always-bet-on-nothing Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? NoPolitics 25.97 shares	77.0¢ / 95.0¢	$4.68 (23.4%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 7:40 AM
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? NoCulture 153.02 shares	96.9¢ / 97.9¢	$1.7 (1.1%)	$159 · 3	$11.4 · 2	$0	Jul 31, 2026 7:21 AM
Trump out as President before 2027? NoPolitics 35.71 shares	84.0¢ / 93.0¢	$3.21 (10.7%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 2:33 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics	7.3¢ / 14.3¢	$128 (584.9%)	$21.9 · 3	$0	$150	Jun 2, 2026 11:19 PM
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press c… WonYesMentions	59.5¢ / 100.0¢	$107 (68.1%)	$157 · 11	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:31 PM
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? WonYesTech	58.0¢ / 100.0¢	$36.2 (72.4%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 6:11 AM
Will Trump say "Drone war" in October? WonYesMentions	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$35.3 (49.2%)	$71.8 · 9	$0	$0	Oct 22, 2025 9:00 PM
Will Leavitt say "Health" 7+ times during next White House press briefin… WonYesMentions	28.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.6 (257.1%)	$8.4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 24, 2025 11:31 AM
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? WonNoPolitics	43.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.3 (132.6%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 19, 2026 9:38 AM
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" during announcement today? WonYesMentions	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.9 (42.9%)	$30 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 11, 2025 1:26 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.1 (11.1%)	$100 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:31 PM
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October… WonYesMentions	80.9¢ / 100.0¢	$10.5 (23.6%)	$44.5 · 3	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:31 PM
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025? WonYesMentions	83.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.2 (20.5%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 10, 2025 8:21 PM
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The United Kingdom by… WonNoPolitics	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.03 (35.1%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 3, 2026 9:53 AM
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31? WonNoPolitics	83.8¢ / 100.0¢	$5.81 (19.4%)	$30 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 12, 2026 4:41 PM
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? WonYesMentions	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.67 (14.9%)	$38 · 3	$0	$0	Oct 21, 2025 8:13 PM
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Inflation" during earnings call? WonNoMentions	75.2¢ / 100.0¢	$5.55 (33.0%)	$16.8 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 23, 2025 1:39 AM
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference? WonYesMentions	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5 (25.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:31 PM
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1? WonNoPolitics	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.69 (23.5%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 3, 2026 9:53 AM
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? WonNoPolitics	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.81 (19.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 3, 2026 9:53 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition WonYesPolitics	80.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3.56 (23.8%)	$15 · 3	$0	$0	Jan 3, 2026 3:06 PM
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? WonYesTech	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.33 (33.3%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 19, 2025 12:22 PM
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October… WonYesTech	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.3 (11.1%)	$29.7 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 10, 2025 8:21 PM
Will Trump say "India" 3 or more times during Diwali Celebration events… WonYesMentions	81.3¢ / 100.0¢	$3.15 (22.9%)	$13.7 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 22, 2025 1:20 AM
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference? WonYesMentions	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3 (42.9%)	$7 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:31 PM
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Grok" during earnings call? WonYesMentions	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3 (42.9%)	$7 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 23, 2025 1:39 AM
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20? WonDownFinance	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.99 (29.9%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 8:43 AM
Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings? WonYesFinance	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.99 (29.9%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 6, 2025 2:46 PM

					Merge
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? NoPolitics 25.97 shares	77.0¢ / 95.0¢	$4.68 (23.4%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 7:40 AM
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? NoCulture 153.02 shares	96.9¢ / 97.9¢	$1.7 (1.1%)	$159 · 3	$11.4 · 2	$0	Jul 31, 2026 7:21 AM
Trump out as President before 2027? NoPolitics 35.71 shares	84.0¢ / 93.0¢	$3.21 (10.7%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 2:33 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics	7.3¢ / 14.3¢	$128 (584.9%)	$21.9 · 3	$0	$150	Jun 2, 2026 11:19 PM
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press c… WonYesMentions	59.5¢ / 100.0¢	$107 (68.1%)	$157 · 11	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:31 PM
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? WonYesTech	58.0¢ / 100.0¢	$36.2 (72.4%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 6:11 AM
Will Trump say "Drone war" in October? WonYesMentions	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$35.3 (49.2%)	$71.8 · 9	$0	$0	Oct 22, 2025 9:00 PM
Will Leavitt say "Health" 7+ times during next White House press briefin… WonYesMentions	28.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.6 (257.1%)	$8.4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 24, 2025 11:31 AM
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? WonNoPolitics	43.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.3 (132.6%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 19, 2026 9:38 AM
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" during announcement today? WonYesMentions	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.9 (42.9%)	$30 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 11, 2025 1:26 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.1 (11.1%)	$100 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:31 PM
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October… WonYesMentions	80.9¢ / 100.0¢	$10.5 (23.6%)	$44.5 · 3	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:31 PM
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025? WonYesMentions	83.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.2 (20.5%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 10, 2025 8:21 PM
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The United Kingdom by… WonNoPolitics	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.03 (35.1%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 3, 2026 9:53 AM
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31? WonNoPolitics	83.8¢ / 100.0¢	$5.81 (19.4%)	$30 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 12, 2026 4:41 PM
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? WonYesMentions	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.67 (14.9%)	$38 · 3	$0	$0	Oct 21, 2025 8:13 PM
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Inflation" during earnings call? WonNoMentions	75.2¢ / 100.0¢	$5.55 (33.0%)	$16.8 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 23, 2025 1:39 AM
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference? WonYesMentions	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5 (25.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:31 PM
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1? WonNoPolitics	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.69 (23.5%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 3, 2026 9:53 AM
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? WonNoPolitics	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.81 (19.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 3, 2026 9:53 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition WonYesPolitics	80.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3.56 (23.8%)	$15 · 3	$0	$0	Jan 3, 2026 3:06 PM
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? WonYesTech	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.33 (33.3%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 19, 2025 12:22 PM
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October… WonYesTech	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.3 (11.1%)	$29.7 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 10, 2025 8:21 PM
Will Trump say "India" 3 or more times during Diwali Celebration events… WonYesMentions	81.3¢ / 100.0¢	$3.15 (22.9%)	$13.7 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 22, 2025 1:20 AM
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference? WonYesMentions	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3 (42.9%)	$7 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:31 PM
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Grok" during earnings call? WonYesMentions	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3 (42.9%)	$7 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 23, 2025 1:39 AM
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20? WonDownFinance	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.99 (29.9%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 8:43 AM
Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings? WonYesFinance	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.99 (29.9%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 6, 2025 2:46 PM

always-bet-on-nothing Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.16

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.16

Open$85.5

High$85.8

Low$83.2

Close$85.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2$0.97

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.97

Open$85.7

High$86.6

Low$84

Close$86.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

3$0.1

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open$86.6

High$87.8

Low$84.7

Close$86.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

4$0.06

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.06

Open$86.7

High$87.4

Low$84.5

Close$86.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

5$0.36

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.36

Open$86.8

High$87.5

Low$85.2

Close$87.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6-$0.62

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.62

Open$87.1

High$87.8

Low$85

Close$86.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

7-$0.32

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.32

Open$86.5

High$87.5

Low$84.3

Close$86.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

8$0.93

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.93

Open$86.2

High$87.4

Low$84.6

Close$87.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

9-$0.93

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.93

Open$87.1

High$87.1

Low$85

Close$86.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

10$0.58

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.58

Open$86.2

High$87.1

Low$84.3

Close$86.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

11-$0.48

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.48

Open$86.8

High$87.4

Low$86.2

Close$86.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

12$0.53

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.53

Open$86.3

High$87.5

Low$86

Close$86.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

13-$2.23

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.23

Open$86.8

High$86.8

Low$84.6

Close$84.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

14$1.61

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.61

Open$84.6

High$87.2

Low$83.9

Close$86.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

15-$0.35

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.35

Open$86.2

High$86.6

Low$84.3

Close$85.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

16$0.69

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.69

Open$85.9

High$86.8

Low$84

Close$86.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

17-$2.56

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.56

Open$86.6

High$86.6

Low$84

Close$84

Open positions3

USD balance$0

18$2.58

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.58

Open$84

High$86.7

Low$79.3

Close$86.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

19-$0.12

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open$86.6

High$86.9

Low$83.2

Close$86.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

20$0.16

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.16

Open$86.5

High$87

Low$84.5

Close$86.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

21-$0.26

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.26

Open$86.6

High$87

Low$84.7

Close$86.4

Open positions3

USD balance$0

22-$0.07

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.07

Open$86.4

High$87.1

Low$83.9

Close$86.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

23$0.52

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.52

Open$86.3

High$87

Low$84.5

Close$86.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

24-$0.1

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.1

Open$86.8

High$87.1

Low$85.8

Close$86.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

25-$1.18

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.18

Open$86.7

High$86.7

Low$84.8

Close$85.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

26$0.6

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.6

Open$85.5

High$87.1

Low$85.5

Close$86.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

27$0.06

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.06

Open$86.1

High$86.8

Low$84.6

Close$86.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28-$0.42

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.42

Open$86.2

High$86.7

Low$79.9

Close$85.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29$0.33

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.33

Open$85.8

High$87.5

Low$85.1

Close$86.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

30$0.85

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.85

Open$86.1

High$87.6

Low$81.3

Close$87

Open positions3

USD balance$0

31-$0.04

Jul 31, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open$87

High$87.3

Low$86.7

Close$86.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$0.367D $0.4530D $0.29

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

74.3%

Profit Factor

1.26x

Avg Win

$6.52

Avg Loss

-$15

Total Wins

$359

Total Losses

-$286

Avg. Hold Time

33d 14h 51m 35s

Best Win

$107

Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press c…

Worst Loss

-$49.8

Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?

Period

Best Period

$115, Oct 27 – Nov 2

Worst Period

-$78.7, Jan 23 – Jan 29

Longest Streak

8d W / 7d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$108 (-77.3%)

Current DD

-$53.4 (-38.1%)

Max Runup

$146 (2489.9%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$4.35(144)

always-bet-on-nothing

Analytics

Analytics

always-bet-on-nothing

always-bet-on-nothing

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

always-bet-on-nothing

Trader DNA

Trader DNA