kabutack Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? YesSports 2.41 shares	83.4¢ / 84.0¢	$0.01 (0.7%)	$2 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 6:19 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? NoCrypto 1.92 shares	53.7¢ / 98.0¢	$0.85 (82.3%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 5:57 AM
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? YesSports 23.26 shares	8.6¢ / 72.2¢	$14.8 (739.2%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 5:05 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? WonYesSports	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.04 (38.8%)	$13 · 9	$0	$0	Dec 9, 2025 2:29 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET WonUpCrypto	62.4¢ / 100.0¢	$4.81 (60.2%)	$7.89 · 4	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 9:15 AM
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 20… WonYesMentions	19.3¢ / 100.0¢	$4.18 (418.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 30, 2025 7:19 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET WonDownCrypto	42.4¢ / 100.0¢	$4.07 (135.6%)	$2.96 · 3	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 9:15 AM
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? WonYesFinance	21.7¢ / 100.0¢	$2.73 (264.7%)	$1 · 1	$3.76 · 1	$0	Jun 12, 2026 10:19 PM
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? WonYesMentions	28.4¢ / 100.0¢	$2.52 (251.9%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 8:38 AM
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix… WonYesSports	26.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.51 (243.4%)	$1 · 1	$3.53 · 1	$0	Jun 27, 2026 8:29 PM
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? WonNoSports	14.7¢ / 0.0¢	$2.49 (49.8%)	$5 · 4	$7.49 · 1	$0	Dec 7, 2025 7:56 PM
Will Kamala Harris say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Sh… WonNoMentions	29.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.45 (244.8%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 23, 2025 6:12 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET WonUpCrypto	71.1¢ / 100.0¢	$2.23 (40.6%)	$5.42 · 4	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 10:15 AM
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? WonYesSports	58.7¢ / 100.0¢	$2.13 (70.3%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 29, 2026 7:25 PM
Will Kimmel say "Trump" 10+ times during return show on September 23? WonNoMentions	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.13 (212.5%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 24, 2025 11:37 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET WonDownCrypto	50.1¢ / 100.0¢	$2.06 (99.5%)	$2 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 4, 2026 9:26 AM
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? WonNoTech	29.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.05 (173.0%)	$1 · 1	$3.23 · 1	$0	Jun 29, 2026 6:04 AM
Lions vs. Ravens WonLionsSports	33.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.03 (203.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 23, 2025 6:12 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET WonDownCrypto	59.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.02 (67.2%)	$2.96 · 3	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 9:15 AM
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance WonSpainSports	63.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.86 (58.5%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 19, 2026 10:29 PM
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? WonYesMentions	62.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.83 (61.1%)	$3 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 22, 2025 12:12 AM
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? WonYesSports	36.8¢ / 100.0¢	$1.72 (171.7%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 6, 2025 10:33 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET WonUpCrypto	54.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.71 (82.7%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026 4:36 PM
France vs. England: Team to Win WonEnglandSports	38.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.71 (159.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 18, 2026 11:20 PM
Will Japan vs. Paraguay end in a draw? WonYesSports	37.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.7 (170.3%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 10, 2025 5:12 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	10.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.7 (170.0%)	$1 · 1	$2.7 · 1	$0	Dec 10, 2025 10:19 PM
Will Kimmel say "Thank you" 10+ times during return show on September 23… WonYesMentions	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.63 (163.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 24, 2025 11:37 AM
Grokipedia released by October 31? WonNoTech	8.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.63 (162.5%)	$1 · 1	$2.63 · 1	$0	Oct 31, 2025 12:36 AM

					Merge
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? YesSports 2.41 shares	83.4¢ / 84.0¢	$0.01 (0.7%)	$2 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 6:19 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? NoCrypto 1.92 shares	53.7¢ / 98.0¢	$0.85 (82.3%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 5:57 AM
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? YesSports 23.26 shares	8.6¢ / 72.2¢	$14.8 (739.2%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 5:05 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? WonYesSports	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.04 (38.8%)	$13 · 9	$0	$0	Dec 9, 2025 2:29 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET WonUpCrypto	62.4¢ / 100.0¢	$4.81 (60.2%)	$7.89 · 4	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 9:15 AM
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 20… WonYesMentions	19.3¢ / 100.0¢	$4.18 (418.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 30, 2025 7:19 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET WonDownCrypto	42.4¢ / 100.0¢	$4.07 (135.6%)	$2.96 · 3	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 9:15 AM
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? WonYesFinance	21.7¢ / 100.0¢	$2.73 (264.7%)	$1 · 1	$3.76 · 1	$0	Jun 12, 2026 10:19 PM
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? WonYesMentions	28.4¢ / 100.0¢	$2.52 (251.9%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 8:38 AM
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix… WonYesSports	26.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.51 (243.4%)	$1 · 1	$3.53 · 1	$0	Jun 27, 2026 8:29 PM
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? WonNoSports	14.7¢ / 0.0¢	$2.49 (49.8%)	$5 · 4	$7.49 · 1	$0	Dec 7, 2025 7:56 PM
Will Kamala Harris say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Sh… WonNoMentions	29.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.45 (244.8%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 23, 2025 6:12 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET WonUpCrypto	71.1¢ / 100.0¢	$2.23 (40.6%)	$5.42 · 4	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 10:15 AM
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? WonYesSports	58.7¢ / 100.0¢	$2.13 (70.3%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 29, 2026 7:25 PM
Will Kimmel say "Trump" 10+ times during return show on September 23? WonNoMentions	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.13 (212.5%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 24, 2025 11:37 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET WonDownCrypto	50.1¢ / 100.0¢	$2.06 (99.5%)	$2 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 4, 2026 9:26 AM
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? WonNoTech	29.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.05 (173.0%)	$1 · 1	$3.23 · 1	$0	Jun 29, 2026 6:04 AM
Lions vs. Ravens WonLionsSports	33.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.03 (203.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 23, 2025 6:12 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET WonDownCrypto	59.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.02 (67.2%)	$2.96 · 3	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 9:15 AM
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance WonSpainSports	63.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.86 (58.5%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 19, 2026 10:29 PM
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? WonYesMentions	62.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.83 (61.1%)	$3 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 22, 2025 12:12 AM
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? WonYesSports	36.8¢ / 100.0¢	$1.72 (171.7%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 6, 2025 10:33 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET WonUpCrypto	54.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.71 (82.7%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026 4:36 PM
France vs. England: Team to Win WonEnglandSports	38.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.71 (159.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 18, 2026 11:20 PM
Will Japan vs. Paraguay end in a draw? WonYesSports	37.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.7 (170.3%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 10, 2025 5:12 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	10.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.7 (170.0%)	$1 · 1	$2.7 · 1	$0	Dec 10, 2025 10:19 PM
Will Kimmel say "Thank you" 10+ times during return show on September 23… WonYesMentions	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.63 (163.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 24, 2025 11:37 AM
Grokipedia released by October 31? WonNoTech	8.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.63 (162.5%)	$1 · 1	$2.63 · 1	$0	Oct 31, 2025 12:36 AM

kabutack Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.62

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.62

Open$8.7

High$11.8

Low$8.03

Close$9.32

Open positions7

USD balance$50.9

2-$0.13

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.13

Open$9.32

High$9.97

Low$8.73

Close$9.18

Open positions7

USD balance$51.9

3$0.07

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.07

Open$9.18

High$9.74

Low$8.74

Close$9.26

Open positions6

USD balance$51.9

4$2.22

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.22

Open$9.26

High$13

Low$9.1

Close$11.5

Open positions6

USD balance$52.5

5$2.14

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.14

Open$11.5

High$15.6

Low$10.8

Close$13.6

Open positions5

USD balance$55.2

6-$0.36

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.36

Open$13.6

High$14.5

Low$13.3

Close$13.3

Open positions5

USD balance$55.2

7-$1.5

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.5

Open$13.3

High$15.9

Low$11

Close$11.8

Open positions4

USD balance$54.1

8$0.22

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.22

Open$11.8

High$12.1

Low$11.4

Close$12

Open positions4

USD balance$54.1

9-$0.02

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open$12

High$12.8

Low$11.3

Close$12

Open positions4

USD balance$54.1

10$0.24

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.24

Open$12

High$12.4

Low$11.6

Close$12.2

Open positions4

USD balance$54.1

11-$2.98

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.98

Open$12.2

High$13.3

Low$8.92

Close$9.21

Open positions4

USD balance$0

12$0.03

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open$9.21

High$9.34

Low$8.77

Close$9.24

Open positions3

USD balance$0

13-$0.46

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.46

Open$9.24

High$9.27

Low$8.31

Close$8.78

Open positions3

USD balance$0

14$0.53

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.53

Open$8.78

High$9.38

Low$8.4

Close$9.31

Open positions3

USD balance$0

15-$0.34

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.34

Open$9.31

High$9.37

Low$8.86

Close$8.98

Open positions3

USD balance$0

16$0.31

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.31

Open$8.98

High$9.41

Low$8.76

Close$9.29

Open positions3

USD balance$0

17-$0.01

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open$9.29

High$9.52

Low$8.48

Close$9.28

Open positions6

USD balance$0

18$4.04

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.04

Open$9.28

High$13.9

Low$8.91

Close$13.3

Open positions5

USD balance$53.7

19$2.69

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.69

Open$13.3

High$16.5

Low$13

Close$16

Open positions4

USD balance$57.8

20$0.36

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.36

Open$16

High$16.9

Low$15.6

Close$16.4

Open positions4

USD balance$56.7

21-$0.51

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.51

Open$16.4

High$16.6

Low$15.9

Close$15.9

Open positions4

USD balance$0

22$0.8

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.8

Open$15.9

High$16.7

Low$15.8

Close$16.7

Open positions4

USD balance$0

23$1.05

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.05

Open$16.7

High$18

Low$16.1

Close$17.7

Open positions4

USD balance$58.2

24$0.12

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.12

Open$17.7

High$18.1

Low$17.1

Close$17.8

Open positions4

USD balance$0

25-$1.76

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.76

Open$17.8

High$18.6

Low$15.5

Close$16.1

Open positions4

USD balance$0

26$0.6

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.6

Open$16.1

High$17.5

Low$15.5

Close$16.7

Open positions4

USD balance$0

27$0.71

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.71

Open$16.7

High$17.5

Low$16.6

Close$17.4

Open positions4

USD balance$0

28-$0.32

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.32

Open$17.4

High$17.6

Low$16.6

Close$17.1

Open positions4

USD balance$0

29$0.22

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.22

Open$17.1

High$17.7

Low$16.6

Close$17.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

30$0.06

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.06

Open$17.3

High$17.7

Low$17.3

Close$17.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.097D -$0.3730D $8.02

Markets

338

Won

204

Lost

Combos

Win Rate

67.8%

Profit Factor

1.47x

Avg Win

$0.75

Avg Loss

-$1.06

Total Wins

$152

Total Losses

-$103

Avg. Hold Time

13d 4h 35m 38s

Best Win

$4.49

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Worst Loss

-$4.59

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Period

Best Period

$12.4, Mar 23 – Mar 29

Worst Period

-$9.5, Jun 25 – Jul 1

Longest Streak

6d W / 7d L

Current Streak

2d W

Max Drawdown

-$12.4 (-58.8%)

Current DD

-$3.75 (-17.8%)

Max Runup

$25.2 (615.6%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.02(21)

kabutack

Analytics

Analytics

kabutack

kabutack

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

kabutack

Trader DNA

Trader DNA