| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June? WonYesPolitics | 23.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $76.7 (300.8%) | $25.5 · 2 | $102 · 2 | $0 | May 10, 2025 4:14 PM | |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday? WonNoPolitics | 62.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $18.2 (26.5%) | $68.7 · 4 | $86.9 · 5 | $0 | Jul 31, 2025 2:15 AM | |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15? WonYesPolitics | 74.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $12.5 (34.5%) | $36.3 · 1 | $48.8 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2025 12:56 PM | |
Another India x Pakistan ceasefire announced by Friday? WonYesPolitics | 55.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.38 (5.3%) | $157 · 8 | $166 · 1 | $0 | May 13, 2025 12:23 AM | |
89.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.38 (12.4%) | $51.6 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2025 1:41 AM | ||
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? WonNoPolitics | 59.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.31 (20.5%) | $25.9 · 2 | $31.3 · 2 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:13 AM | |
36.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $4.68 (13.7%) | $34.3 · 4 | $39 · 3 | $0 | Aug 15, 2025 2:08 AM | ||
 Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday? WonYesMentions | 49.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.4 (22.9%) | $19.2 · 3 | $23.6 · 3 | $0 | Jul 25, 2025 4:39 AM | |
55.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.1 (5.6%) | $55.7 · 7 | $58.8 · 6 | $0 | Jul 20, 2025 7:12 PM | ||
 Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1? WonYesMentions | 68.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.48 (7.0%) | $35.7 · 2 | $38.2 · 2 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 7:11 PM | |
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1? WonNoMentions | 70.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.95 (4.3%) | $45.5 · 1 | $47.5 · 1 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 7:11 PM | |
 Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday? WonNoMentions | 77.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.81 (3.9%) | $20.7 · 1 | $21.5 · 1 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:14 AM | |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday? WonYesPolitics | 38.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.68 (4.1%) | $16.6 · 2 | $17.2 · 4 | $0 | Jul 31, 2025 2:15 AM | |
50.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.6 (10.0%) | $6 · 1 | $6.6 · 1 | $0 | Jul 31, 2025 3:34 AM | ||
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31? WonNoPolitics | 38.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.13 (2.6%) | $4.9 · 1 | $5.03 · 1 | $0 | Jul 27, 2025 1:06 AM | |
 Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25? WonYesMentions | 23.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.13 (8.7%) | $1.45 · 1 | $1.57 · 1 | $0 | Jul 25, 2025 1:03 PM | |
45.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.03 (2.2%) | $1.44 · 1 | $1.47 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2025 9:04 PM | ||
85.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $46.2 · 1 | $46.2 · 1 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:22 AM | ||
60.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $18 · 1 | $18 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2025 8:57 PM | ||
0.6¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.03 (-6.4%) | $0.43 · 2 | $0.4 · 1 | $0 | Jul 22, 2025 2:50 PM | ||
1.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1.02 (-100.0%) | $1.02 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Aug 2, 2025 7:14 PM | ||
44.8¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1.14 (-2.9%) | $39 · 5 | $37.9 · 5 | $0 | Jul 23, 2025 1:31 PM | ||
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25? LostYesMentions | 14.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1.19 (-85.0%) | $1.4 · 1 | $0.21 · 1 | $0 | Jul 24, 2025 1:38 PM | |
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday? LostNoMentions | 60.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1.99 (-26.5%) | $7.5 · 1 | $5.51 · 1 | $0 | Jul 25, 2025 4:40 AM | |
23.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$3.22 (-100.0%) | $3.22 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 15, 2025 3:30 PM |
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