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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? NoPolitics 6,066.76 shares | 38.7¢ / 75.0¢ | $2.21K (93.7%) | $2.35K · 30 | $10.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 26, 2026 7:35 PM | |
 US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.05 shares | 83.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $184 (8.4%) | $2.2K · 3 | $2.38K · 16 | $0 | Feb 22, 2026 7:22 AM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 25.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $26.3K (284.4%) | $9.24K · 6 | $306 · 1 | $0 | Jan 3, 2026 3:50 PM | |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 41.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $18.6K (37.8%) | $49.1K · 33 | $42.3K · 18 | $0 | Mar 1, 2026 12:26 AM | |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 44.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.39K (16.6%) | $32.4K · 49 | $37.8K · 13 | $0 | Mar 4, 2026 12:58 AM | |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 64.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.44K (38.0%) | $11.7K · 38 | $16.1K · 34 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 6:15 AM | |
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 79.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.36K (16.7%) | $26.2K · 37 | $8.16K · 18 | $0 | Jan 27, 2026 12:32 PM | |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 29.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.33K (240.8%) | $1.8K · 2 | $6.13K · 1 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 12:34 AM | |
31.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.01K (185.6%) | $2.16K · 20 | $5.34K · 9 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 10:30 AM | ||
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 57.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.54K (50.7%) | $6.97K · 6 | $4.12K · 12 | $0 | May 16, 2026 10:43 AM | |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 36.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.8K (143.6%) | $1.95K · 15 | $4.75K · 9 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:22 AM | |
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 76.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.54K (20.0%) | $12.7K · 5 | $15.3K · 3 | $0 | Jan 19, 2026 7:06 AM | |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 56.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.53K (22.0%) | $11.5K · 47 | $4.87K · 14 | $0 | May 1, 2026 10:11 AM | |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 27.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.41K (8.9%) | $26.9K · 66 | $29.3K · 78 | $0 | Jan 5, 2026 12:34 AM | |
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 86.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.32K (11.1%) | $20.8K · 15 | $23.1K · 2 | $0 | Jan 15, 2026 7:11 AM | |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 76.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.29K (24.9%) | $9.18K · 51 | $3.99K · 6 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 8:05 AM | |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 62.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.1K (41.1%) | $5.11K · 15 | $2.37K · 1 | $0 | Apr 23, 2026 8:40 AM | |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? WonNoPolitics | 42.2¢ / 89.0¢ | $2.07K (111.0%) | $1.87K · 9 | $3.94K · 1 | $0 | May 3, 2026 4:58 PM | |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 68.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.99K (37.5%) | $5.31K · 10 | $7.3K · 4 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:15 AM | |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 47.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.91K (26.7%) | $7.16K · 26 | $9.07K · 3 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 8:08 PM | |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 68.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.9K (21.9%) | $8.67K · 13 | $4.57K · 80 | $0 | Apr 19, 2026 7:01 PM | |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? WonYesPolitics | 47.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.79K (111.7%) | $1.6K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:39 AM | |
 Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 34.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.61K (115.0%) | $1.4K · 3 | $533 · 1 | $0 | Apr 4, 2026 11:02 PM | |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30? WonNoPolitics | 38.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.59K (127.8%) | $1.24K · 12 | $2.83K · 17 | $0 | May 1, 2026 7:08 AM | |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 57.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.58K (22.6%) | $6.97K · 20 | $5.95K · 15 | $0 | Apr 22, 2026 8:55 AM | |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? WonYesPolitics | 47.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.42K (65.0%) | $2.19K · 6 | $589 · 3 | $0 | Oct 9, 2025 11:12 AM | |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 89.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.39K (11.9%) | $11.6K · 26 | $0 | $0 | Jan 13, 2026 1:09 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
506
Won
292
Lost
208
Win Rate
58.4%
Profit Factor
3.31x
Avg Win
$529
Avg Loss
-$224
Total Wins
$155K
Total Losses
-$46.7K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
