Nostradamus0403 Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? YesPolitics 10.00 shares	23.0¢ / 6.0¢	-$1.9 (-41.3%)	$4.6 · 2	$2.1 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 6:09 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET DownCryptoRedeemable 19.97 shares	92.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.47 (8.0%)	$18.5 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 9:02 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET WonUpCrypto	85.3¢ / 100.0¢	$10.9 (17.2%)	$62.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 3:07 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	64.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (56.3%)	$18.9 · 5	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 12:58 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	79.5¢ / 100.0¢	$10.2 (25.7%)	$39.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 2:46 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	89.5¢ / 100.0¢	$4.14 (11.6%)	$35.6 · 3	$39.8 · 1	$0	Jan 21, 2026 2:19 PM
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? WonYesMentions	16.3¢ / 0.0¢	$3.06 (37.0%)	$8.29 · 5	$11.4 · 4	$0	Jan 16, 2026 6:07 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1PM ET WonUpCrypto	42.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.9 (138.1%)	$2.1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 26, 2025 6:56 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	71.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.79 (39.4%)	$7.02 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 8:59 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	93.5¢ / 100.0¢	$2.62 (7.0%)	$37.3 · 4	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 2:04 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.57 (34.7%)	$7.4 · 1	$9.97 · 1	$0	Jan 21, 2026 2:07 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET WonDownCrypto	76.6¢ / 100.0¢	$2.32 (30.5%)	$7.54 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 20, 2026 11:53 AM
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? WonYesMentions	7.6¢ / 0.0¢	$2.14 (42.8%)	$5 · 1	$7.14 · 1	$0	Jan 27, 2026 8:20 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	73.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.35 (37.0%)	$3.65 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 8:59 AM
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? WonYesMentions	18.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.9 (50.0%)	$1.8 · 1	$2.7 · 1	$0	Jan 16, 2026 8:29 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12PM ET WonUpCrypto	82.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.9 (21.8%)	$4.1 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Dec 20, 2025 7:34 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	93.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.69 (7.4%)	$9.29 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 22, 2026 2:14 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.4 (4.2%)	$9.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 20, 2026 11:53 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 12PM ET WonUpCrypto	62.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.35 (11.3%)	$3.1 · 1	$3.45 · 1	$0	Dec 20, 2025 7:34 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? WonNoPolitics	57.3¢ / 91.0¢	$0.31 (3.5%)	$8.78 · 3	$9.09 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 1:43 AM
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? WonYesPolitics	36.7¢ / 9.0¢	$0.3 (1.4%)	$22 · 6	$22.3 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 1:43 AM
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026? WonYesMentions	27.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.26 (25.9%)	$1 · 1	$1.25 · 1	$0	Jan 19, 2026 8:35 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (1.0%)	$9.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 20, 2026 11:53 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET WonDownCrypto	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.4%)	$9.92 · 1	$9.95 · 1	$0	Jan 21, 2026 2:07 PM
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? LostNoSports	61.8¢ / 0.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$6.18 · 1	$6.18 · 1	$0	Feb 9, 2026 7:18 AM
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? LostNoMentions	88.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$8.8 · 1	$8.8 · 1	$0	Jan 20, 2026 8:25 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? LostYesPolitics	98.1¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.01 (-0.1%)	$4.91 · 1	$4.9 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:52 PM

					Merge
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? YesPolitics 10.00 shares	23.0¢ / 6.0¢	-$1.9 (-41.3%)	$4.6 · 2	$2.1 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 6:09 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET DownCryptoRedeemable 19.97 shares	92.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.47 (8.0%)	$18.5 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 9:02 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET WonUpCrypto	85.3¢ / 100.0¢	$10.9 (17.2%)	$62.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 3:07 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	64.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (56.3%)	$18.9 · 5	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 12:58 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	79.5¢ / 100.0¢	$10.2 (25.7%)	$39.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 2:46 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	89.5¢ / 100.0¢	$4.14 (11.6%)	$35.6 · 3	$39.8 · 1	$0	Jan 21, 2026 2:19 PM
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? WonYesMentions	16.3¢ / 0.0¢	$3.06 (37.0%)	$8.29 · 5	$11.4 · 4	$0	Jan 16, 2026 6:07 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1PM ET WonUpCrypto	42.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.9 (138.1%)	$2.1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 26, 2025 6:56 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	71.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.79 (39.4%)	$7.02 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 8:59 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	93.5¢ / 100.0¢	$2.62 (7.0%)	$37.3 · 4	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 2:04 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.57 (34.7%)	$7.4 · 1	$9.97 · 1	$0	Jan 21, 2026 2:07 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET WonDownCrypto	76.6¢ / 100.0¢	$2.32 (30.5%)	$7.54 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 20, 2026 11:53 AM
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? WonYesMentions	7.6¢ / 0.0¢	$2.14 (42.8%)	$5 · 1	$7.14 · 1	$0	Jan 27, 2026 8:20 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	73.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.35 (37.0%)	$3.65 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 8:59 AM
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? WonYesMentions	18.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.9 (50.0%)	$1.8 · 1	$2.7 · 1	$0	Jan 16, 2026 8:29 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12PM ET WonUpCrypto	82.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.9 (21.8%)	$4.1 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Dec 20, 2025 7:34 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	93.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.69 (7.4%)	$9.29 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 22, 2026 2:14 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.4 (4.2%)	$9.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 20, 2026 11:53 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 12PM ET WonUpCrypto	62.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.35 (11.3%)	$3.1 · 1	$3.45 · 1	$0	Dec 20, 2025 7:34 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? WonNoPolitics	57.3¢ / 91.0¢	$0.31 (3.5%)	$8.78 · 3	$9.09 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 1:43 AM
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? WonYesPolitics	36.7¢ / 9.0¢	$0.3 (1.4%)	$22 · 6	$22.3 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 1:43 AM
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026? WonYesMentions	27.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.26 (25.9%)	$1 · 1	$1.25 · 1	$0	Jan 19, 2026 8:35 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (1.0%)	$9.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 20, 2026 11:53 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET WonDownCrypto	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.4%)	$9.92 · 1	$9.95 · 1	$0	Jan 21, 2026 2:07 PM
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? LostNoSports	61.8¢ / 0.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$6.18 · 1	$6.18 · 1	$0	Feb 9, 2026 7:18 AM
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? LostNoMentions	88.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$8.8 · 1	$8.8 · 1	$0	Jan 20, 2026 8:25 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? LostYesPolitics	98.1¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.01 (-0.1%)	$4.91 · 1	$4.9 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:52 PM

Nostradamus0403 Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.2

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.2

Open$10.7

High$10.7

Low$10.5

Close$10.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$0.13

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.13

Open$10.5

High$10.6

Low$10.4

Close$10.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3-$0.38

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.38

Open$10.4

High$10.4

Low$10

Close$10

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4$0.22

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.22

Open$10

High$10.2

Low$10

Close$10.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5$0.1

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open$10.2

High$10.3

Low$10.1

Close$10.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8-$0.1

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.1

Open$10.3

High$10.3

Low$10.1

Close$10.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9$0.1

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open$10.2

High$10.3

Low$10.2

Close$10.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10$0.1

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open$10.3

High$10.4

Low$10.2

Close$10.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12-$0.2

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.2

Open$10.4

High$10.4

Low$10.2

Close$10.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15$0.1

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open$10.2

High$10.3

Low$10.2

Close$10.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16$0.2

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.2

Open$10.3

High$10.5

Low$10.2

Close$10.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17-$0.1

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.1

Open$10.5

High$10.5

Low$10.2

Close$10.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18-$0.1

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.1

Open$10.4

High$10.5

Low$10.3

Close$10.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19$0.1

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open$10.3

High$11

Low$10.3

Close$10.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20-$0.2

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.2

Open$10.4

High$10.4

Low$10.2

Close$10.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21$0.18

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.18

Open$10.2

High$10.5

Low$10.2

Close$10.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22-$0.08

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.08

Open$10.4

High$10.5

Low$10.3

Close$10.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23$0.1

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open$10.3

High$10.4

Low$10.2

Close$10.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24-$0.1

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.1

Open$10.4

High$10.4

Low$10.2

Close$10.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26$0.1

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open$10.3

High$10.4

Low$10.3

Close$10.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27-$0.2

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.2

Open$10.4

High$10.4

Low$10.2

Close$10.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$0.2

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.2

Open$10.2

High$10.4

Low$10.2

Close$10.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29-$0.2

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.2

Open$10.4

High$10.4

Low$10

Close$10.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$0.27D $030D -$0.5

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

39.6%

Profit Factor

1.44x

Avg Win

$2.43

Avg Loss

-$1.11

Total Wins

$46.2

Total Losses

-$32.1

Avg. Hold Time

—

Best Win

—

Worst Loss

-$0.72

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$16.7, Jan 19 – Jan 25

Worst Period

-$5.15, Jan 22 – Jan 28

Longest Streak

3d W / 5d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$8.45 (-201.3%)

Current DD

-$6.88 (-40.2%)

Max Runup

$21.3 (502.0%)

Rebates

$0.09(3)

Rewards

Yield

Nostradamus0403

Analytics

Analytics

Nostradamus0403

Nostradamus0403

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Nostradamus0403

Trader DNA

Trader DNA