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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 135.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 20.1¢ | -$40.4 (-3.5%) | $1.16K | $0 | $1.09K | Jul 30, 2026 12:04 PM | |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? NoPolitics 135.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 79.9¢ | $40.4 (3.5%) | $1.16K | $0 | $1.09K | Jul 30, 2026 12:04 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
84.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.44K (16.3%) | $14.9K · 43 | $2.37K · 9 | $0 | Jun 13, 2025 12:33 AM | ||
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 51.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.28K (27.3%) | $8.33K · 30 | $10.6K · 6 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:16 AM | |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 62.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.51K (29.9%) | $5.06K · 13 | $6.57K · 2 | $0 | Oct 29, 2025 4:45 PM | |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 57.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.39K (45.7%) | $3.05K · 30 | $4.44K · 13 | $0 | Aug 8, 2025 10:08 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 77.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.39K (12.3%) | $11.3K · 5 | $8.9K · 12 | $0 | Jan 4, 2026 6:58 AM | |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? WonNoPolitics | 27.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.36K (28.6%) | $4.74K · 6 | $6.1K · 60 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 12:27 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? WonNoPolitics | 81.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.23K (14.4%) | $8.58K · 13 | $9.82K · 4 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 8:20 AM | |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 41.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $767 (22.8%) | $3.37K · 10 | $4.14K · 8 | $0 | Dec 19, 2025 5:43 AM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? WonNoPolitics | 93.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $725 (6.8%) | $10.6K · 42 | $1.23K · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2025 8:07 AM | |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30? WonYesPolitics | 27.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $664 (80.0%) | $830 · 10 | $1.03K · 8 | $0 | Sep 23, 2025 2:36 AM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? WonNoPolitics | 80.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $605 (15.3%) | $3.94K · 5 | $4.55K · 2 | $0 | Oct 1, 2025 6:32 AM | |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? WonNoPolitics | 73.7¢ / 89.0¢ | $582 (17.1%) | $3.41K · 1 | $4K · 7 | $0 | May 9, 2026 5:07 AM | |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31? WonYesPolitics | 37.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $568 (11.3%) | $5.03K · 17 | $5.6K · 8 | $0 | Nov 1, 2025 6:29 AM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 93.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $468 (3.8%) | $12.3K · 3 | $12.8K · 8 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 7:49 AM | |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August? WonYesPolitics | 52.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $457 (19.6%) | $2.34K · 13 | $2.79K · 17 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:20 AM | |
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31? WonNoPolitics | 83.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $416 (16.5%) | $2.52K · 1 | $2.94K · 3 | $0 | Nov 1, 2025 6:11 AM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? WonNoPolitics | 82.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $248 (7.3%) | $3.39K · 1 | $3.64K · 1 | $0 | Sep 1, 2025 6:09 AM | |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? WonNoPolitics | 83.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $214 (10.6%) | $2.02K · 5 | $2.24K · 3 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:49 AM | |
 Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31? WonYesPolitics | 41.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $210 (42.4%) | $495 · 1 | $705 · 1 | $0 | Aug 15, 2025 9:48 PM | |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran before July? WonNoPolitics | 95.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $206 (4.9%) | $4.22K · 5 | $1.1K · 13 | $0 | Jul 2, 2025 5:02 AM | |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 83.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $178 (19.6%) | $908 · 11 | $0 | $0 | Mar 1, 2026 9:26 AM | |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 24? WonYesPolitics | 60.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $170 (25.5%) | $666 · 10 | $836 · 7 | $0 | Jun 24, 2025 2:39 PM | |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? WonNoPolitics | 95.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $161 (2.8%) | $5.71K · 13 | $5.87K · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 8:03 AM | |
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31? WonYesPolitics | 14.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $150 (41.4%) | $362 · 6 | $511 · 5 | $0 | Sep 1, 2025 6:30 AM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 95.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $144 (4.7%) | $3.06K · 4 | $0 | $0 | Feb 4, 2026 6:59 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
89
Won
46
Lost
42
Win Rate
52.3%
Profit Factor
1.10x
Avg Win
$423
Avg Loss
-$421
Total Wins
$19.5K
Total Losses
-$17.7K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
