Misguided-Snowboarding Polymarket Trader

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will $MATIC be above $1.50 on February 25? WonNo	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.66 (26.6%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 2, 2023 8:39 PM
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? WonNoFinance	80.3¢ / 100.0¢	$2.39 (18.4%)	$13 · 2	$15.4 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2024 7:28 AM
Will ETH hit $2,500 by April 30? WonNo	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.33 (11.1%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? WonYes	— / 0.0¢	$0.01	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? WonYes	— / 0.0¢	$0.01	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$0.01	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$0.01	$0	$0	$0	Oct 19, 2023 10:17 AM
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? WonYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? LostYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Oct 19, 2023 10:17 AM
Will the price of $ETH be above $1500 on November 4? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? LostYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on June 30, 2022? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will daily volume on Opensea drop below $20M by June 15? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? LostYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? LostYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? LostYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Oct 19, 2023 10:17 AM
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will $BTC reach $30,000 by April 7? LostYes	95.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 19, 2023 10:17 AM
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? LostNoPolitics	38.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$2.63 (-52.7%)	$5 · 1	$2.37 · 1	$0	Jan 16, 2024 11:12 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will $MATIC be above $1.50 on February 25? WonNo	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.66 (26.6%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 2, 2023 8:39 PM
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? WonNoFinance	80.3¢ / 100.0¢	$2.39 (18.4%)	$13 · 2	$15.4 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2024 7:28 AM
Will ETH hit $2,500 by April 30? WonNo	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.33 (11.1%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? WonYes	— / 0.0¢	$0.01	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? WonYes	— / 0.0¢	$0.01	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$0.01	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$0.01	$0	$0	$0	Oct 19, 2023 10:17 AM
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? WonYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? LostYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Oct 19, 2023 10:17 AM
Will the price of $ETH be above $1500 on November 4? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? LostYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on June 30, 2022? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will daily volume on Opensea drop below $20M by June 15? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? LostYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? LostYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? LostYes	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Aug 21, 2023 2:26 PM
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Oct 19, 2023 10:17 AM
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? LostNo	— / 0.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	May 1, 2023 8:50 PM
Will $BTC reach $30,000 by April 7? LostYes	95.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 19, 2023 10:17 AM
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? LostNoPolitics	38.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$2.63 (-52.7%)	$5 · 1	$2.37 · 1	$0	Jan 16, 2024 11:12 AM

Misguided-Snowboarding Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

October 2023

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.02

Oct 1, 2023

Daily PnL

$0.02

Open-$30.4

High-$30.3

Low-$30.4

Close-$30.3

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

2-$0.02

Oct 2, 2023

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open-$30.3

High-$30.3

Low-$30.4

Close-$30.4

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

4$0.39

Oct 4, 2023

Daily PnL

$0.39

Open-$30.4

High-$30

Low-$30.4

Close-$30

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

5-$0.71

Oct 5, 2023

Daily PnL

-$0.71

Open-$30

High-$30

Low-$30.7

Close-$30.7

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

6$0.7

Oct 6, 2023

Daily PnL

$0.7

Open-$30.7

High-$30

Low-$30.8

Close-$30

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

7-$0.08

Oct 7, 2023

Daily PnL

-$0.08

Open-$30

High-$30

Low-$30.1

Close-$30.1

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

8$0.06

Oct 8, 2023

Daily PnL

$0.06

Open-$30.1

High-$30

Low-$30.1

Close-$30

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

9$0.16

Oct 9, 2023

Daily PnL

$0.16

Open-$30

High-$29.8

Low-$30.1

Close-$29.8

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

10-$0.24

Oct 10, 2023

Daily PnL

-$0.24

Open-$29.8

High-$29.8

Low-$30.1

Close-$30.1

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

11-$0.07

Oct 11, 2023

Daily PnL

-$0.07

Open-$30.1

High-$30

Low-$30.1

Close-$30.1

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

12$0.23

Oct 12, 2023

Daily PnL

$0.23

Open-$30.1

High-$29.9

Low-$30.1

Close-$29.9

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

14$0.08

Oct 14, 2023

Daily PnL

$0.08

Open-$29.9

High-$29.8

Low-$29.9

Close-$29.8

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

18$0.01

Oct 18, 2023

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$29.8

High-$29.8

Low-$30.2

Close-$29.8

Open positions2

USD balance$79.9

19-$0.4

Oct 19, 2023

Daily PnL

-$0.4

Open-$29.8

High-$29.8

Low-$30.2

Close-$30.2

Open positions0

USD balance$97.6

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D —7D —30D $0.15

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

91.7%

Profit Factor

2.06x

Avg Win

$0.49

Avg Loss

-$2.63

Total Wins

$5.41

Total Losses

-$2.63

Avg. Hold Time

164d 4h 29m 44s

Best Win

$2.66

Will $MATIC be above $1.50 on February 25?

Worst Loss

-$10

UFC 285: Who will win - Jones or Gane?

Period

Best Period

$1.86, Mar 17 – Mar 23

Worst Period

-$15.7, Mar 3 – Mar 9

Longest Streak

7d W / 4d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$33.9 (-1519.1%)

Current DD

-$32.5 (-1454.7%)

Max Runup

$4.6 (17.3%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

Misguided-Snowboarding

Analytics

Analytics

Misguided-Snowboarding

Misguided-Snowboarding

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Misguided-Snowboarding

Trader DNA

Trader DNA