cxdsferer Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 161.78 shares	98.9¢ / 99.8¢	$1.46 (0.9%)	$160 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 3:53 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… NoPoliticsRedeemable 171.20 shares	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.14 (0.7%)	$170 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:01 PM
Trump out as President by July 31? NoPolitics 152.53 shares	99.0¢ / 99.9¢	$1.31 (0.9%)	$151 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 7:30 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics	63.8¢ / 100.0¢	$99.4 (56.8%)	$175 · 3	$0	$0	Nov 21, 2024 3:06 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$25.3 (14.0%)	$180 · 1	$205 · 1	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.46 (53.8%)	$12 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 21, 2024 3:06 PM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$6.29 (2.3%)	$275 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 9, 2026 10:25 AM
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? WonNoFinance	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$5.99 (3.0%)	$200 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 3, 2026 8:16 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.8 (3.1%)	$190 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 5, 2026 3:21 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Septemb… WonYesTech	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.63 (3.1%)	$182 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 10, 2025 2:52 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$4.88 (1.6%)	$300 · 1	$0	$0	May 15, 2026 7:57 AM
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? WonNoPolitics	98.2¢ / 100.0¢	$3.72 (1.8%)	$210 · 1	$133 · 1	$0	Jul 3, 2026 8:16 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	96.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.47 (2.4%)	$145 · 1	$148 · 1	$0	Oct 29, 2025 9:17 PM
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.33 (3.3%)	$100 · 1	$103 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 1:03 PM
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May? WonNoCrypto	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3.31 (1.2%)	$270 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 11, 2026 6:39 AM
Will Chainlink dip to $5 in November? WonNoCrypto	99.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.18 (0.9%)	$350 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 17, 2025 5:41 AM
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$3.06 (1.2%)	$250 · 1	$201 · 1	$0	Apr 14, 2026 7:15 AM
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20? WonYesCrypto	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.74 (2.3%)	$120 · 1	$0	$0	May 15, 2026 7:57 AM
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? WonYesTech	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.58 (1.2%)	$211 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 5, 2026 3:21 AM
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25? WonNoMentions	98.6¢ / 100.0¢	$2.41 (1.4%)	$170 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 26, 2025 7:19 AM
XRP all time high by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.32 (1.0%)	$230 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 14, 2026 7:15 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $116K on August 10 at 5PM ET? WonNoCrypto	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.31 (1.2%)	$190 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 24, 2025 11:39 AM
Will Putin visit China by May 31? WonYesPolitics	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$2.11 (1.3%)	$160 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 11, 2026 6:39 AM
Bucks vs. Kings WonBucksSports	90.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.93 (10.7%)	$18 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 5:36 AM
Will XRP reach $2.20 December 29-January 4? WonNoCrypto	99.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.83 (0.6%)	$321 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 5:36 AM
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.79 (1.3%)	$140 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 6:01 AM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? WonNoPolitics	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.71 (1.3%)	$130 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 3, 2026 8:16 AM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? WonNoPolitics	97.5¢ / 97.4¢	$1.54 (1.0%)	$150 · 1	$152 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:02 PM

					Merge
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 161.78 shares	98.9¢ / 99.8¢	$1.46 (0.9%)	$160 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 3:53 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… NoPoliticsRedeemable 171.20 shares	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.14 (0.7%)	$170 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:01 PM
Trump out as President by July 31? NoPolitics 152.53 shares	99.0¢ / 99.9¢	$1.31 (0.9%)	$151 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 7:30 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics	63.8¢ / 100.0¢	$99.4 (56.8%)	$175 · 3	$0	$0	Nov 21, 2024 3:06 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$25.3 (14.0%)	$180 · 1	$205 · 1	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.46 (53.8%)	$12 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 21, 2024 3:06 PM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$6.29 (2.3%)	$275 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 9, 2026 10:25 AM
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? WonNoFinance	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$5.99 (3.0%)	$200 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 3, 2026 8:16 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.8 (3.1%)	$190 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 5, 2026 3:21 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Septemb… WonYesTech	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.63 (3.1%)	$182 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 10, 2025 2:52 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$4.88 (1.6%)	$300 · 1	$0	$0	May 15, 2026 7:57 AM
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? WonNoPolitics	98.2¢ / 100.0¢	$3.72 (1.8%)	$210 · 1	$133 · 1	$0	Jul 3, 2026 8:16 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	96.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.47 (2.4%)	$145 · 1	$148 · 1	$0	Oct 29, 2025 9:17 PM
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.33 (3.3%)	$100 · 1	$103 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 1:03 PM
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May? WonNoCrypto	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3.31 (1.2%)	$270 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 11, 2026 6:39 AM
Will Chainlink dip to $5 in November? WonNoCrypto	99.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.18 (0.9%)	$350 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 17, 2025 5:41 AM
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$3.06 (1.2%)	$250 · 1	$201 · 1	$0	Apr 14, 2026 7:15 AM
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20? WonYesCrypto	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.74 (2.3%)	$120 · 1	$0	$0	May 15, 2026 7:57 AM
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? WonYesTech	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.58 (1.2%)	$211 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 5, 2026 3:21 AM
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25? WonNoMentions	98.6¢ / 100.0¢	$2.41 (1.4%)	$170 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 26, 2025 7:19 AM
XRP all time high by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.32 (1.0%)	$230 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 14, 2026 7:15 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $116K on August 10 at 5PM ET? WonNoCrypto	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.31 (1.2%)	$190 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 24, 2025 11:39 AM
Will Putin visit China by May 31? WonYesPolitics	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$2.11 (1.3%)	$160 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 11, 2026 6:39 AM
Bucks vs. Kings WonBucksSports	90.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.93 (10.7%)	$18 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 5:36 AM
Will XRP reach $2.20 December 29-January 4? WonNoCrypto	99.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.83 (0.6%)	$321 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 5:36 AM
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.79 (1.3%)	$140 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 6:01 AM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? WonNoPolitics	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.71 (1.3%)	$130 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 3, 2026 8:16 AM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? WonNoPolitics	97.5¢ / 97.4¢	$1.54 (1.0%)	$150 · 1	$152 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:02 PM

cxdsferer Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.54

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.54

Open$103

High$104

Low$102

Close$104

Open positions4

USD balance$0

3-$1.49

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.49

Open$104

High$104

Low$99.5

Close$102

Open positions4

USD balance$28.7

4$1.37

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.37

Open$102

High$104

Low$101

Close$103

Open positions4

USD balance$28.7

5$2.63

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.63

Open$103

High$106

Low$102

Close$106

Open positions4

USD balance$28.7

6-$0.52

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.52

Open$106

High$106

Low$102

Close$106

Open positions4

USD balance$28.7

7-$0.35

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.35

Open$106

High$106

Low$103

Close$105

Open positions4

USD balance$28.7

8-$0.91

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.91

Open$105

High$105

Low$103

Close$104

Open positions4

USD balance$28.7

9$1.25

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.25

Open$104

High$106

Low$103

Close$106

Open positions4

USD balance$28.7

10-$0.6

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.6

Open$106

High$106

Low$103

Close$105

Open positions4

USD balance$28.7

11-$0.17

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.17

Open$105

High$105

Low$103

Close$105

Open positions4

USD balance$0

12$0.51

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.51

Open$105

High$106

Low$104

Close$105

Open positions4

USD balance$0

13-$1.34

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.34

Open$105

High$106

Low$104

Close$104

Open positions4

USD balance$0

14$0.86

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.86

Open$104

High$106

Low$103

Close$105

Open positions4

USD balance$0

15$2.36

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.36

Open$105

High$107

Low$103

Close$107

Open positions4

USD balance$0

16-$0.74

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.74

Open$107

High$107

Low$106

Close$106

Open positions4

USD balance$0

17$0.49

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.49

Open$106

High$108

Low$105

Close$107

Open positions4

USD balance$0

18-$0.14

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.14

Open$107

High$108

Low$94.5

Close$107

Open positions4

USD balance$0

19$0.01

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$107

High$108

Low$106

Close$107

Open positions4

USD balance$0

20$0.53

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.53

Open$107

High$108

Low$106

Close$107

Open positions4

USD balance$0

21-$0.16

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.16

Open$107

High$108

Low$107

Close$107

Open positions4

USD balance$0

22$0.49

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.49

Open$107

High$108

Low$105

Close$108

Open positions4

USD balance$0

23$0.64

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.64

Open$108

High$108

Low$107

Close$108

Open positions4

USD balance$0

24-$0.32

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.32

Open$108

High$109

Low$108

Close$108

Open positions4

USD balance$0

25-$0.49

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.49

Open$108

High$108

Low$107

Close$107

Open positions4

USD balance$0

26$0.49

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.49

Open$107

High$108

Low$106

Close$108

Open positions4

USD balance$0

27$0.65

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.65

Open$108

High$109

Low$108

Close$109

Open positions4

USD balance$0

28$0.3

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.3

Open$109

High$109

Low$108

Close$109

Open positions4

USD balance$0

29$0.2

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.2

Open$109

High$110

Low$106

Close$109

Open positions4

USD balance$0

30$1.85

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.85

Open$109

High$111

Low$109

Close$111

Open positions3

USD balance$172

31-$0.17

Jul 31, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.17

Open$111

High$111

Low$110

Close$111

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $1.687D $2.3630D $8.72

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

94.9%

Profit Factor

1.90x

Avg Win

$4.02

Avg Loss

-$39.4

Total Wins

$225

Total Losses

-$118

Avg. Hold Time

29d 3h 4m 49s

Best Win

$25.3

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeti…

Worst Loss

-$103

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Period

Best Period

$123, Nov 2 – Nov 8

Worst Period

-$95.3, Dec 6 – Dec 12

Longest Streak

8d W / 5d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$170 (-167.1%)

Current DD

-$0.17 (-0.2%)

Max Runup

$179 (263.1%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

cxdsferer

Analytics

cxdsferer

Analytics

cxdsferer

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

cxdsferer

Trader DNA

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types