thingschange Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? NoCrypto 565.00 shares	64.0¢ / 91.0¢	$153 (42.2%)	$362 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 2:24 PM
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? NoSports 729.00 shares	80.0¢ / 62.0¢	-$131 (-22.5%)	$583 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:07 AM
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 195.00 shares	33.0¢ / 25.0¢	-$15.6 (-24.2%)	$64.3 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 19, 2026 7:04 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02? WonYesPolitics	30.0¢ / 100.0¢	$603 (233.3%)	$258 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2026 7:53 AM
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to Score WonYesSports	54.4¢ / 100.0¢	$506 (83.8%)	$603 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 17, 2026 4:13 PM
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce WonOlympiacos B.C.Sports	51.1¢ / 100.0¢	$399 (95.7%)	$416 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2026 7:53 AM
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomat… WonYesCulture	53.0¢ / 100.0¢	$293 (83.0%)	$352 · 1	$645 · 1	$0	Mar 30, 2026 8:48 PM
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20? WonNoPolitics	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$274 (47.1%)	$583 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 17, 2026 4:03 AM
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? WonYesSports	22.0¢ / 0.0¢	$215 (68.2%)	$315 · 3	$530 · 2	$0	Feb 19, 2026 12:16 AM
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31? WonYesPolitics	13.0¢ / 100.0¢	$210 (438.5%)	$48 · 1	$258 · 1	$0	Mar 13, 2026 11:14 PM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesWeather	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$169 (49.3%)	$344 · 2	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 4:11 PM
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? WonNoPolitics	40.0¢ / 100.0¢	$141 (77.5%)	$182 · 1	$322 · 2	$0	Mar 30, 2026 7:28 AM
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? WonYesPolitics	12.0¢ / 0.0¢	$99.4 (91.7%)	$108 · 1	$208 · 2	$0	Jul 3, 2026 1:10 AM
Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-03-17? WonYesSports	14.1¢ / 0.0¢	$90.8 (146.1%)	$62.2 · 1	$153 · 2	$0	Apr 15, 2026 1:28 AM
Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon? WonYesCulture	22.1¢ / 0.0¢	$85.2 (52.0%)	$164 · 2	$249 · 3	$0	Jun 17, 2026 4:13 PM
Will "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime A… WonYesCulture	33.0¢ / 0.0¢	$80.7 (34.7%)	$233 · 1	$314 · 1	$0	Jun 17, 2026 4:13 PM
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw? WonNoSports	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$77.9 (23.5%)	$332 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 4:11 PM
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? WonYesCrypto	74.7¢ / 27.3¢	$77.3 (18.3%)	$421 · 1	$499 · 2	$0	Jul 25, 2026 8:25 AM
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on Fe… WonYesFinance	67.0¢ / 0.0¢	$70.8 (17.4%)	$408 · 2	$479 · 2	$0	Feb 28, 2026 12:37 PM
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? WonNoSports	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$63.5 (33.3%)	$191 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 11, 2026 3:13 AM
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February? WonNoWeather	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$60.5 (15.9%)	$380 · 1	$440 · 2	$0	Mar 2, 2026 12:46 PM
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31? WonNoPolitics	50.0¢ / 0.0¢	$54.1 (32.0%)	$169 · 1	$223 · 1	$0	Feb 4, 2026 7:53 PM
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on… WonNoFinance	83.7¢ / 100.0¢	$51.4 (19.0%)	$270 · 1	$322 · 4	$0	Feb 28, 2026 12:33 PM
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? WonYesPolitics	38.0¢ / 11.0¢	$44.7 (10.5%)	$424 · 2	$469 · 3	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:31 AM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,00… WonYesPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$43.2 (9.9%)	$437 · 3	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 4:11 PM
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30… WonYesFinance	42.0¢ / 0.0¢	$36.5 (52.4%)	$69.7 · 1	$106 · 1	$0	May 3, 2026 6:08 AM
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? WonYesTech	41.0¢ / 76.0¢	$24.1 (46.3%)	$52.1 · 1	$76.2 · 4	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:30 PM
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? WonYesCrypto	75.2¢ / 14.1¢	$17.1 (20.5%)	$83.5 · 1	$101 · 2	$0	Jul 20, 2026 8:35 PM

					Merge
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? NoCrypto 565.00 shares	64.0¢ / 91.0¢	$153 (42.2%)	$362 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 2:24 PM
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? NoSports 729.00 shares	80.0¢ / 62.0¢	-$131 (-22.5%)	$583 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:07 AM
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 195.00 shares	33.0¢ / 25.0¢	-$15.6 (-24.2%)	$64.3 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 19, 2026 7:04 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02? WonYesPolitics	30.0¢ / 100.0¢	$603 (233.3%)	$258 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2026 7:53 AM
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to Score WonYesSports	54.4¢ / 100.0¢	$506 (83.8%)	$603 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 17, 2026 4:13 PM
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce WonOlympiacos B.C.Sports	51.1¢ / 100.0¢	$399 (95.7%)	$416 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2026 7:53 AM
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomat… WonYesCulture	53.0¢ / 100.0¢	$293 (83.0%)	$352 · 1	$645 · 1	$0	Mar 30, 2026 8:48 PM
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20? WonNoPolitics	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$274 (47.1%)	$583 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 17, 2026 4:03 AM
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? WonYesSports	22.0¢ / 0.0¢	$215 (68.2%)	$315 · 3	$530 · 2	$0	Feb 19, 2026 12:16 AM
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31? WonYesPolitics	13.0¢ / 100.0¢	$210 (438.5%)	$48 · 1	$258 · 1	$0	Mar 13, 2026 11:14 PM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesWeather	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$169 (49.3%)	$344 · 2	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 4:11 PM
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? WonNoPolitics	40.0¢ / 100.0¢	$141 (77.5%)	$182 · 1	$322 · 2	$0	Mar 30, 2026 7:28 AM
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? WonYesPolitics	12.0¢ / 0.0¢	$99.4 (91.7%)	$108 · 1	$208 · 2	$0	Jul 3, 2026 1:10 AM
Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-03-17? WonYesSports	14.1¢ / 0.0¢	$90.8 (146.1%)	$62.2 · 1	$153 · 2	$0	Apr 15, 2026 1:28 AM
Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon? WonYesCulture	22.1¢ / 0.0¢	$85.2 (52.0%)	$164 · 2	$249 · 3	$0	Jun 17, 2026 4:13 PM
Will "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime A… WonYesCulture	33.0¢ / 0.0¢	$80.7 (34.7%)	$233 · 1	$314 · 1	$0	Jun 17, 2026 4:13 PM
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw? WonNoSports	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$77.9 (23.5%)	$332 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 4:11 PM
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? WonYesCrypto	74.7¢ / 27.3¢	$77.3 (18.3%)	$421 · 1	$499 · 2	$0	Jul 25, 2026 8:25 AM
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on Fe… WonYesFinance	67.0¢ / 0.0¢	$70.8 (17.4%)	$408 · 2	$479 · 2	$0	Feb 28, 2026 12:37 PM
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? WonNoSports	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$63.5 (33.3%)	$191 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 11, 2026 3:13 AM
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February? WonNoWeather	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$60.5 (15.9%)	$380 · 1	$440 · 2	$0	Mar 2, 2026 12:46 PM
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31? WonNoPolitics	50.0¢ / 0.0¢	$54.1 (32.0%)	$169 · 1	$223 · 1	$0	Feb 4, 2026 7:53 PM
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on… WonNoFinance	83.7¢ / 100.0¢	$51.4 (19.0%)	$270 · 1	$322 · 4	$0	Feb 28, 2026 12:33 PM
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? WonYesPolitics	38.0¢ / 11.0¢	$44.7 (10.5%)	$424 · 2	$469 · 3	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:31 AM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,00… WonYesPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$43.2 (9.9%)	$437 · 3	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 4:11 PM
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30… WonYesFinance	42.0¢ / 0.0¢	$36.5 (52.4%)	$69.7 · 1	$106 · 1	$0	May 3, 2026 6:08 AM
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? WonYesTech	41.0¢ / 76.0¢	$24.1 (46.3%)	$52.1 · 1	$76.2 · 4	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:30 PM
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? WonYesCrypto	75.2¢ / 14.1¢	$17.1 (20.5%)	$83.5 · 1	$101 · 2	$0	Jul 20, 2026 8:35 PM

thingschange Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$5.65

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.65

Open$802

High$808

Low$783

Close$808

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2-$12.9

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$12.9

Open$808

High$808

Low$795

Close$795

Open positions3

USD balance$0

3-$5.85

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.85

Open$795

High$802

Low$789

Close$789

Open positions3

USD balance$0

4$18.7

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$18.7

Open$789

High$808

Low$789

Close$808

Open positions3

USD balance$0

5$5.65

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.65

Open$808

High$814

Low$789

Close$814

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6-$0

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$814

High$814

Low$493

Close$814

Open positions3

USD balance$0

7-$348

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$348

Open$814

High$814

Low$465

Close$465

Open positions3

USD balance$0

8$18.5

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$18.5

Open$465

High$484

Low$465

Close$484

Open positions3

USD balance$0

9$0.12

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.12

Open$484

High$484

Low$471

Close$484

Open positions3

USD balance$0

13-$11.4

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$11.4

Open$484

High$484

Low$448

Close$473

Open positions3

USD balance$0

14$28.2

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$28.2

Open$473

High$507

Low$473

Close$501

Open positions3

USD balance$0

15$5.65

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.65

Open$501

High$509

Low$490

Close$506

Open positions3

USD balance$0

16$22.1

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$22.1

Open$506

High$529

Low$501

Close$529

Open positions3

USD balance$0

18-$0

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$529

High$545

Low$518

Close$529

Open positions3

USD balance$0

19$17.7

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$17.7

Open$529

High$573

Low$529

Close$546

Open positions3

USD balance$0

20-$23.2

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$23.2

Open$546

High$546

Low$523

Close$523

Open positions3

USD balance$0

21$17.6

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$17.6

Open$523

High$541

Low$523

Close$541

Open positions3

USD balance$0

22$326

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$326

Open$541

High$867

Low$541

Close$867

Open positions3

USD balance$0

23-$5.65

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.65

Open$867

High$867

Low$861

Close$861

Open positions3

USD balance$0

24-$0

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$861

High$873

Low$861

Close$861

Open positions3

USD balance$0

25-$4.47

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.47

Open$861

High$873

Low$857

Close$857

Open positions3

USD balance$0

26-$130

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$130

Open$857

High$869

Low$514

Close$727

Open positions3

USD balance$0

27$79.3

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$79.3

Open$727

High$806

Low$717

Close$806

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28$3.12

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.12

Open$806

High$872

Low$755

Close$809

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29$9.21

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$9.21

Open$809

High$818

Low$809

Close$818

Open positions3

USD balance$0

30$0

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$818

High$818

Low$809

Close$818

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $07D -$4330D $10.4

Markets

104

Won

Lost

Win Rate

39.1%

Profit Factor

1.27x

Avg Win

$105

Avg Loss

-$53.2

Total Wins

$3.79K

Total Losses

-$2.98K

Avg. Hold Time

37d 5h 42m 59s

Best Win

$603

Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?

Worst Loss

-$348

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Period

Best Period

$1.65K, Mar 12 – Mar 18

Worst Period

-$754, Mar 6 – Mar 12

Longest Streak

4d W / 4d L

Current Streak

4d W

Max Drawdown

-$1.37K (-563.3%)

Current DD

-$419 (-33.8%)

Max Runup

$2.36K (210.0%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

thingschange

Analytics

Analytics

thingschange

thingschange

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

thingschange

Trader DNA

Trader DNA