luceman Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 60.00 shares	29.4¢ / 19.0¢	-$6.25 (-35.4%)	$16.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 7:03 AM
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? NoCryptoRedeemable 51.00 shares	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.09 (0.2%)	$50.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 2, 2026 5:20 PM
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? NoCryptoRedeemable 55.00 shares	99.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.2 (0.4%)	$54.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:15 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? WonYesPolitics	0.5¢ / 0.3¢	$8.02 (26.7%)	$30 · 2	$38 · 7	$0	Jul 30, 2026 7:02 AM
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? WonYesPolitics	0.5¢ / 0.3¢	$7.47 (60.0%)	$12.5 · 1	$19.9 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 7:53 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? WonYesPolitics	87.4¢ / 100.0¢	$4.78 (0.1%)	$5.04K · 41	$5.05K · 23	$0	Nov 5, 2025 5:45 AM
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.87 (61.8%)	$6.27 · 1	$10.1 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:19 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? WonNoCrypto	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.48 (30.9%)	$11.3 · 1	$14.7 · 1	$0	Nov 1, 2025 6:09 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? WonYesCrypto	69.3¢ / 100.0¢	$3.37 (16.9%)	$20 · 3	$23.3 · 1	$0	May 4, 2026 4:27 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? WonYesCrypto	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.84 (25.0%)	$11.3 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 21, 2026 4:31 PM
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.7 (22.8%)	$11.8 · 1	$14.6 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:20 AM
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.61 (8.9%)	$29.4 · 1	$32 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.05 (26.3%)	$7.8 · 1	$9.85 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:28 AM
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? WonYesPolitics	0.5¢ / 0.6¢	$1.93 (20.0%)	$9.64 · 1	$11.6 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2026 7:51 AM
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? WonYesPolitics	0.5¢ / 0.9¢	$1.7 (7.4%)	$23 · 2	$24.7 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2026 7:55 AM
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? WonYesPolitics	0.6¢ / 0.7¢	$1.56 (8.3%)	$18.7 · 1	$20.2 · 5	$0	Jan 22, 2026 7:50 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	96.8¢ / 100.0¢	$1.2 (2.2%)	$54.1 · 2	$30 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:58 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.93 (6.7%)	$13.9 · 1	$14.9 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:24 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? WonNoCrypto	95.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.92 (4.4%)	$20.9 · 1	$21.8 · 1	$0	Nov 1, 2025 6:13 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.7 (2.2%)	$31 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 3, 2025 1:56 PM
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on N… WonYesFinance	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.61 (6.8%)	$9 · 1	$9.61 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 1:04 AM
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? WonYesTech	94.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.56 (5.6%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 3, 2025 1:56 PM
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? WonNoCrypto	96.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.54 (3.6%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:58 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 8-14? WonNoCrypto	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.5 (5.3%)	$9.5 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 31, 2025 5:05 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.4 (0.3%)	$144 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 6, 2026 9:50 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	98.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.39 (1.1%)	$34.4 · 1	$34.8 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? WonYesSports	41.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.36 (7.3%)	$5 · 1	$5.36 · 1	$0	Apr 25, 2026 11:29 PM
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.32 (4.0%)	$8 · 1	$8.32 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:24 AM

					Merge
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 60.00 shares	29.4¢ / 19.0¢	-$6.25 (-35.4%)	$16.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 7:03 AM
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? NoCryptoRedeemable 51.00 shares	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.09 (0.2%)	$50.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 2, 2026 5:20 PM
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? NoCryptoRedeemable 55.00 shares	99.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.2 (0.4%)	$54.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:15 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? WonYesPolitics	0.5¢ / 0.3¢	$8.02 (26.7%)	$30 · 2	$38 · 7	$0	Jul 30, 2026 7:02 AM
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? WonYesPolitics	0.5¢ / 0.3¢	$7.47 (60.0%)	$12.5 · 1	$19.9 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 7:53 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? WonYesPolitics	87.4¢ / 100.0¢	$4.78 (0.1%)	$5.04K · 41	$5.05K · 23	$0	Nov 5, 2025 5:45 AM
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.87 (61.8%)	$6.27 · 1	$10.1 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:19 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? WonNoCrypto	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.48 (30.9%)	$11.3 · 1	$14.7 · 1	$0	Nov 1, 2025 6:09 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? WonYesCrypto	69.3¢ / 100.0¢	$3.37 (16.9%)	$20 · 3	$23.3 · 1	$0	May 4, 2026 4:27 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? WonYesCrypto	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.84 (25.0%)	$11.3 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 21, 2026 4:31 PM
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.7 (22.8%)	$11.8 · 1	$14.6 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:20 AM
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.61 (8.9%)	$29.4 · 1	$32 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.05 (26.3%)	$7.8 · 1	$9.85 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:28 AM
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? WonYesPolitics	0.5¢ / 0.6¢	$1.93 (20.0%)	$9.64 · 1	$11.6 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2026 7:51 AM
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? WonYesPolitics	0.5¢ / 0.9¢	$1.7 (7.4%)	$23 · 2	$24.7 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2026 7:55 AM
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? WonYesPolitics	0.6¢ / 0.7¢	$1.56 (8.3%)	$18.7 · 1	$20.2 · 5	$0	Jan 22, 2026 7:50 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	96.8¢ / 100.0¢	$1.2 (2.2%)	$54.1 · 2	$30 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:58 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.93 (6.7%)	$13.9 · 1	$14.9 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:24 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? WonNoCrypto	95.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.92 (4.4%)	$20.9 · 1	$21.8 · 1	$0	Nov 1, 2025 6:13 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.7 (2.2%)	$31 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 3, 2025 1:56 PM
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on N… WonYesFinance	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.61 (6.8%)	$9 · 1	$9.61 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 1:04 AM
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? WonYesTech	94.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.56 (5.6%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 3, 2025 1:56 PM
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? WonNoCrypto	96.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.54 (3.6%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:58 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 8-14? WonNoCrypto	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.5 (5.3%)	$9.5 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 31, 2025 5:05 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.4 (0.3%)	$144 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 6, 2026 9:50 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	98.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.39 (1.1%)	$34.4 · 1	$34.8 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? WonYesSports	41.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.36 (7.3%)	$5 · 1	$5.36 · 1	$0	Apr 25, 2026 11:29 PM
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.32 (4.0%)	$8 · 1	$8.32 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:24 AM

luceman Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.54

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.54

Open-$26.5

High-$26.5

Low-$29.4

Close-$27.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2-$0.55

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.55

Open-$27.1

High-$27.1

Low-$29.5

Close-$27.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

3$0

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$27.6

High-$27

Low-$28.8

Close-$27.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

4-$0.05

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open-$27.6

High-$26.4

Low-$27.7

Close-$27.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

5$0.05

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.05

Open-$27.7

High-$27

Low-$28.3

Close-$27.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6$1.2

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.2

Open-$27.6

High-$26.4

Low-$28.8

Close-$26.4

Open positions3

USD balance$0

7-$1.25

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.25

Open-$26.4

High-$26.4

Low-$27.7

Close-$27.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

8-$0.07

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.07

Open-$27.7

High-$27

Low-$29.4

Close-$27.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

9$0.11

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.11

Open-$27.7

High-$27.6

Low-$29.4

Close-$27.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

10-$0.6

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.6

Open-$27.6

High-$27

Low-$29.4

Close-$28.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

11$0.6

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.6

Open-$28.2

High-$27

Low-$28.3

Close-$27.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

12-$0.62

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.62

Open-$27.6

High-$27

Low-$28.3

Close-$28.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

13-$0.57

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.57

Open-$28.3

High-$27.6

Low-$28.8

Close-$28.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

15$0.59

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.59

Open-$28.8

High-$27.6

Low-$29.4

Close-$28.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

16$0.6

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.6

Open-$28.2

High-$27.6

Low-$28.8

Close-$27.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

17-$1.86

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.86

Open-$27.6

High-$27.6

Low-$29.5

Close-$29.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

18$1.26

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.26

Open-$29.5

High-$28.2

Low-$29.5

Close-$28.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

19$0.96

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.96

Open-$28.2

High-$27.3

Low-$28.2

Close-$27.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

20-$1.55

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.55

Open-$27.3

High-$27.3

Low-$28.8

Close-$28.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

21$1.15

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.15

Open-$28.8

High-$26.4

Low-$28.8

Close-$27.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

22$1.85

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.85

Open-$27.7

High-$25.8

Low-$27.7

Close-$25.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

23-$2.37

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.37

Open-$25.8

High-$25.8

Low-$28.2

Close-$28.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

24$2.27

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.27

Open-$28.2

High-$25.8

Low-$28.4

Close-$25.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

25-$1.7

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.7

Open-$25.9

High-$25.9

Low-$28.5

Close-$27.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

26-$1.65

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.65

Open-$27.6

High-$27.6

Low-$29.3

Close-$29.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

27$0.46

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.46

Open-$29.3

High-$27.6

Low-$29.3

Close-$28.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28$0.59

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.59

Open-$28.8

High-$28.2

Low-$29.5

Close-$28.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29$1.2

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.2

Open-$28.2

High-$27

Low-$29.4

Close-$27

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $2.367D $0.5430D $0.05

Markets

115

Won

Lost

Win Rate

69.1%

Profit Factor

0.90x

Avg Win

$0.77

Avg Loss

-$1.92

Total Wins

$58.4

Total Losses

-$65.2

Avg. Hold Time

47d 22h 57m 17s

Best Win

$8.02

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Worst Loss

-$18.4

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$36, Apr 4 – Apr 10

Worst Period

-$39.3, Jan 30 – Feb 5

Longest Streak

6d W / 5d L

Current Streak

3d W

Max Drawdown

-$80.6 (-1052.5%)

Current DD

-$34.7 (-453.1%)

Max Runup

$54 (74.1%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.35(99)

luceman

Analytics

Analytics

luceman

luceman

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

luceman

Trader DNA

Trader DNA