TheGreatMistake Polymarket Trader

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Explorer

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? YesPolitics 5.88 shares	17.0¢ / 6.2¢	-$0.64 (-63.5%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 7:38 PM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? YesPolitics 5.88 shares	17.0¢ / 10.0¢	-$0.41 (-41.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 7:22 PM
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? YesMentions 30.35 shares	23.1¢ / 1.4¢	$0 (-93.9%)	$7 · 3	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 3:09 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? WonYesMentions	47.3¢ / 100.0¢	$359 (111.1%)	$323 · 2	$682 · 1	$0	Feb 17, 2026 9:01 PM
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? WonYesMentions	22.0¢ / 100.0¢	$267 (173.9%)	$153 · 6	$420 · 8	$0	Mar 10, 2026 7:22 PM
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? WonNoMentions	57.7¢ / 100.0¢	$249 (70.7%)	$353 · 3	$602 · 2	$0	Feb 9, 2026 6:37 PM
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? WonYesMentions	33.2¢ / 100.0¢	$186 (182.4%)	$102 · 1	$288 · 2	$0	Mar 3, 2026 7:40 PM
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? WonYesMentions	20.6¢ / 100.0¢	$163 (379.5%)	$43 · 1	$206 · 1	$0	Mar 13, 2026 6:28 PM
Grok 4.20 released by January 31? WonNoTech	52.3¢ / 100.0¢	$146 (82.6%)	$177 · 3	$323 · 3	$0	Feb 1, 2026 12:12 PM
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	61.6¢ / 0.0¢	$141 (24.7%)	$457 · 5	$570 · 4	$0	Jan 30, 2026 2:20 PM
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026? WonYesMentions	37.4¢ / 100.0¢	$121 (120.6%)	$100 · 1	$221 · 1	$0	Feb 2, 2026 8:53 PM
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? WonNoMentions	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$113 (27.5%)	$413 · 1	$526 · 3	$0	Feb 6, 2026 9:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? WonYesMentions	10.4¢ / 100.0¢	$98.3 (192.6%)	$51.1 · 3	$149 · 3	$0	Mar 17, 2026 6:25 PM
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? WonNoMentions	79.2¢ / 100.0¢	$97.2 (7.7%)	$1.26K · 2	$1.36K · 11	$0	Feb 13, 2026 9:21 PM
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? WonYesMentions	3.5¢ / 0.0¢	$79.6 (530.5%)	$15 · 1	$94.6 · 1	$0	Mar 7, 2026 8:19 PM
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026? WonNoPolitics	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$72.2 (49.0%)	$147 · 2	$220 · 1	$0	Jan 26, 2026 7:25 AM
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? WonYesMentions	40.4¢ / 100.0¢	$67.4 (145.0%)	$46.4 · 2	$114 · 1	$0	Mar 18, 2026 7:11 PM
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? WonYesMentions	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$57.7 (22.2%)	$259 · 1	$317 · 1	$0	Feb 24, 2026 8:23 PM
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? WonYesMentions	12.0¢ / 100.0¢	$46.2 (1199.5%)	$3.85 · 1	$50 · 2	$0	Feb 27, 2026 8:56 PM
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026? WonNoPolitics	45.7¢ / 0.0¢	$42.5 (17.8%)	$239 · 5	$281 · 4	$0	Jan 8, 2026 3:39 PM
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m? WonYesCulture	85.0¢ / 100.0¢	$38.9 (14.1%)	$275 · 1	$314 · 14	$0	Jan 13, 2026 2:26 AM
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026? WonYesPolitics	23.3¢ / 0.0¢	$37.8 (-50.5%)	$232 · 3	$115 · 4	$0	Jan 16, 2026 2:06 AM
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? WonNoMentions	94.3¢ / 100.0¢	$33.9 (5.9%)	$573 · 1	$607 · 1	$0	Feb 17, 2026 2:58 PM
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? WonNoMentions	76.3¢ / 100.0¢	$28.9 (4.8%)	$603 · 1	$632 · 1	$0	Feb 13, 2026 9:21 PM
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? WonNoMentions	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$28.4 (5.2%)	$543 · 1	$572 · 1	$0	Feb 18, 2026 1:22 AM
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? WonYesMentions	2.4¢ / 0.0¢	$25.3 (212.9%)	$9.13 · 2	$28.6 · 1	$0	Mar 10, 2026 8:08 PM
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? WonYesMentions	12.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.1 (46.4%)	$45.5 · 1	$66.7 · 1	$0	Mar 7, 2026 8:20 PM
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? WonNoMentions	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17.6 (4.5%)	$394 · 1	$412 · 1	$0	Feb 4, 2026 9:26 PM

TheGreatMistake Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

June 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.04

Jun 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2$0.03

Jun 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3-$0.11

Jun 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.11

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4-$0.05

Jun 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5-$0.04

Jun 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6-$0.06

Jun 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.06

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7-$0

Jun 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8$0.1

Jun 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9-$0.09

Jun 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.09

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10$0.03

Jun 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11-$0.12

Jun 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12-$0.12

Jun 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$0.06

Jun 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.06

Open-$502

High-$502

Low-$502

Close-$502

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.067D -$0.1430D -$0.16

Markets

141

Won

Lost

Win Rate

60.5%

Profit Factor

1.97x

Avg Win

$51.6

Avg Loss

-$40.2

Total Wins

$2.53K

Total Losses

-$1.29K

Avg. Hold Time

3d 11h 56m 14s

Best Win

$359

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Worst Loss

-$672

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$274, Feb 8 – Feb 14

Worst Period

-$743, Feb 13 – Feb 19

Longest Streak

5d W / 9d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$1K (-200.4%)

Current DD

-$1K (-200.2%)

Max Runup

$604 (586.7%)

Rebates

Rewards

$2.18(2)

Yield

TheGreatMistake

Analytics

TheGreatMistake

Analytics

TheGreatMistake

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

TheGreatMistake

Trader DNA

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types