real-jerome-powell Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

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Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? YesTechRedeemable 83.33 shares	24.0¢ / 100.0¢	$63.3 (316.7%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 9, 2026 7:15 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? WonNoTech	8.0¢ / 100.0¢	$554 (1108.8%)	$50 · 1	$604 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 10:20 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25? WonYesCrypto	39.0¢ / 100.0¢	$78.2 (156.4%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 27, 2026 10:15 PM
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? WonNoCrypto	15.0¢ / 100.0¢	$76.2 (254.0%)	$30 · 1	$106 · 5	$0	Jan 20, 2026 7:23 AM
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19? WonNoCrypto	20.0¢ / 100.0¢	$76 (190.0%)	$40 · 4	$116 · 2	$0	Jan 20, 2026 7:26 AM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 22 be greater than 1… WonYesPolitics	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20 (26.7%)	$75 · 1	$95 · 4	$0	Jan 23, 2026 6:03 PM
Chargers vs. Patriots WonPatriotsSports	64.0¢ / 100.0¢	$18 (56.3%)	$32 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 12, 2026 4:52 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be greater than 2… WonYesPolitics	37.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.8 (170.3%)	$9.25 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 6:59 AM
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 18? WonYesWeather	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.5 (33.3%)	$37.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 9:53 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 15 be greater than 2… WonYesPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10 (11.1%)	$90 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 17, 2026 6:31 AM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,… WonYesPolitics	12.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.8 (733.3%)	$1.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 12, 2026 4:52 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 23 be greater than 2… WonNoPolitics	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.69 (112.8%)	$5.93 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be between 1,800,… WonNoPolitics	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1 (100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 15, 2026 4:43 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1AM ET LostDownCrypto	0.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 15, 2026 4:43 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 24 be between 2,100,… LostYesPolitics	7.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$7 (-100.0%)	$7 · 5	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026? LostYesTech	7.8¢ / 0.0¢	-$10 (-100.0%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 31, 2026 8:15 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,… LostYesPolitics	35.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$10.6 (-100.0%)	$10.6 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? LostYesTech	5.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$12 (-100.0%)	$12 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026 7:29 PM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? LostYesTech	1.2¢ / 0.0¢	-$12 (-100.0%)	$12 · 4	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 11? LostYesCrypto	12.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$12 (-100.0%)	$12 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 13, 2026 8:08 AM
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 19? LostYesWeather	13.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$13 (-100.0%)	$13 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026? LostYesTech	8.2¢ / 0.0¢	-$14.8 (-100.0%)	$14.3 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 24, 2026 7:21 PM
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? LostYesTech	19.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$16.5 (-100.0%)	$16 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 30, 2026 8:30 PM
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? LostYesSports	18.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$18 (-100.0%)	$18 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 27, 2026 10:15 PM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? LostYesTech	0.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 15	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? LostYesSports	21.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 27, 2026 10:15 PM

					Merge
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? YesTechRedeemable 83.33 shares	24.0¢ / 100.0¢	$63.3 (316.7%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 9, 2026 7:15 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? WonNoTech	8.0¢ / 100.0¢	$554 (1108.8%)	$50 · 1	$604 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 10:20 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25? WonYesCrypto	39.0¢ / 100.0¢	$78.2 (156.4%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 27, 2026 10:15 PM
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? WonNoCrypto	15.0¢ / 100.0¢	$76.2 (254.0%)	$30 · 1	$106 · 5	$0	Jan 20, 2026 7:23 AM
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19? WonNoCrypto	20.0¢ / 100.0¢	$76 (190.0%)	$40 · 4	$116 · 2	$0	Jan 20, 2026 7:26 AM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 22 be greater than 1… WonYesPolitics	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20 (26.7%)	$75 · 1	$95 · 4	$0	Jan 23, 2026 6:03 PM
Chargers vs. Patriots WonPatriotsSports	64.0¢ / 100.0¢	$18 (56.3%)	$32 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 12, 2026 4:52 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be greater than 2… WonYesPolitics	37.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.8 (170.3%)	$9.25 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 6:59 AM
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 18? WonYesWeather	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.5 (33.3%)	$37.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 9:53 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 15 be greater than 2… WonYesPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10 (11.1%)	$90 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 17, 2026 6:31 AM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,… WonYesPolitics	12.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.8 (733.3%)	$1.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 12, 2026 4:52 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 23 be greater than 2… WonNoPolitics	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.69 (112.8%)	$5.93 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be between 1,800,… WonNoPolitics	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1 (100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 15, 2026 4:43 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1AM ET LostDownCrypto	0.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 15, 2026 4:43 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 24 be between 2,100,… LostYesPolitics	7.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$7 (-100.0%)	$7 · 5	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026? LostYesTech	7.8¢ / 0.0¢	-$10 (-100.0%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 31, 2026 8:15 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,… LostYesPolitics	35.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$10.6 (-100.0%)	$10.6 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? LostYesTech	5.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$12 (-100.0%)	$12 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026 7:29 PM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? LostYesTech	1.2¢ / 0.0¢	-$12 (-100.0%)	$12 · 4	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 11? LostYesCrypto	12.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$12 (-100.0%)	$12 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 13, 2026 8:08 AM
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 19? LostYesWeather	13.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$13 (-100.0%)	$13 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026? LostYesTech	8.2¢ / 0.0¢	-$14.8 (-100.0%)	$14.3 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 24, 2026 7:21 PM
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? LostYesTech	19.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$16.5 (-100.0%)	$16 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 30, 2026 8:30 PM
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? LostYesSports	18.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$18 (-100.0%)	$18 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 27, 2026 10:15 PM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? LostYesTech	0.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 15	$0	$0	Feb 8, 2026 9:14 PM
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? LostYesSports	21.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 27, 2026 10:15 PM

real-jerome-powell Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

June 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.9

Jun 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.9

Open-$51.9

High-$48.7

Low-$53.7

Close-$52.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2-$7.34

Jun 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.34

Open-$52.8

High-$49.3

Low-$60.1

Close-$60.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

3$5.59

Jun 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.59

Open-$60.1

High-$52.3

Low-$62

Close-$54.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

4$12.3

Jun 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$12.3

Open-$54.5

High-$39.8

Low-$56.5

Close-$42.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

5$14.5

Jun 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$14.5

Open-$42.2

High-$24.4

Low-$44

Close-$27.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6$6.6

Jun 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.6

Open-$27.7

High-$10.8

Low-$45.5

Close-$21.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

7$25.5

Jun 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$25.5

Open-$21.1

High$5.17

Low-$23.4

Close$4.34

Open positions3

USD balance$0

8-$9.32

Jun 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$9.32

Open$4.34

High$6.01

Low-$17.8

Close-$4.98

Open positions3

USD balance$0

9$13.9

Jun 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$13.9

Open-$4.98

High$22

Low-$8.38

Close$8.93

Open positions3

USD balance$0

10$2.54

Jun 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.54

Open$8.93

High$16.6

Low$8.93

Close$11.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

11-$5.66

Jun 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.66

Open$11.5

High$11.5

Low$5.73

Close$5.82

Open positions3

USD balance$0

12-$0.08

Jun 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.08

Open$5.82

High$7.98

Low$5.51

Close$5.73

Open positions3

USD balance$0

13$0.71

Jun 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.71

Open$5.73

High$7

Low$5.44

Close$6.45

Open positions3

USD balance$0

14-$0.69

Jun 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.69

Open$6.45

High$7.36

Low$5.75

Close$5.75

Open positions3

USD balance$0

15$10.5

Jun 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$10.5

Open$5.75

High$32.4

Low$5.75

Close$16.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

16-$7.17

Jun 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.17

Open$16.2

High$17.5

Low$7.38

Close$9.07

Open positions3

USD balance$0

17-$2.01

Jun 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.01

Open$9.07

High$9.07

Low$7.06

Close$7.06

Open positions3

USD balance$0

18$1.24

Jun 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.24

Open$7.06

High$8.29

Low$7.06

Close$8.29

Open positions3

USD balance$0

19$0.32

Jun 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.32

Open$8.29

High$12.2

Low$7.36

Close$8.61

Open positions3

USD balance$0

20-$0.21

Jun 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.21

Open$8.61

High$8.61

Low$8.17

Close$8.41

Open positions3

USD balance$0

21-$0.4

Jun 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.4

Open$8.41

High$8.41

Low$8

Close$8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

22-$3.02

Jun 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.02

Open$8

High$8.7

Low$4.98

Close$4.98

Open positions3

USD balance$0

23-$1.59

Jun 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.59

Open$4.98

High$7.02

Low$3.4

Close$3.4

Open positions3

USD balance$0

24-$0.11

Jun 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.11

Open$3.4

High$5.83

Low$3.14

Close$3.29

Open positions3

USD balance$0

25$3.17

Jun 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.17

Open$3.29

High$6.46

Low$1.6

Close$6.46

Open positions3

USD balance$0

26-$3.48

Jun 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.48

Open$6.46

High$6.46

Low$1.69

Close$2.97

Open positions3

USD balance$0

27-$1.11

Jun 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.11

Open$2.97

High$3.21

Low$1.87

Close$1.87

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28-$0.49

Jun 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.49

Open$1.87

High$1.94

Low$1.3

Close$1.37

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29$0.64

Jun 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.64

Open$1.37

High$2.02

Low$1.02

Close$2.02

Open positions3

USD balance$0

30-$2.46

Jun 30, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.46

Open$2.02

High$2.02

Low-$0.44

Close-$0.44

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D —7D —30D $51.4

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

40.0%

Profit Factor

2.04x

Avg Win

$73.1

Avg Loss

-$23.9

Total Wins

$878

Total Losses

-$431

Avg. Hold Time

18d 4h 26m 41s

Best Win

$554

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Worst Loss

-$100

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Period

Best Period

$431, Jan 31 – Feb 7

Worst Period

-$351, Apr 22 – Apr 28

Longest Streak

7d W / 6d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$509 (-113.5%)

Current DD

-$449 (-100.1%)

Max Runup

$534 (620.6%)

Rebates

Rewards

$3.71(3)

Yield

real-jerome-powell

Analytics

real-jerome-powell

Analytics

real-jerome-powell

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

real-jerome-powell

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA