ManuelMarin1309 Polymarket Trader

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 60.98 shares	16.8¢ / 16.1¢	-$0.43 (-4.2%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:47 PM
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 555.56 shares	0.9¢ / 0.9¢	-$0.15 (-2.9%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:47 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 59.52 shares	17.2¢ / 16.8¢	-$0.25 (-2.4%)	$10 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:47 PM
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 44.25 shares	11.6¢ / 9.7¢	-$0.84 (-16.4%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:46 PM
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 49.50 shares	10.4¢ / 10.6¢	$0.11 (2.2%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:46 PM
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 100.00 shares	2.1¢ / 2.0¢	-$0.06 (-2.9%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:46 PM
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 153.85 shares	2.7¢ / 2.5¢	-$0.27 (-6.6%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:44 PM
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 93.02 shares	4.4¢ / 5.0¢	$0.54 (13.0%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:44 PM
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 666.67 shares	1.5¢ / 1.6¢	$0.7 (6.8%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:43 PM
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 333.33 shares	0.3¢ / 0.1¢	-$0.71 (-68.6%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:41 PM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? YesFinance 75.76 shares	66.9¢ / 94.9¢	$21.2 (41.8%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:39 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? WonNoPolitics	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$31.8 (31.8%)	$100 · 1	$132 · 1	$0	Apr 11, 2026 6:26 AM
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? WonYesFinance	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20.2 (33.3%)	$60 · 1	$81 · 1	$0	May 31, 2026 9:07 PM
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? WonYesFinance	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.9 (26.6%)	$60 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 11:26 AM
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections? WonYesPolitics	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13 (25.9%)	$50 · 1	$63 · 1	$0	Apr 16, 2026 6:10 AM
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? WonYesPolitics	59.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.7 (69.6%)	$18 · 1	$0	$0	May 30, 2026 11:27 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? WonNoPolitics	80.8¢ / 100.0¢	$12.3 (23.0%)	$53.7 · 1	$66 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 7:01 AM
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? WonYesPolitics	71.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.3 (40.8%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 14, 2026 9:58 PM
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? WonNoPolitics	81.2¢ / 99.9¢	$10.1 (21.7%)	$46.5 · 1	$56.6 · 1	$0	Jun 11, 2026 7:10 PM
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? WonYesPolitics	70.9¢ / 100.0¢	$9.99 (10.5%)	$95 · 2	$105 · 2	$0	May 9, 2026 5:02 PM
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30? WonNoPolitics	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.97 (14.9%)	$60 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 11:27 AM
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30? WonNoPolitics	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.38 (26.6%)	$31.5 · 1	$0	$0	May 2, 2026 8:10 PM
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 WonYesPolitics	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.8 (16.3%)	$47.9 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 5, 2025 11:28 PM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? WonYesTech	83.6¢ / 100.0¢	$7.77 (19.3%)	$40 · 1	$48 · 1	$0	May 31, 2026 9:10 PM
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 11? WonYesWeather	85.6¢ / 100.0¢	$5.03 (16.8%)	$29.8 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 12, 2026 10:39 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? WonNoPolitics	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.57 (8.2%)	$56 · 1	$60.6 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 3:26 PM
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? WonNoPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.56 (9.1%)	$50 · 1	$54.6 · 1	$0	May 5, 2026 4:51 PM
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? WonYesCulture	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.35 (8.7%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 23, 2026 12:17 AM
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? WonYesPolitics	78.7¢ / 99.9¢	$4.1 (27.1%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2026 1:10 PM
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? WonYesPolitics	90.3¢ / 100.0¢	$3.76 (10.7%)	$35 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2026 1:11 PM
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? WonYesPolitics	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.71 (7.4%)	$50 · 1	$53.7 · 1	$0	Apr 21, 2026 3:35 PM
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? WonYesEconomics	90.7¢ / 100.0¢	$3.43 (10.3%)	$33.4 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 29, 2026 12:52 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? WonYesPolitics	93.7¢ / 100.0¢	$3.36 (6.7%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 5, 2025 11:28 PM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? WonYesTech	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.23 (6.4%)	$34.9 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 11:31 AM
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? WonNoPolitics	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.67 (5.3%)	$31.8 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 19, 2026 2:26 PM
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics	97.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.73 (2.0%)	$35.9 · 1	$36.7 · 1	$0	Apr 23, 2026 12:30 AM

ManuelMarin1309 Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

June 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$6.13

Jun 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.13

Open$18.7

High$26.7

Low$16.7

Close$24.8

Open positions13

USD balance$0

2-$1.66

Jun 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.66

Open$24.8

High$26.8

Low$19.6

Close$23.2

Open positions13

USD balance$54.5

3-$27.3

Jun 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$27.3

Open$23.2

High$31.1

Low-$6.83

Close-$4.1

Open positions13

USD balance$54.5

4-$1.29

Jun 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.29

Open-$4.1

High-$2.69

Low-$10.1

Close-$5.4

Open positions12

USD balance$54.5

5-$4.04

Jun 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.04

Open-$5.4

High-$2.27

Low-$11.1

Close-$9.44

Open positions12

USD balance$0

6$1.43

Jun 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.43

Open-$9.44

High-$5.18

Low-$12.1

Close-$8

Open positions12

USD balance$54.5

7$2.59

Jun 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.59

Open-$8

High-$4.12

Low-$9.91

Close-$5.41

Open positions12

USD balance$54.5

8$1.88

Jun 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.88

Open-$5.41

High-$0.75

Low-$7.79

Close-$3.53

Open positions11

USD balance$54.5

9-$1.03

Jun 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.03

Open-$3.53

High-$0.13

Low-$6.84

Close-$4.57

Open positions11

USD balance$54.5

10-$0.57

Jun 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.57

Open-$4.57

High-$1.04

Low-$7.7

Close-$5.14

Open positions11

USD balance$54.5

11$1.02

Jun 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.02

Open-$5.14

High-$3.33

Low-$9.41

Close-$4.12

Open positions11

USD balance$0

12-$1.54

Jun 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.54

Open-$4.12

High-$1.75

Low-$7.5

Close-$5.66

Open positions11

USD balance$0

13$3.25

Jun 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.25

Open-$5.66

High-$0.06

Low-$8.14

Close-$2.42

Open positions11

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $3.487D $2.9430D -$48.6

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

88.5%

Profit Factor

17.80x

Avg Win

$8.37

Avg Loss

-$3.61

Total Wins

$193

Total Losses

-$10.8

Avg. Hold Time

13d 6h 43m 58s

Best Win

$31.8

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Worst Loss

-$50.2

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Period

Best Period

$116, Apr 9 – Apr 15

Worst Period

-$72.8, Apr 29 – May 5

Longest Streak

8d W / 4d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$139 (-107.3%)

Current DD

-$132 (-101.9%)

Max Runup

$184 (336.5%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.06(13)

ManuelMarin1309

Analytics

ManuelMarin1309

Analytics

ManuelMarin1309

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

ManuelMarin1309

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA