 1	$0	Mar 2, 2026 5:20 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET WonDownCrypto	51.6¢ / 0.0¢	$0.6 (29.6%)	$1.97 · 1	$2.63 · 1	$0	Mar 3, 2026 12:56 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET WonUpCrypto	89.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.55 (11.0%)	$4.99 · 1	$5.54 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:21 PM

					Merge
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YesPolitics 3,768.42 shares	26.2¢ / 23.9¢	-$81.3 (-6.5%)	$1.22K · 18	$272 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:29 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	1.6¢ / 0.0¢	$223 (33.5%)	$644 · 13	$891 · 3	$0	Jul 10, 2026 1:16 AM
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	0.1¢ / 0.0¢	$148 (97.2%)	$150 · 33	$300 · 44	$0	Jul 4, 2026 4:00 AM
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? WonYesSports	54.8¢ / 100.0¢	$144 (78.8%)	$180 · 1	$327 · 1	$0	Jun 29, 2026 7:24 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET WonDownCrypto	30.3¢ / 100.0¢	$11.5 (229.7%)	$4.94 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:17 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	14.6¢ / 0.0¢	$6.1 (81.0%)	$7.37 · 2	$13.6 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 3:32 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET WonUpCrypto	43.6¢ / 100.0¢	$5.9 (117.9%)	$4.93 · 1	$10.9 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 6:51 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2? WonYesCrypto	79.2¢ / 100.0¢	$4.19 (13.5%)	$31 · 3	$35.1 · 3	$0	Mar 2, 2026 7:40 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	43.7¢ / 100.0¢	$2.54 (126.8%)	$1.97 · 1	$4.53 · 1	$0	Feb 21, 2026 7:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	82.5¢ / 100.0¢	$2.45 (20.1%)	$12.1 · 1	$14.6 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:02 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.71 (52.5%)	$3.25 · 1	$4.95 · 1	$0	Mar 3, 2026 12:45 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	47.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.65 (32.4%)	$4.92 · 1	$6.74 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 2:46 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET WonDownCrypto	90.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.52 (9.8%)	$15.5 · 1	$17.1 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:11 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	18.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.44 (71.9%)	$1.98 · 2	$3.44 · 3	$0	Feb 5, 2026 4:02 PM
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? Won80kCrypto	89.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.39 (9.2%)	$15.1 · 1	$16.5 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 8:14 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	50.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.35 (26.5%)	$4.92 · 1	$6.43 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 2:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET WonDownCrypto	48.8¢ / 100.0¢	$1.15 (23.1%)	$4.92 · 1	$6.15 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 3:16 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET WonDownCrypto	39.4¢ / 0.0¢	$1.12 (54.5%)	$1.97 · 1	$3.16 · 1	$0	Feb 21, 2026 7:21 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET WonUpCrypto	64.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.05 (52.6%)	$1.97 · 1	$3.05 · 1	$0	Feb 21, 2026 9:51 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	60.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.04 (20.5%)	$4.93 · 1	$6.1 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:15 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	68.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.95 (18.9%)	$4.94 · 1	$5.99 · 1	$0	Mar 3, 2026 3:01 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	85.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.89 (8.8%)	$9.96 · 1	$10.9 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 1:47 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET WonDownCrypto	86.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.73 (14.7%)	$4.98 · 1	$5.73 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:25 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET WonDownCrypto	51.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.63 (24.8%)	$2.46 · 1	$3.17 · 1	$0	Mar 2, 2026 5:20 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET WonDownCrypto	51.6¢ / 0.0¢	$0.6 (29.6%)	$1.97 · 1	$2.63 · 1	$0	Mar 3, 2026 12:56 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET WonUpCrypto	89.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.55 (11.0%)	$4.99 · 1	$5.54 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 7:21 PM

marcusvinicius Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$60.4

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$60.4

Open$340

High$340

Low$255

Close$279

Open positions1

USD balance$0

2-$12.2

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$12.2

Open$279

High$279

Low$230

Close$267

Open positions1

USD balance$196

3$26.4

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$26.4

Open$267

High$294

Low$238

Close$294

Open positions1

USD balance$196

4-$11.3

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$11.3

Open$294

High$294

Low$242

Close$282

Open positions1

USD balance$196

5-$11.3

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$11.3

Open$282

High$290

Low$241

Close$271

Open positions1

USD balance$196

6$7.54

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.54

Open$271

High$290

Low$215

Close$279

Open positions1

USD balance$196

7$0

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$279

High$279

Low$240

Close$279

Open positions1

USD balance$196

8$11.3

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$11.3

Open$279

High$290

Low$245

Close$290

Open positions1

USD balance$196

9-$26.4

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$26.4

Open$290

High$316

Low$252

Close$263

Open positions1

USD balance$196

10$26.4

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$26.4

Open$263

High$309

Low$256

Close$290

Open positions1

USD balance$196

11-$26.4

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$26.4

Open$290

High$305

Low$256

Close$263

Open positions1

USD balance$0

12$52.7

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$52.7

Open$263

High$316

Low$263

Close$316

Open positions1

USD balance$0

13$18.8

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$18.8

Open$316

High$373

Low$286

Close$335

Open positions1

USD balance$0

14$52.8

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$52.8

Open$335

High$392

Low$304

Close$388

Open positions1

USD balance$0

15$3.77

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.77

Open$388

High$392

Low$334

Close$392

Open positions1

USD balance$0

16-$24.8

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$24.8

Open$392

High$403

Low$356

Close$367

Open positions1

USD balance$0

17$70

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$70

Open$367

High$482

Low$367

Close$437

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18-$30.1

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$30.1

Open$437

High$437

Low$382

Close$407

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19-$3.77

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.77

Open$407

High$407

Low$374

Close$403

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20$26.4

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$26.4

Open$403

High$456

Low$336

Close$429

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21-$36.6

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$36.6

Open$429

High$429

Low$357

Close$393

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22-$61.4

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$61.4

Open$393

High$422

Low$304

Close$331

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23-$15.1

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$15.1

Open$331

High$346

Low$271

Close$316

Open positions1

USD balance$0

24-$15.1

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$15.1

Open$316

High$316

Low$271

Close$301

Open positions1

USD balance$0

25$7.62

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.62

Open$301

High$309

Low$271

Close$309

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26$22.5

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$22.5

Open$309

High$331

Low$293

Close$331

Open positions1

USD balance$0

27-$23.6

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$23.6

Open$331

High$339

Low$300

Close$308

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28$34.9

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$34.9

Open$308

High$343

Low$308

Close$343

Open positions1

USD balance$0

29-$3.77

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.77

Open$343

High$343

Low$299

Close$339

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $07D -$2830D -$0.96

Markets

Won

Lost

Combos

Win Rate

75.4%

Profit Factor

7.84x

Avg Win

$12.4

Avg Loss

-$4.84

Total Wins

$569

Total Losses

-$72.7

Avg. Hold Time

4d 7h 37m 24s

Best Win

$223

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Worst Loss

-$52.5

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Period

Best Period

$289, Jun 24 – Jun 30

Worst Period

-$142, May 8 – May 20

Longest Streak

4d W / 5d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$198 (-1193.2%)

Current DD

-$98 (-22.4%)

Max Runup

$618 (341.1%)

Rebates

$4.96(4)

Rewards

Yield

$0.15(12)

marcusvinicius

Analytics

Analytics

marcusvinicius

marcusvinicius

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

marcusvinicius

Trader DNA

Trader DNA