stratton.oakmont Polymarket Trader

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Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 68.18 shares	22.0¢ / 27.0¢	$3.41 (22.7%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 1:22 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? WonYesPolitics	30.0¢ / 100.0¢	$49 (233.3%)	$21 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 4, 2026 10:01 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei WonNoPolitics	38.1¢ / 100.0¢	$11.8 (162.7%)	$7.26 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 4, 2026 10:01 AM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? WonYesPolitics	36.3¢ / 100.0¢	$9.62 (36.6%)	$26.3 · 2	$17.3 · 1	$0	Mar 4, 2026 10:01 AM
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08? WonYesSports	61.2¢ / 100.0¢	$6.21 (63.2%)	$9.83 · 3	$16 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:05 AM
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? WonYesSports	31.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.76 (51.6%)	$3.41 · 1	$5.17 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:25 AM
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03? WonYesSports	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.72 (8.6%)	$20 · 1	$21.7 · 1	$0	Jan 3, 2026 11:22 PM
Will Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw? WonYesSports	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.28 (33.7%)	$3.79 · 1	$5.07 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:39 AM
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? WonYesSports	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.28 (67.4%)	$1.9 · 1	$3.17 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:32 AM
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07? WonNoSports	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.97 (12.3%)	$7.84 · 1	$8.8 · 2	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:26 AM
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? WonYesSports	33.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.67 (33.3%)	$2 · 1	$2.67 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:33 AM
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-08? WonNoSports	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.64 (21.5%)	$3 · 1	$3.64 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:22 AM
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08? WonNoSports	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.53 (3.0%)	$17.8 · 1	$18.3 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 1:16 AM
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? WonNoSports	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.35 (35.0%)	$1 · 1	$1.35 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:22 AM
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score WonNoSports	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.32 (4.0%)	$8 · 1	$8.32 · 1	$0	Jan 4, 2026 12:07 AM
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08? LostNoSports	57.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.63 (-63.2%)	$1 · 1	$0.37 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:05 AM
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? LostYesSports	19.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:44 AM
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07? LostYesSports	20.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.11 (-100.0%)	$1.11 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:25 AM
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-08? LostYesSports	31.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$2 (-100.0%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:22 AM
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? LostYesPolitics	17.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$2 (-100.0%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:36 AM
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? LostYesSports	25.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$3.64 (-73.5%)	$4.95 · 2	$1.31 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:22 AM
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07? LostYesSports	48.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:38 AM
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? LostYesPolitics	24.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:15 AM
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-07? LostYesSports	87.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$5.06 (-100.0%)	$5.06 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:57 AM
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026? LostNoPolitics	46.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$7.66 (-99.6%)	$7.69 · 1	$0.03 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 2:50 AM
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07? LostYesSports	77.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$9.48 (-94.8%)	$10 · 1	$0.52 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:41 AM

					Merge
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 68.18 shares	22.0¢ / 27.0¢	$3.41 (22.7%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 1:22 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? WonYesPolitics	30.0¢ / 100.0¢	$49 (233.3%)	$21 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 4, 2026 10:01 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei WonNoPolitics	38.1¢ / 100.0¢	$11.8 (162.7%)	$7.26 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 4, 2026 10:01 AM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? WonYesPolitics	36.3¢ / 100.0¢	$9.62 (36.6%)	$26.3 · 2	$17.3 · 1	$0	Mar 4, 2026 10:01 AM
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08? WonYesSports	61.2¢ / 100.0¢	$6.21 (63.2%)	$9.83 · 3	$16 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:05 AM
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? WonYesSports	31.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.76 (51.6%)	$3.41 · 1	$5.17 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:25 AM
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03? WonYesSports	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.72 (8.6%)	$20 · 1	$21.7 · 1	$0	Jan 3, 2026 11:22 PM
Will Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw? WonYesSports	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.28 (33.7%)	$3.79 · 1	$5.07 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:39 AM
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? WonYesSports	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.28 (67.4%)	$1.9 · 1	$3.17 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:32 AM
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07? WonNoSports	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.97 (12.3%)	$7.84 · 1	$8.8 · 2	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:26 AM
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? WonYesSports	33.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.67 (33.3%)	$2 · 1	$2.67 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:33 AM
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-08? WonNoSports	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.64 (21.5%)	$3 · 1	$3.64 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:22 AM
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08? WonNoSports	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.53 (3.0%)	$17.8 · 1	$18.3 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 1:16 AM
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? WonNoSports	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.35 (35.0%)	$1 · 1	$1.35 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:22 AM
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score WonNoSports	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.32 (4.0%)	$8 · 1	$8.32 · 1	$0	Jan 4, 2026 12:07 AM
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08? LostNoSports	57.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.63 (-63.2%)	$1 · 1	$0.37 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:05 AM
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? LostYesSports	19.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:44 AM
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07? LostYesSports	20.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.11 (-100.0%)	$1.11 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:25 AM
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-08? LostYesSports	31.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$2 (-100.0%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:22 AM
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? LostYesPolitics	17.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$2 (-100.0%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:36 AM
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? LostYesSports	25.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$3.64 (-73.5%)	$4.95 · 2	$1.31 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:22 AM
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07? LostYesSports	48.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:38 AM
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? LostYesPolitics	24.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:15 AM
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-07? LostYesSports	87.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$5.06 (-100.0%)	$5.06 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:57 AM
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026? LostNoPolitics	46.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$7.66 (-99.6%)	$7.69 · 1	$0.03 · 1	$0	Jan 9, 2026 2:50 AM
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07? LostYesSports	77.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$9.48 (-94.8%)	$10 · 1	$0.52 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:41 AM

stratton.oakmont Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.59

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.59

Open-$2.43

High-$1.84

Low-$2.97

Close-$1.84

Open positions1

USD balance$0

2$1.02

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.02

Open-$1.84

High$3.28

Low-$2.39

Close-$0.81

Open positions1

USD balance$0

3$0.27

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.27

Open-$0.81

High-$0.42

Low-$1.75

Close-$0.54

Open positions1

USD balance$0

4$0.14

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.14

Open-$0.54

High-$0.34

Low-$1.45

Close-$0.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

5-$0.48

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.48

Open-$0.4

High$0.13

Low-$1.58

Close-$0.88

Open positions1

USD balance$0

6$0.43

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.43

Open-$0.88

High$0.28

Low-$1.08

Close-$0.46

Open positions1

USD balance$0

7-$0.27

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.27

Open-$0.46

High$0

Low-$1.49

Close-$0.72

Open positions1

USD balance$0

8$0.46

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.46

Open-$0.72

High-$0.27

Low-$1.69

Close-$0.27

Open positions1

USD balance$0

9-$0.12

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open-$0.27

High$0.28

Low-$1.39

Close-$0.39

Open positions1

USD balance$0

10$0.12

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.12

Open-$0.39

High$0.21

Low-$1.21

Close-$0.27

Open positions1

USD balance$0

11$0.34

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.34

Open-$0.27

High$0.07

Low-$1.37

Close$0.07

Open positions1

USD balance$0

12$1.3

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.3

Open$0.07

High$1.37

Low-$0.58

Close$1.37

Open positions1

USD balance$0

13-$0.2

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.2

Open$1.37

High$1.37

Low$0.05

Close$1.16

Open positions1

USD balance$0

14-$0.55

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.55

Open$1.16

High$1.23

Low$0.08

Close$0.62

Open positions1

USD balance$0

15-$0.07

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.07

Open$0.62

High$1.16

Low-$0.11

Close$0.55

Open positions1

USD balance$0

16-$0.87

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.87

Open$0.55

High$1.16

Low-$0.32

Close-$0.32

Open positions1

USD balance$0

17$0.74

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.74

Open-$0.32

High$0.98

Low-$0.32

Close$0.41

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18-$0.07

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.07

Open$0.41

High$0.96

Low-$0.14

Close$0.35

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19$0.75

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.75

Open$0.35

High$1.23

Low-$0.53

Close$1.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20$0.07

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.07

Open$1.1

High$1.23

Low$0.08

Close$1.16

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21-$0.55

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.55

Open$1.16

High$1.23

Low$0.61

Close$0.61

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22$0.62

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.62

Open$0.61

High$1.23

Low$0.42

Close$1.23

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23$0.07

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.07

Open$1.23

High$1.3

Low$0.61

Close$1.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

25-$0.75

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.75

Open$1.3

High$1.3

Low-$0.05

Close$0.55

Open positions1

USD balance$0

27-$0

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$0.55

High$0.55

Low-$0.24

Close$0.55

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28-$0

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$0.55

High$0.55

Low-$0.24

Close$0.55

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.67D -$0.0730D $2.98

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

76.5%

Profit Factor

1.98x

Avg Win

$6.53

Avg Loss

-$10.7

Total Wins

$84.9

Total Losses

-$42.8

Avg. Hold Time

—

Best Win

$49

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Worst Loss

-$5

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Period

Best Period

$79.8, Feb 23 – Mar 1

Worst Period

-$36.9, Jan 6 – Jan 12

Longest Streak

6d W / 6d L

Current Streak

3d L

Max Drawdown

-$68.2 (-382.9%)

Current DD

-$3.35 (-85.9%)

Max Runup

$89.9 (104.5%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.1(66)

stratton.oakmont

Analytics

Analytics

stratton.oakmont

stratton.oakmont

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

stratton.oakmont

Trader DNA

Trader DNA