| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 58.82 net shares | 34.0¢ / 37.0¢ | $0.88 (8.8%) | May 10, 2026 5:59 PM | |
 claude-opus-4-7-thinking Yes 87.57 net shares | 2.4¢ / 0.6¢ | -$0.78 (-74.7%) | May 10, 2026 5:45 PM | |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No 0.01 net shares | 81.0¢ / 92.0¢ | $0 (13.6%) | May 10, 2026 5:40 PM | |
 <1.0% No 46.26 net shares | 64.8¢ / 61.2¢ | -$0.85 (-5.6%) | May 2, 2026 3:37 PM | |
 U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes 483.19 net shares | 82.8¢ / 74.0¢ | -$21.3 (-10.6%) | Apr 29, 2026 7:22 AM | |
 April 30 No 0.01 net shares | 95.1¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (5.0%) | Apr 29, 2026 6:06 AM | |
 Anthropic Yes 20.46 net shares | 19.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$2.01 (-100.0%) | Apr 28, 2026 10:34 PM | |
 25 bps Increase No 54.12 net shares | 18.5¢ / 18.0¢ | -$0.13 (-2.6%) | Apr 28, 2026 10:21 PM | |
 Meta Yes 2,000.00 net shares | 0.1¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | Apr 28, 2026 8:05 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No 0.01 net shares | 94.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (6.3%) | Apr 28, 2026 7:25 AM | |
 claude-opus-4-7-thinking Yes 163.10 net shares | 61.3¢ / 0.0¢ | -$50 (-100.0%) | Apr 28, 2026 7:24 AM | |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No 266.67 net shares | 75.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $24 (24.0%) | Apr 19, 2026 9:36 AM |
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