simalimalopes Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 2.97 shares	96.2¢ / 99.9¢	$0.11 (3.9%)	$2.85 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 6:54 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut a… WonYesTech	82.7¢ / 100.0¢	$4.8 (19.1%)	$25 · 1	$30 · 1	$0	Jun 11, 2026 6:09 PM
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Cont… WonYesTech	84.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.81 (16.9%)	$22.6 · 4	$26.4 · 1	$0	Apr 30, 2026 8:10 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.93 (16.3%)	$18 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2026 6:32 AM
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? WonYesTech	88.4¢ / 100.0¢	$2.92 (13.1%)	$22.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 9, 2026 7:11 PM
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026? WonNoTech	85.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.73 (13.1%)	$20.6 · 1	$23.5 · 1	$0	Apr 22, 2026 6:54 AM
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? WonNoPolitics	87.9¢ / 100.0¢	$2.49 (13.7%)	$18.1 · 2	$0	$0	May 22, 2026 6:17 AM
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? WonYesPolitics	90.4¢ / 100.0¢	$2.04 (7.3%)	$27.7 · 1	$29.9 · 1	$0	May 16, 2026 2:14 AM
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? WonNoPolitics	91.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.86 (8.7%)	$21.5 · 1	$23.4 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 10:55 AM
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? WonNoCulture	90.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.67 (10.4%)	$15.9 · 1	$0	$0	May 17, 2026 4:14 PM
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? WonYesTech	76.9¢ / 95.7¢	$1.59 (24.7%)	$6.34 · 1	$8 · 1	$0	Jul 25, 2026 3:20 AM
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? WonYesPolitics	94.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.44 (5.5%)	$26.3 · 1	$27.8 · 1	$0	May 14, 2026 12:13 AM
Starmer out by May 19, 2026? WonNoPolitics	91.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.36 (7.7%)	$17.6 · 1	$19 · 1	$0	May 20, 2026 7:57 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? WonNoPolitics	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.34 (6.4%)	$20.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 8, 2026 6:09 AM
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 WonUnderSports	76.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.22 (31.0%)	$3.91 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 25, 2026 12:16 AM
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Om… Won100 ThievesSports	63.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.05 (58.1%)	$1.77 · 1	$2.85 · 1	$0	Jul 31, 2026 4:28 AM
Iran closes its airspace by May 18? WonNoPolitics	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.01 (6.6%)	$15.1 · 2	$16.1 · 1	$0	May 19, 2026 6:58 AM
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score WonNoSports	67.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.97 (47.8%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	May 18, 2026 10:13 PM
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? WonYesSports	73.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.96 (32.1%)	$2.96 · 1	$3.94 · 1	$0	Jun 25, 2026 12:31 AM
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? WonNoPolitics	94.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.88 (4.3%)	$20.6 · 1	$21.5 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 7:07 AM
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? WonNoTech	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.88 (4.4%)	$19.9 · 1	$20.7 · 1	$0	Apr 16, 2026 6:41 AM
Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5: Over × Team to Advance: Sport Lisboa e B… ParlayWonYes	53.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.84 (85.4%)	$0.96 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 1:10 AM
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? WonNoTech	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.64 (3.3%)	$19.2 · 1	$19.9 · 1	$0	Apr 16, 2026 6:41 AM
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics	95.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.55 (3.9%)	$14.3 · 1	$14.8 · 1	$0	May 16, 2026 7:17 AM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? WonNoPolitics	96.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.53 (2.4%)	$22.4 · 1	$22.9 · 1	$0	Jun 8, 2026 6:09 AM
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 WonUnderSports	91.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.49 (9.6%)	$5.14 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 26, 2026 4:11 AM

					Merge
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 2.97 shares	96.2¢ / 99.9¢	$0.11 (3.9%)	$2.85 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 6:54 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut a… WonYesTech	82.7¢ / 100.0¢	$4.8 (19.1%)	$25 · 1	$30 · 1	$0	Jun 11, 2026 6:09 PM
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Cont… WonYesTech	84.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.81 (16.9%)	$22.6 · 4	$26.4 · 1	$0	Apr 30, 2026 8:10 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.93 (16.3%)	$18 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2026 6:32 AM
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? WonYesTech	88.4¢ / 100.0¢	$2.92 (13.1%)	$22.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 9, 2026 7:11 PM
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026? WonNoTech	85.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.73 (13.1%)	$20.6 · 1	$23.5 · 1	$0	Apr 22, 2026 6:54 AM
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? WonNoPolitics	87.9¢ / 100.0¢	$2.49 (13.7%)	$18.1 · 2	$0	$0	May 22, 2026 6:17 AM
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? WonYesPolitics	90.4¢ / 100.0¢	$2.04 (7.3%)	$27.7 · 1	$29.9 · 1	$0	May 16, 2026 2:14 AM
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? WonNoPolitics	91.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.86 (8.7%)	$21.5 · 1	$23.4 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 10:55 AM
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? WonNoCulture	90.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.67 (10.4%)	$15.9 · 1	$0	$0	May 17, 2026 4:14 PM
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? WonYesTech	76.9¢ / 95.7¢	$1.59 (24.7%)	$6.34 · 1	$8 · 1	$0	Jul 25, 2026 3:20 AM
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? WonYesPolitics	94.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.44 (5.5%)	$26.3 · 1	$27.8 · 1	$0	May 14, 2026 12:13 AM
Starmer out by May 19, 2026? WonNoPolitics	91.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.36 (7.7%)	$17.6 · 1	$19 · 1	$0	May 20, 2026 7:57 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? WonNoPolitics	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.34 (6.4%)	$20.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 8, 2026 6:09 AM
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 WonUnderSports	76.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.22 (31.0%)	$3.91 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 25, 2026 12:16 AM
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Om… Won100 ThievesSports	63.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.05 (58.1%)	$1.77 · 1	$2.85 · 1	$0	Jul 31, 2026 4:28 AM
Iran closes its airspace by May 18? WonNoPolitics	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.01 (6.6%)	$15.1 · 2	$16.1 · 1	$0	May 19, 2026 6:58 AM
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score WonNoSports	67.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.97 (47.8%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	May 18, 2026 10:13 PM
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? WonYesSports	73.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.96 (32.1%)	$2.96 · 1	$3.94 · 1	$0	Jun 25, 2026 12:31 AM
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? WonNoPolitics	94.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.88 (4.3%)	$20.6 · 1	$21.5 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 7:07 AM
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? WonNoTech	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.88 (4.4%)	$19.9 · 1	$20.7 · 1	$0	Apr 16, 2026 6:41 AM
Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5: Over × Team to Advance: Sport Lisboa e B… ParlayWonYes	53.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.84 (85.4%)	$0.96 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 1:10 AM
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? WonNoTech	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.64 (3.3%)	$19.2 · 1	$19.9 · 1	$0	Apr 16, 2026 6:41 AM
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics	95.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.55 (3.9%)	$14.3 · 1	$14.8 · 1	$0	May 16, 2026 7:17 AM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? WonNoPolitics	96.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.53 (2.4%)	$22.4 · 1	$22.9 · 1	$0	Jun 8, 2026 6:09 AM
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 WonUnderSports	91.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.49 (9.6%)	$5.14 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 26, 2026 4:11 AM

simalimalopes Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.42

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.42

Open-$13.6

High-$13.4

Low-$14

Close-$14

Open positions1

USD balance$0

2$0.34

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.34

Open-$14

High-$13.5

Low-$14.1

Close-$13.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

3-$1.47

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.47

Open-$13.7

High-$13

Low-$15.8

Close-$15.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

4$0.79

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.79

Open-$15.1

High-$13.7

Low-$15.6

Close-$14.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

5$0.29

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.29

Open-$14.4

High-$13.8

Low-$14.5

Close-$14.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

6-$0.12

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open-$14.1

High-$13.5

Low-$14.6

Close-$14.2

Open positions1

USD balance$0

7$0.41

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.41

Open-$14.2

High-$13.5

Low-$18.8

Close-$13.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

8$0.33

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.33

Open-$13.8

High-$13

Low-$14.1

Close-$13.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0.01

9$0.15

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.15

Open-$13.4

High-$13.3

Low-$13.5

Close-$13.3

Open positions0

USD balance$5.95

10$0.17

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.17

Open-$13.3

High-$13.1

Low-$13.5

Close-$13.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0.01

11$0.2

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.2

Open-$13.1

High-$12.9

Low-$13.2

Close-$12.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

13-$0.01

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open-$12.9

High-$12.9

Low-$13

Close-$12.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

14$0.01

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$12.9

High-$12.9

Low-$13.1

Close-$12.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

15$0.07

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.07

Open-$12.9

High-$12.7

Low-$13

Close-$12.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

16$0.13

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.13

Open-$12.9

High-$12.7

Low-$12.9

Close-$12.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

17$0.12

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.12

Open-$12.7

High-$12.6

Low-$13

Close-$12.6

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18$0.47

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.47

Open-$12.6

High-$12.1

Low-$12.6

Close-$12.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19$0.08

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.08

Open-$12.1

High-$12

Low-$12.2

Close-$12

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20$0.08

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.08

Open-$12

High-$12

Low-$12.2

Close-$12

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21$0.28

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.28

Open-$12

High-$11.1

Low-$13.1

Close-$11.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22$0.28

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.28

Open-$11.7

High-$11.2

Low-$11.8

Close-$11.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23$0.01

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$11.4

High-$11.3

Low-$11.5

Close-$11.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

24$0.18

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.18

Open-$11.4

High-$11.2

Low-$11.6

Close-$11.2

Open positions1

USD balance$0

25$0.55

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.55

Open-$11.2

High-$10.5

Low-$11.4

Close-$10.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26$0.33

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.33

Open-$10.7

High-$10.3

Low-$11

Close-$10.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

27-$5.76

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.76

Open-$10.3

High-$10.3

Low-$17.2

Close-$16.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28-$0.87

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.87

Open-$16.1

High-$15.9

Low-$17.7

Close-$17

Open positions1

USD balance$0

29-$1.62

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.62

Open-$17

High-$16.4

Low-$18.6

Close-$18.6

Open positions1

USD balance$0

30$0.3

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.3

Open-$18.6

High-$18

Low-$18.6

Close-$18.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

31$1.76

Jul 31, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.76

Open-$18.3

High-$16.4

Low-$18.3

Close-$16.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $1.767D -$5.330D -$2.83

Markets

Won

Lost

Combos

Win Rate

92.3%

Profit Factor

1.21x

Avg Win

$1.23

Avg Loss

-$12.2

Total Wins

$44.1

Total Losses

-$36.5

Avg. Hold Time

5d 2h 13m 11s

Best Win

$4.8

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut a…

Worst Loss

-$27.3

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$10.4, May 23 – May 29

Worst Period

-$24.1, Jun 19 – Jun 25

Longest Streak

13d W / 4d L

Current Streak

2d W

Max Drawdown

-$46.3 (-167.0%)

Current DD

-$44.2 (-159.6%)

Max Runup

$28.6 (3374.6%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

simalimalopes

Analytics

Analytics

simalimalopes

simalimalopes

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

simalimalopes

Trader DNA

Trader DNA