| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 6.88 net shares | 64.1¢ / 73.0¢ | $0.23 (13.8%) | May 29, 2026 5:58 PM | |
 Democratic Party Yes 2.65 net shares | 84.4¢ / 82.0¢ | -$0.03 (-2.8%) | May 8, 2026 3:06 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No -2.36 net shares | 94.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (6.4%) | May 7, 2026 9:07 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -3.56 net shares | 20.4¢ / 1.5¢ | -$0 (-92.6%) | May 6, 2026 10:27 AM | |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No 1.84 net shares | 59.9¢ / 72.0¢ | $0.22 (20.1%) | May 1, 2026 7:20 AM | |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes 5.91 net shares | 21.0¢ / 1.4¢ | -$0.15 (-93.3%) | Apr 29, 2026 8:37 PM | |
 Viktor Orbán No 6.70 net shares | 70.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (42.7%) | Apr 12, 2026 7:53 PM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 0.01 net shares | 75.0¢ / 98.4¢ | $0 (31.2%) | Apr 7, 2026 1:44 AM | |
 June 30 No 0.22 net shares | 81.0¢ / 98.2¢ | $0.04 (21.2%) | Mar 18, 2026 2:52 AM | |
Viktor Orbán Yes 0.01 net shares | 36.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Mar 18, 2026 12:45 AM |
