Shamil1945 Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? NoPolitics 100.00 shares	87.0¢ / 51.0¢	-$36 (-41.4%)	$87 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 4:20 AM
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 300.00 shares	3.4¢ / 12.4¢	$27 (264.7%)	$10.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:14 AM
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? NoPolitics 2.03 shares	86.0¢ / 50.2¢	-$1.69 (-2.0%)	$84.3 · 1	$81.6 · 2	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:27 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 11-18? WonYesPolitics	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$50 (65.8%)	$76 · 3	$126 · 2	$0	Oct 18, 2024 7:24 PM
Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Tesla" during the press conference? WonNoMentions	18.3¢ / 100.0¢	$41.8 (447.4%)	$9.34 · 5	$0	$0	May 31, 2025 9:06 AM
Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Oct 25 - Nov 1? WonNoMentions	67.7¢ / 0.0¢	$41.5 (24.2%)	$171 · 6	$213 · 2	$0	Nov 1, 2024 9:54 PM
Will Trump tweet 40 or more times September 27-October 4? WonYesMentions	23.0¢ / 0.0¢	$38 (165.2%)	$23 · 2	$61 · 1	$0	Oct 4, 2024 7:29 PM
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times October 4-11? WonYesMentions	16.0¢ / 0.0¢	$37.9 (237.0%)	$16 · 1	$53.9 · 2	$0	Oct 11, 2024 6:30 AM
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27? WonYesMentions	11.0¢ / 100.0¢	$34 (618.2%)	$5.5 · 1	$39.5 · 1	$0	Jun 27, 2025 7:29 PM
Will Zelensky say "we need" 3 or more times during his UN address? WonYesMentions	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$32.5 (185.7%)	$17.5 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 26, 2024 3:12 PM
Trump posts 30-34 or more times on X? WonYesMentions	48.4¢ / 100.0¢	$32.3 (20.9%)	$155 · 7	$77.1 · 4	$0	Aug 30, 2024 10:12 PM
Will Trump say "Marco / Rubio" this week? WonNoMentions	18.9¢ / 100.0¢	$30.9 (381.2%)	$8.09 · 10	$1.71 · 1	$0	Jun 7, 2025 12:15 PM
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4? WonYesMentions	14.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21 (300.0%)	$7 · 6	$28 · 1	$0	Jul 4, 2025 7:25 PM
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times? WonYesMentions	20.7¢ / 0.0¢	$20.7 (47.7%)	$43.4 · 4	$64.1 · 3	$0	Oct 3, 2024 12:54 PM
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) 6-7b one week after launch? WonYesCrypto	20.7¢ / 0.0¢	$18.1 (17.4%)	$104 · 8	$122 · 5	$0	Oct 8, 2024 12:38 PM
Will Trump tweet 30-39 times September 27-October 4? WonYesMentions	30.7¢ / 100.0¢	$17.7 (66.9%)	$26.5 · 3	$44.2 · 2	$0	Oct 4, 2024 7:22 PM
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27? WonYesMentions	30.9¢ / 0.0¢	$16.6 (41.3%)	$40.2 · 5	$56.8 · 3	$0	Jun 27, 2025 7:29 PM
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times September 27-October 4? WonNoMentions	66.8¢ / 100.0¢	$16.4 (45.1%)	$36.3 · 3	$52.6 · 3	$0	Oct 2, 2024 7:01 AM
Will Trump tweet 50 or more times October 18-25? WonYesMentions	26.6¢ / 100.0¢	$16 (43.1%)	$37.2 · 2	$53.2 · 3	$0	Oct 24, 2024 5:44 AM
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) 7-8b one week after launch? WonYesCrypto	15.1¢ / 0.0¢	$15.4 (30.5%)	$50.6 · 9	$66 · 2	$0	Oct 8, 2024 8:14 AM
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) 5-6b one week after launch? WonYesCrypto	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.1 (85.7%)	$17.6 · 2	$32.7 · 6	$0	Oct 8, 2024 8:19 AM
Will Trump tweet 70-79 times Oct 25 - Nov 1? WonNoMentions	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14 (18.7%)	$75 · 2	$89 · 1	$0	Nov 1, 2024 1:32 AM
Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X? WonYesMentions	25.9¢ / 0.0¢	$13.6 (33.4%)	$40.7 · 5	$54.2 · 3	$0	Aug 30, 2024 7:18 PM
Ethereum above $2,500 on August 30? WonNoCrypto	13.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.4 (51.5%)	$26 · 6	$39.4 · 5	$0	Aug 30, 2024 6:04 PM
Will Trump tweet 25-29 times September 27-October 4? WonYesMentions	20.0¢ / 0.0¢	$13.1 (65.2%)	$20.2 · 2	$33 · 4	$0.33	Oct 2, 2024 8:43 AM
Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X? WonNoMentions	68.8¢ / 100.0¢	$12.1 (22.0%)	$55 · 2	$27.2 · 1	$0	Aug 30, 2024 10:12 PM
Will Trump tweet 25-29 times October 4-11? WonYesMentions	17.0¢ / 0.0¢	$11.7 (23.0%)	$51 · 13	$62.7 · 4	$0	Oct 11, 2024 11:13 PM
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March? WonYesPolitics	62.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.4 (61.3%)	$18.6 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 13, 2025 12:43 PM

					Merge
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? NoPolitics 100.00 shares	87.0¢ / 51.0¢	-$36 (-41.4%)	$87 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 4:20 AM
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 300.00 shares	3.4¢ / 12.4¢	$27 (264.7%)	$10.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:14 AM
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? NoPolitics 2.03 shares	86.0¢ / 50.2¢	-$1.69 (-2.0%)	$84.3 · 1	$81.6 · 2	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:27 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 11-18? WonYesPolitics	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$50 (65.8%)	$76 · 3	$126 · 2	$0	Oct 18, 2024 7:24 PM
Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Tesla" during the press conference? WonNoMentions	18.3¢ / 100.0¢	$41.8 (447.4%)	$9.34 · 5	$0	$0	May 31, 2025 9:06 AM
Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Oct 25 - Nov 1? WonNoMentions	67.7¢ / 0.0¢	$41.5 (24.2%)	$171 · 6	$213 · 2	$0	Nov 1, 2024 9:54 PM
Will Trump tweet 40 or more times September 27-October 4? WonYesMentions	23.0¢ / 0.0¢	$38 (165.2%)	$23 · 2	$61 · 1	$0	Oct 4, 2024 7:29 PM
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times October 4-11? WonYesMentions	16.0¢ / 0.0¢	$37.9 (237.0%)	$16 · 1	$53.9 · 2	$0	Oct 11, 2024 6:30 AM
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27? WonYesMentions	11.0¢ / 100.0¢	$34 (618.2%)	$5.5 · 1	$39.5 · 1	$0	Jun 27, 2025 7:29 PM
Will Zelensky say "we need" 3 or more times during his UN address? WonYesMentions	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$32.5 (185.7%)	$17.5 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 26, 2024 3:12 PM
Trump posts 30-34 or more times on X? WonYesMentions	48.4¢ / 100.0¢	$32.3 (20.9%)	$155 · 7	$77.1 · 4	$0	Aug 30, 2024 10:12 PM
Will Trump say "Marco / Rubio" this week? WonNoMentions	18.9¢ / 100.0¢	$30.9 (381.2%)	$8.09 · 10	$1.71 · 1	$0	Jun 7, 2025 12:15 PM
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4? WonYesMentions	14.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21 (300.0%)	$7 · 6	$28 · 1	$0	Jul 4, 2025 7:25 PM
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times? WonYesMentions	20.7¢ / 0.0¢	$20.7 (47.7%)	$43.4 · 4	$64.1 · 3	$0	Oct 3, 2024 12:54 PM
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) 6-7b one week after launch? WonYesCrypto	20.7¢ / 0.0¢	$18.1 (17.4%)	$104 · 8	$122 · 5	$0	Oct 8, 2024 12:38 PM
Will Trump tweet 30-39 times September 27-October 4? WonYesMentions	30.7¢ / 100.0¢	$17.7 (66.9%)	$26.5 · 3	$44.2 · 2	$0	Oct 4, 2024 7:22 PM
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27? WonYesMentions	30.9¢ / 0.0¢	$16.6 (41.3%)	$40.2 · 5	$56.8 · 3	$0	Jun 27, 2025 7:29 PM
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times September 27-October 4? WonNoMentions	66.8¢ / 100.0¢	$16.4 (45.1%)	$36.3 · 3	$52.6 · 3	$0	Oct 2, 2024 7:01 AM
Will Trump tweet 50 or more times October 18-25? WonYesMentions	26.6¢ / 100.0¢	$16 (43.1%)	$37.2 · 2	$53.2 · 3	$0	Oct 24, 2024 5:44 AM
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) 7-8b one week after launch? WonYesCrypto	15.1¢ / 0.0¢	$15.4 (30.5%)	$50.6 · 9	$66 · 2	$0	Oct 8, 2024 8:14 AM
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) 5-6b one week after launch? WonYesCrypto	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.1 (85.7%)	$17.6 · 2	$32.7 · 6	$0	Oct 8, 2024 8:19 AM
Will Trump tweet 70-79 times Oct 25 - Nov 1? WonNoMentions	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14 (18.7%)	$75 · 2	$89 · 1	$0	Nov 1, 2024 1:32 AM
Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X? WonYesMentions	25.9¢ / 0.0¢	$13.6 (33.4%)	$40.7 · 5	$54.2 · 3	$0	Aug 30, 2024 7:18 PM
Ethereum above $2,500 on August 30? WonNoCrypto	13.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.4 (51.5%)	$26 · 6	$39.4 · 5	$0	Aug 30, 2024 6:04 PM
Will Trump tweet 25-29 times September 27-October 4? WonYesMentions	20.0¢ / 0.0¢	$13.1 (65.2%)	$20.2 · 2	$33 · 4	$0.33	Oct 2, 2024 8:43 AM
Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X? WonNoMentions	68.8¢ / 100.0¢	$12.1 (22.0%)	$55 · 2	$27.2 · 1	$0	Aug 30, 2024 10:12 PM
Will Trump tweet 25-29 times October 4-11? WonYesMentions	17.0¢ / 0.0¢	$11.7 (23.0%)	$51 · 13	$62.7 · 4	$0	Oct 11, 2024 11:13 PM
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March? WonYesPolitics	62.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.4 (61.3%)	$18.6 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 13, 2025 12:43 PM

Shamil1945 Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$3.15

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.15

Open$190

High$196

Low$188

Close$193

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2$0.33

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.33

Open$193

High$197

Low$190

Close$194

Open positions3

USD balance$0

3-$0.21

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.21

Open$194

High$196

Low$191

Close$193

Open positions3

USD balance$0

4-$0.09

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.09

Open$193

High$196

Low$190

Close$193

Open positions3

USD balance$0

5$0.6

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.6

Open$193

High$196

Low$190

Close$194

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6-$3.9

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.9

Open$194

High$196

Low$188

Close$190

Open positions3

USD balance$0

7-$2.4

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.4

Open$190

High$192

Low$186

Close$188

Open positions3

USD balance$0

8-$1.15

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.15

Open$188

High$190

Low$184

Close$186

Open positions3

USD balance$0

9-$0.56

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.56

Open$186

High$190

Low$183

Close$186

Open positions3

USD balance$0

10$1.71

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.71

Open$186

High$190

Low$186

Close$188

Open positions3

USD balance$0

11$2.55

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.55

Open$188

High$190

Low$186

Close$190

Open positions3

USD balance$0

12$0.3

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.3

Open$190

High$190

Low$186

Close$190

Open positions3

USD balance$0

13-$1.38

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.38

Open$190

High$191

Low$187

Close$189

Open positions3

USD balance$0

14-$0.6

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.6

Open$189

High$192

Low$186

Close$188

Open positions3

USD balance$0

15$2.85

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.85

Open$188

High$191

Low$185

Close$191

Open positions3

USD balance$0

16-$2.22

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.22

Open$191

High$191

Low$186

Close$189

Open positions3

USD balance$0

17$1.95

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.95

Open$189

High$191

Low$185

Close$191

Open positions3

USD balance$0

18-$2.28

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.28

Open$191

High$191

Low$187

Close$189

Open positions3

USD balance$0

19-$0.57

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.57

Open$189

High$191

Low$185

Close$188

Open positions3

USD balance$0

20-$0.21

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.21

Open$188

High$191

Low$187

Close$188

Open positions3

USD balance$0

21$2.46

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.46

Open$188

High$191

Low$187

Close$190

Open positions3

USD balance$0

22-$1.95

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.95

Open$190

High$191

Low$186

Close$189

Open positions3

USD balance$0

24-$0.18

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.18

Open$189

High$190

Low$186

Close$188

Open positions3

USD balance$0

25-$2.09

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.09

Open$188

High$188

Low$183

Close$186

Open positions3

USD balance$0

26-$1.3

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.3

Open$186

High$186

Low$182

Close$185

Open positions3

USD balance$0

27-$0.28

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.28

Open$185

High$186

Low$182

Close$185

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28$1.6

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.6

Open$185

High$186

Low$182

Close$186

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29-$2.89

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.89

Open$186

High$186

Low$180

Close$183

Open positions3

USD balance$0

30$2.59

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.59

Open$183

High$186

Low$183

Close$186

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $1.37D -$2.5530D -$7.33

Markets

102

Won

Lost

Win Rate

53.1%

Profit Factor

1.36x

Avg Win

$12.7

Avg Loss

-$10.6

Total Wins

$649

Total Losses

-$478

Avg. Hold Time

247d 7h 40m 20s

Best Win

—

Worst Loss

-$9

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?

Period

Best Period

$144, Sep 27 – Oct 3

Worst Period

-$95.3, Oct 24 – Oct 30

Longest Streak

9d W / 8d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$154 (-71.7%)

Current DD

-$28.5 (-13.3%)

Max Runup

$221 (3372.1%)

Rebates

Rewards

$25.6(29)

Yield

$0.6(207)

Shamil1945

Analytics

Analytics

Shamil1945

Shamil1945

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Shamil1945

Trader DNA

Trader DNA