Mr.Kawasaki Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? YesSports 2.42 shares	42.6¢ / 48.2¢	$0.13 (13.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 2:27 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET UpCryptoRedeemable 4.00 shares	26.3¢ / 100.0¢	$2.95 (280.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 23, 2026 11:36 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSportsRedeemable 7.50 shares	16.4¢ / 100.0¢	$6.27 (509.6%)	$1.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:15 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET WonUpCrypto	40.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3 (150.1%)	$1.98 · 2	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 3:00 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28? WonNoCrypto	43.2¢ / 100.0¢	$2.62 (131.1%)	$2 · 2	$4.62 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 7:04 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	53.7¢ / 100.0¢	$2.53 (84.4%)	$2.95 · 3	$5.52 · 1	$0	Mar 16, 2026 11:01 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	55.2¢ / 100.0¢	$2.38 (79.3%)	$2.96 · 3	$5.38 · 1	$0	Mar 19, 2026 6:46 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET WonDownCrypto	30.5¢ / 100.0¢	$2.36 (224.5%)	$1 · 1	$3.41 · 1	$0	Jun 23, 2026 8:25 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET WonUpCrypto	62.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.78 (59.3%)	$2.97 · 3	$4.77 · 1	$0	Mar 17, 2026 1:53 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET WonUpCrypto	53.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.77 (85.7%)	$2 · 2	$3.84 · 1	$0	Jun 23, 2026 8:40 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET WonUpCrypto	53.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.74 (86.9%)	$1.97 · 2	$0	$0	Mar 21, 2026 1:01 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET WonDownCrypto	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.6 (80.1%)	$1.97 · 2	$3.59 · 1	$0	Mar 17, 2026 4:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	38.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.57 (156.9%)	$0.99 · 1	$2.56 · 1	$0	Mar 17, 2026 11:01 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET WonDownCrypto	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.54 (76.9%)	$1.97 · 2	$3.53 · 1	$0	Mar 20, 2026 7:27 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET WonDownCrypto	57.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.47 (73.4%)	$1.97 · 2	$3.46 · 1	$0	Mar 16, 2026 10:56 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET WonDownCrypto	57.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.45 (72.6%)	$1.97 · 2	$3.45 · 1	$0	Mar 18, 2026 2:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET WonDownCrypto	58.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.43 (71.3%)	$1.97 · 2	$0	$0	Mar 18, 2026 2:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	44.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.29 (123.6%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 23, 2026 11:42 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	44.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.24 (123.8%)	$0.98 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 19, 2026 10:59 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET WonDownCrypto	62.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.22 (59.2%)	$2 · 2	$3.27 · 1	$0	Jul 23, 2026 11:42 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET WonDownCrypto	44.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.22 (121.6%)	$0.98 · 1	$2.21 · 1	$0	Mar 16, 2026 7:25 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET WonUpCrypto	44.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.22 (121.6%)	$0.98 · 1	$2.21 · 1	$0	Mar 17, 2026 10:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET WonDownCrypto	44.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.22 (121.6%)	$0.98 · 1	$2.21 · 1	$0	Mar 17, 2026 3:30 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	44.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.21 (120.7%)	$0.98 · 1	$2.21 · 1	$0	Mar 30, 2026 11:15 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET WonUpCrypto	45.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.19 (118.8%)	$0.98 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 2:58 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET WonDownCrypto	71.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.15 (38.2%)	$2.98 · 3	$4.14 · 1	$0	Mar 18, 2026 3:50 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET WonUpCrypto	46.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.14 (114.0%)	$0.98 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 21, 2026 11:04 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET WonUpCrypto	46.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.12 (112.1%)	$0.98 · 1	$2.12 · 1	$0	Mar 6, 2026 11:18 AM

					Merge
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? YesSports 2.42 shares	42.6¢ / 48.2¢	$0.13 (13.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 2:27 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET UpCryptoRedeemable 4.00 shares	26.3¢ / 100.0¢	$2.95 (280.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 23, 2026 11:36 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSportsRedeemable 7.50 shares	16.4¢ / 100.0¢	$6.27 (509.6%)	$1.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:15 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET WonUpCrypto	40.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3 (150.1%)	$1.98 · 2	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 3:00 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28? WonNoCrypto	43.2¢ / 100.0¢	$2.62 (131.1%)	$2 · 2	$4.62 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 7:04 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	53.7¢ / 100.0¢	$2.53 (84.4%)	$2.95 · 3	$5.52 · 1	$0	Mar 16, 2026 11:01 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	55.2¢ / 100.0¢	$2.38 (79.3%)	$2.96 · 3	$5.38 · 1	$0	Mar 19, 2026 6:46 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET WonDownCrypto	30.5¢ / 100.0¢	$2.36 (224.5%)	$1 · 1	$3.41 · 1	$0	Jun 23, 2026 8:25 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET WonUpCrypto	62.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.78 (59.3%)	$2.97 · 3	$4.77 · 1	$0	Mar 17, 2026 1:53 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET WonUpCrypto	53.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.77 (85.7%)	$2 · 2	$3.84 · 1	$0	Jun 23, 2026 8:40 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET WonUpCrypto	53.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.74 (86.9%)	$1.97 · 2	$0	$0	Mar 21, 2026 1:01 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET WonDownCrypto	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.6 (80.1%)	$1.97 · 2	$3.59 · 1	$0	Mar 17, 2026 4:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	38.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.57 (156.9%)	$0.99 · 1	$2.56 · 1	$0	Mar 17, 2026 11:01 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET WonDownCrypto	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.54 (76.9%)	$1.97 · 2	$3.53 · 1	$0	Mar 20, 2026 7:27 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET WonDownCrypto	57.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.47 (73.4%)	$1.97 · 2	$3.46 · 1	$0	Mar 16, 2026 10:56 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET WonDownCrypto	57.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.45 (72.6%)	$1.97 · 2	$3.45 · 1	$0	Mar 18, 2026 2:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET WonDownCrypto	58.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.43 (71.3%)	$1.97 · 2	$0	$0	Mar 18, 2026 2:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	44.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.29 (123.6%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 23, 2026 11:42 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	44.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.24 (123.8%)	$0.98 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 19, 2026 10:59 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET WonDownCrypto	62.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.22 (59.2%)	$2 · 2	$3.27 · 1	$0	Jul 23, 2026 11:42 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET WonDownCrypto	44.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.22 (121.6%)	$0.98 · 1	$2.21 · 1	$0	Mar 16, 2026 7:25 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET WonUpCrypto	44.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.22 (121.6%)	$0.98 · 1	$2.21 · 1	$0	Mar 17, 2026 10:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET WonDownCrypto	44.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.22 (121.6%)	$0.98 · 1	$2.21 · 1	$0	Mar 17, 2026 3:30 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	44.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.21 (120.7%)	$0.98 · 1	$2.21 · 1	$0	Mar 30, 2026 11:15 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET WonUpCrypto	45.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.19 (118.8%)	$0.98 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 29, 2026 2:58 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET WonDownCrypto	71.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.15 (38.2%)	$2.98 · 3	$4.14 · 1	$0	Mar 18, 2026 3:50 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET WonUpCrypto	46.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.14 (114.0%)	$0.98 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 21, 2026 11:04 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET WonUpCrypto	46.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.12 (112.1%)	$0.98 · 1	$2.12 · 1	$0	Mar 6, 2026 11:18 AM

Mr.Kawasaki Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.01

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open-$2.88

High-$2.86

Low-$2.96

Close-$2.89

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2$0.34

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.34

Open-$2.89

High-$2.54

Low-$2.94

Close-$2.54

Open positions4

USD balance$4.12

3-$0.03

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.03

Open-$2.54

High-$2.46

Low-$2.64

Close-$2.57

Open positions4

USD balance$4.12

4-$0.01

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open-$2.57

High-$2.53

Low-$2.63

Close-$2.59

Open positions4

USD balance$4.12

5-$0.01

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open-$2.59

High-$2.57

Low-$2.62

Close-$2.6

Open positions4

USD balance$4.12

6$0.46

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.46

Open-$2.6

High-$2.13

Low-$2.78

Close-$2.14

Open positions4

USD balance$4.12

7-$0.03

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.03

Open-$2.14

High-$2.06

Low-$2.26

Close-$2.17

Open positions4

USD balance$4.12

8$0.01

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$2.17

High-$2.11

Low-$2.22

Close-$2.15

Open positions4

USD balance$4.12

9-$0.1

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.1

Open-$2.15

High-$2.04

Low-$2.3

Close-$2.25

Open positions4

USD balance$4.12

10$0.58

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.58

Open-$2.25

High-$1.59

Low-$2.46

Close-$1.66

Open positions5

USD balance$3.11

11$0.03

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open-$1.66

High-$1.54

Low-$1.73

Close-$1.64

Open positions4

USD balance$4.59

12$0.25

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.25

Open-$1.64

High-$1.32

Low-$1.8

Close-$1.39

Open positions4

USD balance$4.59

13$0.08

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.08

Open-$1.39

High-$1.15

Low-$1.48

Close-$1.31

Open positions6

USD balance$2.58

14$1.82

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.82

Open-$1.31

High$0.5

Low-$1.46

Close$0.5

Open positions4

USD balance$3.59

15-$0.02

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open$0.5

High$0.5

Low$0.23

Close$0.49

Open positions4

USD balance$3.59

16$0.03

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open$0.49

High$0.52

Low$0.35

Close$0.52

Open positions4

USD balance$3.59

17$0.06

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.06

Open$0.52

High$0.58

Low$0.38

Close$0.58

Open positions4

USD balance$0

18-$0.11

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.11

Open$0.58

High$0.58

Low$0.3

Close$0.47

Open positions4

USD balance$0

19$3.16

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.16

Open$0.47

High$3.63

Low$0.3

Close$3.63

Open positions4

USD balance$0

20$0

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$3.63

High$3.63

Low$3.59

Close$3.63

Open positions4

USD balance$0

21-$0.05

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open$3.63

High$3.64

Low$3.51

Close$3.58

Open positions2

USD balance$8

22$0.02

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.02

Open$3.58

High$3.6

Low$3.55

Close$3.6

Open positions2

USD balance$8

23$4.4

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.4

Open$3.6

High$9.1

Low$3.54

Close$8

Open positions3

USD balance$8.4

26$0.07

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.07

Open$8

High$8.07

Low$8

Close$8.07

Open positions3

USD balance$0

27$0.03

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open$8.07

High$8.13

Low$7.99

Close$8.09

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28-$0.01

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open$8.09

High$8.13

Low$8.08

Close$8.08

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29$0.02

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.02

Open$8.08

High$8.14

Low$8.08

Close$8.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

30$0.07

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.07

Open$8.1

High$8.17

Low$8.1

Close$8.17

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.067D $4.5830D $11.1

Markets

160

Won

Lost

Combos

Win Rate

63.0%

Profit Factor

1.08x

Avg Win

$0.72

Avg Loss

-$1.13

Total Wins

$69.8

Total Losses

-$64.6

Avg. Hold Time

28d 5h 47m 15s

Best Win

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Worst Loss

-$3

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Period

Best Period

$7.53, Jul 18 – Jul 24

Worst Period

-$4.66, Jan 30 – Feb 5

Longest Streak

5d W / 5d L

Current Streak

2d W

Max Drawdown

-$10.2 (-343.3%)

Current DD

$0 (0.0%)

Max Runup

$15.4 (213.6%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

Mr.Kawasaki

Analytics

Mr.Kawasaki

Analytics

Mr.Kawasaki

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Mr.Kawasaki

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA