gudbaron Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31… YesFinance 5.00 shares	86.0¢ / 3.0¢	-$4.15 (-96.5%)	$4.3 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 9:27 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25? WonYesCrypto	10.0¢ / 100.0¢	$16.4 (820.0%)	$2 · 1	$18.4 · 1	$0	Feb 25, 2026 7:58 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 25? WonYesCrypto	18.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.04 (446.7%)	$1.8 · 3	$9.83 · 1	$0	Feb 25, 2026 8:02 PM
Solana above $180 on July 21? WonYesCrypto	51.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.22 (95.9%)	$3.36 · 1	$6.57 · 1	$0	Jul 21, 2025 7:03 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	17.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.72 (19.5%)	$8.37 · 4	$10.5 · 1	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:15 AM
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31? WonYesCrypto	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.13 (8.0%)	$14.2 · 1	$15.3 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2025 7:23 PM
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? WonYesPolitics	73.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.86 (37.0%)	$2.33 · 1	$0	$0	May 28, 2025 3:57 AM
Bitcoin all time high in August? WonNoCrypto	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.3 (7.5%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 30, 2024 11:08 PM
Ripple above $3.15 on January 31? WonYesCrypto	37.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.17 (2.7%)	$6.5 · 1	$6.67 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2025 7:19 PM
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024? WonNoPolitics	92.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.15 (2.7%)	$5.6 · 1	$5.74 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2025 7:53 AM
Solana all time high in August? WonNoCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (1.1%)	$7 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 30, 2024 11:08 PM
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025? WonYesMentions	43.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.05 (1.7%)	$3 · 1	$3.05 · 1	$0	Oct 14, 2025 1:13 PM
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? WonNoSports	47.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.4%)	$8.26 · 1	$8.29 · 1	$0	Feb 10, 2025 7:20 AM
Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Browns? WonYesSports	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.01 (1.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 24, 2026 8:56 PM
Will Solana reach $300 in April? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.01 (0.2%)	$2.59 · 1	$0	$0	May 28, 2025 3:57 AM
Will Dillon Gabriel be the Browns QB2 for Week 1? WonYesSports	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.2%)	$1.49 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 24, 2026 8:56 PM
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? WonYesSports	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$12.3 · 1	$12.3 · 1	$0	May 22, 2025 4:46 AM
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? WonNoSports	53.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$4.74 · 1	$4.74 · 1	$0	Sep 8, 2025 12:40 AM
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election? LostYesPolitics	62.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.03 (-1.4%)	$2.12 · 1	$2.08 · 1	$0	Oct 12, 2025 2:37 AM
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? LostNoSports	56.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.03 (-2.0%)	$1.69 · 1	$1.66 · 1	$0	May 20, 2026 12:22 AM
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? LostYesSports	45.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.03 (-2.0%)	$1.56 · 1	$1.52 · 1	$0	May 20, 2026 12:22 AM
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? LostNoCulture	64.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.04 (-2.8%)	$1.31 · 1	$1.27 · 1	$0	Jan 2, 2026 1:39 AM
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? LostNoPolitics	48.0¢ / 56.0¢	-$0.04 (-2.1%)	$2.16 · 1	$2.12 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2026 8:18 AM
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus? LostYesSports	41.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.06 (-2.4%)	$2.46 · 1	$2.4 · 1	$0	Feb 12, 2025 7:49 PM
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? LostYesPolitics	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.07 (-1.9%)	$3.62 · 1	$3.55 · 1	$0	Oct 23, 2025 5:23 PM
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? LostNoSports	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.07 (-1.9%)	$3.61 · 1	$3.53 · 1	$0	Dec 7, 2025 7:45 PM

					Merge
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31… YesFinance 5.00 shares	86.0¢ / 3.0¢	-$4.15 (-96.5%)	$4.3 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 9:27 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25? WonYesCrypto	10.0¢ / 100.0¢	$16.4 (820.0%)	$2 · 1	$18.4 · 1	$0	Feb 25, 2026 7:58 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 25? WonYesCrypto	18.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.04 (446.7%)	$1.8 · 3	$9.83 · 1	$0	Feb 25, 2026 8:02 PM
Solana above $180 on July 21? WonYesCrypto	51.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.22 (95.9%)	$3.36 · 1	$6.57 · 1	$0	Jul 21, 2025 7:03 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	17.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.72 (19.5%)	$8.37 · 4	$10.5 · 1	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:15 AM
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31? WonYesCrypto	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.13 (8.0%)	$14.2 · 1	$15.3 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2025 7:23 PM
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? WonYesPolitics	73.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.86 (37.0%)	$2.33 · 1	$0	$0	May 28, 2025 3:57 AM
Bitcoin all time high in August? WonNoCrypto	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.3 (7.5%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 30, 2024 11:08 PM
Ripple above $3.15 on January 31? WonYesCrypto	37.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.17 (2.7%)	$6.5 · 1	$6.67 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2025 7:19 PM
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024? WonNoPolitics	92.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.15 (2.7%)	$5.6 · 1	$5.74 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2025 7:53 AM
Solana all time high in August? WonNoCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (1.1%)	$7 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 30, 2024 11:08 PM
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025? WonYesMentions	43.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.05 (1.7%)	$3 · 1	$3.05 · 1	$0	Oct 14, 2025 1:13 PM
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? WonNoSports	47.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.4%)	$8.26 · 1	$8.29 · 1	$0	Feb 10, 2025 7:20 AM
Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Browns? WonYesSports	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.01 (1.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 24, 2026 8:56 PM
Will Solana reach $300 in April? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.01 (0.2%)	$2.59 · 1	$0	$0	May 28, 2025 3:57 AM
Will Dillon Gabriel be the Browns QB2 for Week 1? WonYesSports	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.2%)	$1.49 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 24, 2026 8:56 PM
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? WonYesSports	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$12.3 · 1	$12.3 · 1	$0	May 22, 2025 4:46 AM
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? WonNoSports	53.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$4.74 · 1	$4.74 · 1	$0	Sep 8, 2025 12:40 AM
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election? LostYesPolitics	62.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.03 (-1.4%)	$2.12 · 1	$2.08 · 1	$0	Oct 12, 2025 2:37 AM
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? LostNoSports	56.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.03 (-2.0%)	$1.69 · 1	$1.66 · 1	$0	May 20, 2026 12:22 AM
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? LostYesSports	45.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.03 (-2.0%)	$1.56 · 1	$1.52 · 1	$0	May 20, 2026 12:22 AM
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? LostNoCulture	64.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.04 (-2.8%)	$1.31 · 1	$1.27 · 1	$0	Jan 2, 2026 1:39 AM
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? LostNoPolitics	48.0¢ / 56.0¢	-$0.04 (-2.1%)	$2.16 · 1	$2.12 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2026 8:18 AM
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus? LostYesSports	41.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.06 (-2.4%)	$2.46 · 1	$2.4 · 1	$0	Feb 12, 2025 7:49 PM
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? LostYesPolitics	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.07 (-1.9%)	$3.62 · 1	$3.55 · 1	$0	Oct 23, 2025 5:23 PM
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? LostNoSports	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.07 (-1.9%)	$3.61 · 1	$3.53 · 1	$0	Dec 7, 2025 7:45 PM

gudbaron Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$1.83

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.83

Open-$88.4

High-$85.2

Low-$89

Close-$86.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2$0.78

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.78

Open-$86.6

High-$85.5

Low-$87.3

Close-$85.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

3$0.1

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open-$85.8

High-$84.9

Low-$87.5

Close-$85.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

4$0.48

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.48

Open-$85.7

High-$83.4

Low-$87.2

Close-$85.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

5-$3.01

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.01

Open-$85.2

High-$84.3

Low-$88.2

Close-$88.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6$3.05

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.05

Open-$88.2

High-$85.1

Low-$89.5

Close-$85.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7-$0.02

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open-$85.2

High-$82.9

Low-$86.8

Close-$85.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8-$0.87

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.87

Open-$85.2

High-$84.7

Low-$86.8

Close-$86.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9$4.99

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.99

Open-$86.1

High-$80.5

Low-$86.9

Close-$81.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10-$1.01

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.01

Open-$81.1

High-$80.1

Low-$83.4

Close-$82.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11$1.92

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.92

Open-$82.1

High-$79.4

Low-$82.4

Close-$80.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12$0.26

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.26

Open-$80.2

High-$79.4

Low-$82.6

Close-$79.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13-$1.05

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.05

Open-$79.9

High-$79.2

Low-$81.5

Close-$81

Open positions2

USD balance$9.66

14-$25.6

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$25.6

Open-$81

High-$79.2

Low-$107

Close-$107

Open positions1

USD balance$12.5

15-$0.39

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.39

Open-$107

High-$106

Low-$107

Close-$107

Open positions1

USD balance$12.5

16-$0.52

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.52

Open-$107

High-$107

Low-$108

Close-$107

Open positions1

USD balance$12.5

17-$0.93

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.93

Open-$107

High-$107

Low-$109

Close-$108

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18$0

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$108

High-$108

Low-$109

Close-$108

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19$0.05

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.05

Open-$108

High-$108

Low-$109

Close-$108

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20$0.56

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.56

Open-$108

High-$108

Low-$108

Close-$108

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21$0.44

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.44

Open-$108

High-$107

Low-$108

Close-$107

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22$0.7

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.7

Open-$107

High-$107

Low-$108

Close-$107

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23$0.05

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.05

Open-$107

High-$107

Low-$107

Close-$107

Open positions1

USD balance$0

24-$0.95

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.95

Open-$107

High-$107

Low-$108

Close-$108

Open positions1

USD balance$0

25$0.3

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.3

Open-$108

High-$107

Low-$108

Close-$107

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26$0.15

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.15

Open-$107

High-$107

Low-$107

Close-$107

Open positions1

USD balance$0

27-$2.59

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.59

Open-$107

High-$107

Low-$110

Close-$110

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28-$0.39

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.39

Open-$110

High-$110

Low-$110

Close-$110

Open positions1

USD balance$0

29-$0.73

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.73

Open-$110

High-$110

Low-$111

Close-$111

Open positions1

USD balance$0

30-$0.14

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.14

Open-$111

High-$110

Low-$111

Close-$111

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$0.437D -$430D -$24.3

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

25.8%

Profit Factor

0.40x

Avg Win

$1.94

Avg Loss

-$1.71

Total Wins

$31

Total Losses

-$78.6

Avg. Hold Time

45d 17h 51m 14s

Best Win

$16.4

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?

Worst Loss

-$15.1

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$38.4, Apr 18 – Apr 24

Worst Period

-$48.2, Apr 24 – Apr 30

Longest Streak

6d W / 15d L

Current Streak

4d L

Max Drawdown

-$111 (-36872.3%)

Current DD

-$111 (-36872.3%)

Max Runup

$39.9 (80.2%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.06(26)

gudbaron

Analytics

Analytics

gudbaron

gudbaron

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

gudbaron

Trader DNA

Trader DNA