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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

Fatal-Conservative Polymarket Trader

Fatal-Conservative

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Active Since

Oct 17, 2025

Last Active

Jul 29, 2026

Positions Value

$0.8

Volume

$30.3

Fees Paid

$0.1

Buys

Sells

Redeems

Merges

Splits

Converts

					Merge
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 4.12 shares	24.3¢ / 19.4¢	-$0.2 (-20.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:16 PM

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Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Ethereum Up or Down on November 18? WonUpCrypto	22.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.55 (354.5%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 15, 2026 11:02 PM
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? WonYesPolitics	23.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.35 (334.8%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026 1:00 AM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesWeather	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.43 (42.9%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026 1:00 AM
Will there be at least 175 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026… WonYesCulture	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.01 (1.3%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026 1:00 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? WonDownCrypto	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 18, 2025 10:45 AM
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025? LostYesFinance	14.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 31, 2025 11:14 PM
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? LostYesCulture	35.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 4, 2025 7:27 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12AM ET LostUpCrypto	0.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 18, 2025 6:05 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 17? LostYesCrypto	0.4¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 17, 2025 6:09 PM
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? LostYesSports	41.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.02 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026 4:09 AM
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? LostYesSports	23.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.02 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 6, 2026 11:09 PM
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? LostYesSports	10.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.03 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 16, 2026 12:13 AM
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? LostYesSports	5.8¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.03 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 7, 2026 12:15 AM
Ethereum Up or Down on November 18? LostDownCrypto	80.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$4 (-100.0%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 15, 2026 11:02 PM

1–14

Page

Analytics

Volume

$18.1

+5569.1%

Fees

$0.1

—

Trades

+5384.6%

Avg trade size

$1.21

+3.4%

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.19

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.19

Open-$2.26

High-$1.84

Low-$2.55

Close-$2.08

Open positions4

USD balance$0

2-$0.17

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.17

Open-$2.08

High-$1.95

Low-$2.26

Close-$2.24

Open positions4

USD balance$0

3$0.17

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.17

Open-$2.24

High-$1.77

Low-$2.98

Close-$2.07

Open positions4

USD balance$0

4-$0.17

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.17

Open-$2.07

High-$2.02

Low-$2.38

Close-$2.24

Open positions4

USD balance$0

5$0.04

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open-$2.24

High-$1.94

Low-$2.38

Close-$2.2

Open positions4

USD balance$0

6-$1.37

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.37

Open-$2.2

High-$1.19

Low-$3.57

Close-$3.57

Open positions3

USD balance$0

7$0.1

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open-$3.57

High-$2.71

Low-$3.66

Close-$3.47

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8-$0.04

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open-$3.47

High-$3.44

Low-$3.55

Close-$3.51

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9$0.05

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.05

Open-$3.51

High-$3.36

Low-$3.57

Close-$3.46

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10-$0.14

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.14

Open-$3.46

High-$3.39

Low-$3.65

Close-$3.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11$0.61

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.61

Open-$3.6

High-$2.98

Low-$4.18

Close-$2.98

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12$0.05

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.05

Open-$2.98

High-$2.73

Low-$3.18

Close-$2.93

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$0.13

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.13

Open-$2.93

High-$2.7

Low-$2.97

Close-$2.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14$0.11

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.11

Open-$2.8

High-$2.46

Low-$2.97

Close-$2.69

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15-$2.27

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.27

Open-$2.69

High-$1.65

Low-$4.96

Close-$4.96

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16$0.03

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open-$4.96

High-$4.91

Low-$4.97

Close-$4.93

Open positions1

USD balance$0

17-$0.03

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.03

Open-$4.93

High-$4.93

Low-$4.97

Close-$4.96

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18$0.03

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open-$4.96

High-$4.93

Low-$4.96

Close-$4.93

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19-$0.02

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open-$4.93

High-$4.93

Low-$5

Close-$4.95

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20$0

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$4.95

High-$4.94

Low-$4.98

Close-$4.95

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21-$0.03

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.03

Open-$4.95

High-$4.94

Low-$5

Close-$4.97

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23-$0

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open-$4.97

High-$4.95

Low-$4.98

Close-$4.98

Open positions1

USD balance$0

24$0

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$4.98

High-$4.95

Low-$4.98

Close-$4.98

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26$0.03

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open-$4.98

High-$4.95

Low-$5.01

Close-$4.95

Open positions1

USD balance$0

27-$0.01

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open-$4.95

High-$4.95

Low-$5

Close-$4.96

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28-$0.03

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.03

Open-$4.96

High-$4.96

Low-$5

Close-$4.99

Open positions1

USD balance$0

29$0.03

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open-$4.99

High-$4.96

Low-$5

Close-$4.96

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.047D -$0.0230D -$2.7

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

85.7%

Profit Factor

3.79x

Avg Win

$0.63

Avg Loss

-$0.45

Total Wins

$3.79

Total Losses

-$0.45

Avg. Hold Time

64d 20h 10m 28s

Best Win

$3.35

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Worst Loss

-$1.03

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Period

Best Period

$4.25, Apr 4 – Apr 10

Worst Period

-$2.26, Jul 14 – Jul 20

Longest Streak

5d W / 6d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$4.48 (-867.6%)

Current DD

-$4.45 (-861.9%)

Max Runup

$4.28 (89.3%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

Fatal-Conservative

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Fatal-Conservative

Trader DNA

Trader DNA