| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 June 30 No 128.00 net shares | 49.0¢ / 28.0¢ | -$25.8 (-42.9%) | Jun 5, 2026 4:18 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? Yes 46.00 net shares | 39.6¢ / 61.0¢ | $0 (54.2%) | Jun 5, 2026 3:41 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 162.09 net shares | 37.9¢ / 43.0¢ | $0 (13.4%) | Jun 4, 2026 1:27 AM | |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? Yes 85.96 net shares | 25.6¢ / 28.0¢ | $0 (9.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 7:00 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 149.00 net shares | 69.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 29, 2026 5:26 PM | |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -6.99 net shares | 4.2¢ / 1.7¢ | -$0 (-59.6%) | May 26, 2026 5:05 PM | |
May 31 No 30,654.13 net shares | 54.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (83.9%) | May 25, 2026 9:12 PM | |
 May 31 No -58.00 net shares | 60.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (65.1%) | May 25, 2026 6:46 PM | |
 December 31 Yes 242.67 net shares | 36.4¢ / 31.0¢ | -$0 (-14.9%) | May 25, 2026 6:42 PM | |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 81.25 net shares | 45.6¢ / 46.0¢ | $0.15 (0.8%) | May 24, 2026 5:03 PM | |
 No Meeting before May 11 Yes -3,523.43 net shares | 91.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.01 (9.5%) | May 10, 2026 11:21 AM | |
 May 31 No 820.83 net shares | 15.3¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 7, 2026 12:35 PM | |
 Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? Yes 935.30 net shares | 43.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (132.4%) | May 7, 2026 8:47 AM | |
June 30 Yes 4,573.36 net shares | 17.8¢ / 6.0¢ | -$0 (-66.3%) | May 6, 2026 2:45 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes -299.98 net shares | 8.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 4, 2026 5:31 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -79.98 net shares | 20.1¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 3, 2026 11:31 PM | |
May 31 Yes -1.21 net shares | 81.5¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (22.6%) | May 1, 2026 3:42 PM | |
 Christian Yes 0.02 net shares | 30.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 30, 2026 7:26 PM | |
 Farmer Yes 0.01 net shares | 22.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 30, 2026 7:25 PM | |
 April 30 No 0.01 net shares | 87.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (14.6%) | Apr 27, 2026 8:11 PM | |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15? Yes 0.02 net shares | 93.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (7.5%) | Apr 27, 2026 1:26 PM | |
 ↑ $115 No -79.99 net shares | 40.0¢ / 93.8¢ | $0 (134.4%) | Apr 19, 2026 8:15 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Yes -11,070.52 net shares | 23.4¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 17, 2026 1:07 PM | |
 June 21 No | — / 43.0¢ | $0 | — | |
 June 15 No | — / 83.5¢ | $0 | — |
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