stebel Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliame… NoPolitics 224.22 shares	29.9¢ / 43.0¢	$29.3 (43.7%)	$67.1 · 10	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:57 AM
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats i… YesPolitics 274.69 shares	7.8¢ / 5.0¢	-$7.64 (-35.7%)	$21.4 · 6	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 9:05 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8AM ET WonDownCrypto	76.9¢ / 100.0¢	$51.7 (29.0%)	$178 · 1	$8.1 · 1	$0	Dec 27, 2025 3:24 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 10AM ET WonDownCrypto	74.3¢ / 100.0¢	$44.9 (34.6%)	$130 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 5:26 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 6AM ET WonUpCrypto	70.4¢ / 100.0¢	$38.6 (42.0%)	$92.1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 28, 2025 1:26 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 6AM ET WonUpCrypto	78.9¢ / 100.0¢	$37.6 (26.8%)	$140 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 1:18 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 4PM ET WonDownCrypto	74.7¢ / 100.0¢	$33.2 (33.8%)	$98.1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 8:45 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 8AM ET WonUpCrypto	71.8¢ / 100.0¢	$30.8 (30.8%)	$100 · 1	$131 · 4	$0	Dec 28, 2025 3:01 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10AM ET WonDownCrypto	58.9¢ / 100.0¢	$29.2 (30.5%)	$95.7 · 12	$24.8 · 2	$0	Dec 28, 2025 5:17 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET WonDownCrypto	82.9¢ / 100.0¢	$20.6 (20.6%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 4:58 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 7AM ET WonDownCrypto	64.2¢ / 100.0¢	$14.2 (43.3%)	$32.9 · 1	$47.1 · 1	$0	Dec 28, 2025 2:14 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1PM ET WonUpCrypto	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.6 (25.0%)	$50.2 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 26, 2025 8:42 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 4AM ET WonDownCrypto	90.9¢ / 100.0¢	$12 (10.0%)	$120 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 28, 2025 11:42 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 12PM ET WonUpCrypto	88.1¢ / 100.0¢	$11.8 (11.3%)	$105 · 2	$117 · 1	$0	Dec 27, 2025 7:05 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 2PM ET WonUpCrypto	82.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.4 (13.1%)	$86.7 · 1	$18.8 · 1	$0	Dec 26, 2025 9:08 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8AM ET WonUpCrypto	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (28.2%)	$39.2 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 25, 2025 6:28 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 2PM ET WonUpCrypto	89.2¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (8.8%)	$122 · 1	$30.2 · 1	$0	Dec 29, 2025 8:48 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 6AM ET WonDownCrypto	87.2¢ / 100.0¢	$10.2 (14.7%)	$69.5 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 26, 2025 1:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11AM ET WonDownCrypto	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.4 (94.0%)	$10 · 1	$19.4 · 1	$0	Dec 28, 2025 6:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12PM ET WonDownCrypto	15.5¢ / 100.0¢	$9.37 (48.4%)	$19.4 · 1	$28.7 · 1	$0	Dec 28, 2025 7:07 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3AM ET WonUpCrypto	93.5¢ / 100.0¢	$9.16 (7.0%)	$131 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 11:32 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.01 (8.7%)	$92.1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 28, 2025 11:42 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 8AM ET WonUpCrypto	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.94 (8.7%)	$79.8 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 26, 2025 7:48 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 3AM ET WonUpCrypto	90.3¢ / 100.0¢	$6.75 (10.7%)	$62.8 · 2	$0	$0	Dec 26, 2025 11:37 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7? WonNoCrypto	22.6¢ / 100.0¢	$6.69 (134.5%)	$4.97 · 1	$11.7 · 1	$0	Nov 7, 2025 7:28 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET WonDownCrypto	80.5¢ / 100.0¢	$6.68 (22.1%)	$30 · 1	$36.9 · 3	$0	Jan 9, 2026 7:16 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 11? WonYesCrypto	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.66 (64.9%)	$10.3 · 1	$16.9 · 2	$0	Nov 11, 2025 7:15 PM

					Merge
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliame… NoPolitics 224.22 shares	29.9¢ / 43.0¢	$29.3 (43.7%)	$67.1 · 10	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:57 AM
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats i… YesPolitics 274.69 shares	7.8¢ / 5.0¢	-$7.64 (-35.7%)	$21.4 · 6	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 9:05 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8AM ET WonDownCrypto	76.9¢ / 100.0¢	$51.7 (29.0%)	$178 · 1	$8.1 · 1	$0	Dec 27, 2025 3:24 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 10AM ET WonDownCrypto	74.3¢ / 100.0¢	$44.9 (34.6%)	$130 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 5:26 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 6AM ET WonUpCrypto	70.4¢ / 100.0¢	$38.6 (42.0%)	$92.1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 28, 2025 1:26 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 6AM ET WonUpCrypto	78.9¢ / 100.0¢	$37.6 (26.8%)	$140 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 1:18 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 4PM ET WonDownCrypto	74.7¢ / 100.0¢	$33.2 (33.8%)	$98.1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 8:45 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 8AM ET WonUpCrypto	71.8¢ / 100.0¢	$30.8 (30.8%)	$100 · 1	$131 · 4	$0	Dec 28, 2025 3:01 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10AM ET WonDownCrypto	58.9¢ / 100.0¢	$29.2 (30.5%)	$95.7 · 12	$24.8 · 2	$0	Dec 28, 2025 5:17 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET WonDownCrypto	82.9¢ / 100.0¢	$20.6 (20.6%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 4:58 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 7AM ET WonDownCrypto	64.2¢ / 100.0¢	$14.2 (43.3%)	$32.9 · 1	$47.1 · 1	$0	Dec 28, 2025 2:14 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1PM ET WonUpCrypto	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.6 (25.0%)	$50.2 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 26, 2025 8:42 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 4AM ET WonDownCrypto	90.9¢ / 100.0¢	$12 (10.0%)	$120 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 28, 2025 11:42 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 12PM ET WonUpCrypto	88.1¢ / 100.0¢	$11.8 (11.3%)	$105 · 2	$117 · 1	$0	Dec 27, 2025 7:05 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 2PM ET WonUpCrypto	82.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.4 (13.1%)	$86.7 · 1	$18.8 · 1	$0	Dec 26, 2025 9:08 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8AM ET WonUpCrypto	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (28.2%)	$39.2 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 25, 2025 6:28 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 2PM ET WonUpCrypto	89.2¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (8.8%)	$122 · 1	$30.2 · 1	$0	Dec 29, 2025 8:48 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 6AM ET WonDownCrypto	87.2¢ / 100.0¢	$10.2 (14.7%)	$69.5 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 26, 2025 1:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11AM ET WonDownCrypto	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.4 (94.0%)	$10 · 1	$19.4 · 1	$0	Dec 28, 2025 6:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12PM ET WonDownCrypto	15.5¢ / 100.0¢	$9.37 (48.4%)	$19.4 · 1	$28.7 · 1	$0	Dec 28, 2025 7:07 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3AM ET WonUpCrypto	93.5¢ / 100.0¢	$9.16 (7.0%)	$131 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 11:32 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.01 (8.7%)	$92.1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 28, 2025 11:42 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 8AM ET WonUpCrypto	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.94 (8.7%)	$79.8 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 26, 2025 7:48 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 3AM ET WonUpCrypto	90.3¢ / 100.0¢	$6.75 (10.7%)	$62.8 · 2	$0	$0	Dec 26, 2025 11:37 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7? WonNoCrypto	22.6¢ / 100.0¢	$6.69 (134.5%)	$4.97 · 1	$11.7 · 1	$0	Nov 7, 2025 7:28 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET WonDownCrypto	80.5¢ / 100.0¢	$6.68 (22.1%)	$30 · 1	$36.9 · 3	$0	Jan 9, 2026 7:16 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 11? WonYesCrypto	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.66 (64.9%)	$10.3 · 1	$16.9 · 2	$0	Nov 11, 2025 7:15 PM

stebel Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.04

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open$54.8

High$59

Low$49.8

Close$54.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$1.37

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.37

Open$54.8

High$58.4

Low$44.3

Close$53.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3$0.91

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.91

Open$53.4

High$55.7

Low$49.3

Close$54.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4-$1.1

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.1

Open$54.3

High$54.3

Low$44.9

Close$53.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5-$1.47

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.47

Open$53.2

High$53.2

Low$47.6

Close$51.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6-$0.73

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.73

Open$51.8

High$54.2

Low$49.6

Close$51

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7$3.11

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.11

Open$51

High$58.6

Low$47.6

Close$54.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8-$5.22

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.22

Open$54.1

High$55

Low$48.6

Close$48.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9$1.28

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.28

Open$48.9

High$53.8

Low$48.9

Close$50.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10$1.69

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.69

Open$50.2

High$54.6

Low$47.4

Close$51.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11$2.52

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.52

Open$51.9

High$55.3

Low$49.1

Close$54.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12-$0.27

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.27

Open$54.4

High$58

Low$51.3

Close$54.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13-$2.61

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.61

Open$54.1

High$57.1

Low$49.7

Close$51.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14$2.02

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.02

Open$51.5

High$55.5

Low$50

Close$53.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15-$1.14

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.14

Open$53.5

High$53.5

Low$46

Close$52.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16-$1.65

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.65

Open$52.4

High$52.4

Low$47.6

Close$50.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17-$1.69

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.69

Open$50.8

High$52.1

Low$46.3

Close$49.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18$1.97

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.97

Open$49.1

High$51

Low$46.5

Close$51

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19-$2.52

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.52

Open$51

High$53.2

Low$46.3

Close$48.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20-$3.62

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.62

Open$48.5

High$50.5

Low$44.6

Close$44.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21-$0

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$44.9

High$48

Low$44.6

Close$44.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22$3.07

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.07

Open$44.9

High$49.3

Low$44.9

Close$48

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23$1.37

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.37

Open$48

High$49.3

Low$45.7

Close$49.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24-$1.42

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.42

Open$49.3

High$50.2

Low$44.6

Close$47.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25-$0.27

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.27

Open$47.9

High$51

Low$45.7

Close$47.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26-$1.1

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.1

Open$47.6

High$49.3

Low$45.7

Close$46.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$2.75

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.75

Open$46.5

High$49.3

Low$44.3

Close$49.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28-$2.52

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.52

Open$49.3

High$50.1

Low$45.4

Close$46.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$2.24

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.24

Open$46.8

High$49

Low$46.8

Close$49

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $07D -$0.3230D -$5.81

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

78.8%

Profit Factor

1.30x

Avg Win

$9.7

Avg Loss

-$27.7

Total Wins

$398

Total Losses

-$305

Avg. Hold Time

27d 19h 21m 37s

Best Win

$51.7

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8AM ET

Worst Loss

-$68.5

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 3AM ET

Period

Best Period

$214, Dec 21 – Dec 27

Worst Period

-$48.9, Dec 26 – Jan 1

Longest Streak

7d W / 5d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$192 (-92.8%)

Current DD

-$158 (-76.4%)

Max Runup

$215 (2917.3%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

stebel

Analytics

stebel

Analytics

stebel

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

stebel

Trader DNA

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types