kcz Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? NoSports 13.18 shares	97.7¢ / 92.7¢	-$0.66 (-5.1%)	$12.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 5:07 PM
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? NoSportsRedeemable 0.67 shares	91.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (0.4%)	$13.8 · 1	$13.1 · 1	$0	May 3, 2026 5:58 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1) WonScotlandSports	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.17 (5.6%)	$21.1 · 1	$22.2 · 1	$0	Feb 9, 2026 10:58 AM
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Daniel Altmaier vs Alexander Zverev WonAlexander ZverevSports	91.1¢ / 99.9¢	$1.04 (6.7%)	$15.5 · 1	$16.6 · 1	$0	May 8, 2026 5:30 PM
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Jannik Sinner WonJannik SinnerSports	95.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.33 (1.4%)	$24.5 · 1	$24.9 · 1	$0	Apr 7, 2026 2:02 PM
Hersonissos: Menelaos Efstathiou vs Alejandro Moro Canas WonAlejandro Moro CanasSports	88.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.28 (2.3%)	$12.4 · 1	$12.7 · 1	$0	Mar 2, 2026 6:38 PM
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? WonNoPolitics	98.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.24 (1.5%)	$16.2 · 1	$16.5 · 1	$0	Jun 4, 2026 6:43 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? WonNoPolitics	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.23 (0.9%)	$24.8 · 4	$25.1 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 3:28 PM
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? WonNoSports	91.9¢ / 0.0¢	$0.18 (0.5%)	$34.8 · 2	$35 · 2	$0	Jun 21, 2026 8:55 PM
Will Italy win? WonNoSports	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.16 (1.1%)	$14.4 · 1	$14.6 · 1	$0	Feb 14, 2026 11:25 PM
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? WonNoFinance	93.3¢ / 97.6¢	$0.16 (0.8%)	$20.3 · 1	$20.5 · 1	$0	Jul 31, 2026 5:07 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… WonYesPolitics	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.13 (1.1%)	$11.7 · 1	$11.8 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:07 PM
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? WonNoPolitics	90.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.12 (0.5%)	$22.6 · 2	$22.7 · 2	$0	Mar 1, 2026 8:24 AM
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? WonNoSports	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.11 (0.1%)	$163 · 12	$163 · 9	$0	May 4, 2026 2:02 AM
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? WonNoSports	89.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (0.2%)	$41.7 · 3	$41.8 · 3	$0	Jan 29, 2026 3:14 PM
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? WonNoSports	92.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (0.2%)	$46.6 · 3	$46.6 · 3	$0	Jun 14, 2026 6:39 AM
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5) WonFK Bodø/GlimtSports	93.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.6%)	$12.3 · 3	$12.4 · 1	$0	Mar 12, 2026 12:12 AM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? WonNoTech	97.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (0.1%)	$65.9 · 6	$65.9 · 5	$0	Feb 28, 2026 10:20 PM
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2… WonNoWeather	92.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (0.2%)	$26.7 · 3	$26.8 · 2	$0	Mar 1, 2026 8:07 AM
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? WonNoSports	96.2¢ / 95.5¢	$0.06 (0.1%)	$59.8 · 6	$59.9 · 4	$0	Jul 30, 2026 9:08 AM
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olym… WonNoSports	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.05 (0.2%)	$32 · 2	$32 · 2	$0	Feb 18, 2026 6:25 PM
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? WonNoSports	95.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.05 (0.1%)	$82.3 · 5	$82.3 · 5	$0	May 2, 2026 7:29 AM
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? WonNoSports	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.05 (0.2%)	$22.2 · 2	$22.3 · 2	$0	Apr 25, 2026 11:23 PM
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? WonNoSports	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.05 (0.2%)	$25.9 · 2	$25.9 · 2	$0	Mar 15, 2026 1:57 PM
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more? WonNoPolitics	93.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$32.6 · 2	$32.6 · 2	$0	Feb 4, 2026 12:17 AM
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? WonYesPolitics	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.2%)	$18.9 · 1	$18.9 · 1	$0	Feb 23, 2026 12:57 PM
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? WonNoSports	94.7¢ / 89.3¢	$0.04 (0.0%)	$87.2 · 7	$87.2 · 7	$0	Jul 31, 2026 1:54 AM

					Merge
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? NoSports 13.18 shares	97.7¢ / 92.7¢	-$0.66 (-5.1%)	$12.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 5:07 PM
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? NoSportsRedeemable 0.67 shares	91.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (0.4%)	$13.8 · 1	$13.1 · 1	$0	May 3, 2026 5:58 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1) WonScotlandSports	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.17 (5.6%)	$21.1 · 1	$22.2 · 1	$0	Feb 9, 2026 10:58 AM
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Daniel Altmaier vs Alexander Zverev WonAlexander ZverevSports	91.1¢ / 99.9¢	$1.04 (6.7%)	$15.5 · 1	$16.6 · 1	$0	May 8, 2026 5:30 PM
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Jannik Sinner WonJannik SinnerSports	95.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.33 (1.4%)	$24.5 · 1	$24.9 · 1	$0	Apr 7, 2026 2:02 PM
Hersonissos: Menelaos Efstathiou vs Alejandro Moro Canas WonAlejandro Moro CanasSports	88.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.28 (2.3%)	$12.4 · 1	$12.7 · 1	$0	Mar 2, 2026 6:38 PM
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? WonNoPolitics	98.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.24 (1.5%)	$16.2 · 1	$16.5 · 1	$0	Jun 4, 2026 6:43 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? WonNoPolitics	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.23 (0.9%)	$24.8 · 4	$25.1 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 3:28 PM
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? WonNoSports	91.9¢ / 0.0¢	$0.18 (0.5%)	$34.8 · 2	$35 · 2	$0	Jun 21, 2026 8:55 PM
Will Italy win? WonNoSports	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.16 (1.1%)	$14.4 · 1	$14.6 · 1	$0	Feb 14, 2026 11:25 PM
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? WonNoFinance	93.3¢ / 97.6¢	$0.16 (0.8%)	$20.3 · 1	$20.5 · 1	$0	Jul 31, 2026 5:07 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… WonYesPolitics	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.13 (1.1%)	$11.7 · 1	$11.8 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:07 PM
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? WonNoPolitics	90.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.12 (0.5%)	$22.6 · 2	$22.7 · 2	$0	Mar 1, 2026 8:24 AM
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? WonNoSports	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.11 (0.1%)	$163 · 12	$163 · 9	$0	May 4, 2026 2:02 AM
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? WonNoSports	89.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (0.2%)	$41.7 · 3	$41.8 · 3	$0	Jan 29, 2026 3:14 PM
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? WonNoSports	92.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (0.2%)	$46.6 · 3	$46.6 · 3	$0	Jun 14, 2026 6:39 AM
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5) WonFK Bodø/GlimtSports	93.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.6%)	$12.3 · 3	$12.4 · 1	$0	Mar 12, 2026 12:12 AM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? WonNoTech	97.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (0.1%)	$65.9 · 6	$65.9 · 5	$0	Feb 28, 2026 10:20 PM
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2… WonNoWeather	92.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (0.2%)	$26.7 · 3	$26.8 · 2	$0	Mar 1, 2026 8:07 AM
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? WonNoSports	96.2¢ / 95.5¢	$0.06 (0.1%)	$59.8 · 6	$59.9 · 4	$0	Jul 30, 2026 9:08 AM
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olym… WonNoSports	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.05 (0.2%)	$32 · 2	$32 · 2	$0	Feb 18, 2026 6:25 PM
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? WonNoSports	95.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.05 (0.1%)	$82.3 · 5	$82.3 · 5	$0	May 2, 2026 7:29 AM
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? WonNoSports	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.05 (0.2%)	$22.2 · 2	$22.3 · 2	$0	Apr 25, 2026 11:23 PM
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? WonNoSports	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.05 (0.2%)	$25.9 · 2	$25.9 · 2	$0	Mar 15, 2026 1:57 PM
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more? WonNoPolitics	93.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$32.6 · 2	$32.6 · 2	$0	Feb 4, 2026 12:17 AM
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? WonYesPolitics	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.2%)	$18.9 · 1	$18.9 · 1	$0	Feb 23, 2026 12:57 PM
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? WonNoSports	94.7¢ / 89.3¢	$0.04 (0.0%)	$87.2 · 7	$87.2 · 7	$0	Jul 31, 2026 1:54 AM

kcz Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.03

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.03

Open$1.24

High$1.24

Low$1.2

Close$1.22

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2$0.05

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.05

Open$1.22

High$1.27

Low$1.22

Close$1.27

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3$0.14

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.14

Open$1.27

High$1.42

Low$1.23

Close$1.42

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4-$0.07

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.07

Open$1.42

High$1.42

Low$1.27

Close$1.35

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5-$0.06

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.06

Open$1.35

High$1.36

Low$1.27

Close$1.28

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6$0.01

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$1.28

High$1.34

Low$1.28

Close$1.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7-$0.01

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open$1.3

High$1.31

Low$1.27

Close$1.28

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8$0.01

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$1.28

High$1.3

Low$1.24

Close$1.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9-$0.01

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open$1.3

High$1.3

Low$1.24

Close$1.28

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10-$0.04

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open$1.28

High$1.31

Low$1.25

Close$1.25

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11-$0

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$1.25

High$1.31

Low$1.14

Close$1.24

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12$0.01

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$1.24

High$1.28

Low$0.98

Close$1.26

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$0.03

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open$1.26

High$1.31

Low$1.2

Close$1.28

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14-$0.13

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.13

Open$1.28

High$1.28

Low$1.16

Close$1.16

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15$0.07

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.07

Open$1.16

High$1.23

Low$1.16

Close$1.23

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16-$0.02

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open$1.23

High$1.26

Low$1.17

Close$1.21

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17$0

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$1.21

High$1.21

Low$1.21

Close$1.21

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18$0.01

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$1.21

High$1.28

Low$1.21

Close$1.23

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19-$0.01

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open$1.23

High$1.27

Low$1.21

Close$1.21

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20$0.06

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.06

Open$1.21

High$1.27

Low$1.08

Close$1.27

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23-$0.07

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.07

Open$1.27

High$1.27

Low$1.08

Close$1.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24$0

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$1.2

High$1.26

Low$1.2

Close$1.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25$0

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$1.2

High$1.26

Low$1.2

Close$1.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26-$0

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$1.2

High$1.26

Low$1.2

Close$1.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$0

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$1.2

High$1.26

Low$1.2

Close$1.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28-$0

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$1.2

High$1.26

Low$1.2

Close$1.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29-$0.01

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open$1.2

High$1.26

Low$1.19

Close$1.19

Open positions2

USD balance$0

30$0.07

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.07

Open$1.19

High$1.26

Low$1.19

Close$1.26

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.077D $030D $0.04

Markets

293

Won

Lost

Win Rate

67.3%

Profit Factor

1.61x

Avg Win

$0.07

Avg Loss

-$0.09

Total Wins

$5.44

Total Losses

-$3.38

Avg. Hold Time

—

Best Win

$1.17

T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1)

Worst Loss

-$1.62

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nominat…

Period

Best Period

$1.66, Feb 7 – Feb 13

Worst Period

-$1.18, Apr 30 – May 6

Longest Streak

8d W / 6d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$3.72 (-15223.9%)

Current DD

-$0.16 (-11.2%)

Max Runup

$5.11 (138.3%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.02(10)

kcz

Analytics

Analytics

kcz

kcz

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

kcz

Trader DNA

Trader DNA