| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Republican Party No 8.28 net shares | 79.7¢ / 80.0¢ | $0 (0.4%) | May 14, 2026 6:21 PM | |
 December 31 Yes 100.00 net shares | 13.0¢ / 12.0¢ | -$0.5 (-7.7%) | May 14, 2026 2:41 PM | |
Republican Party Yes 9.64 net shares | 22.7¢ / 20.0¢ | -$0 (-11.8%) | May 14, 2026 1:00 PM | |
 Pause–Pause–Cut No 65.48 net shares | 98.8¢ / 98.9¢ | $0.05 (0.1%) | May 14, 2026 11:09 AM | |
 May 15 No 0.00 net shares | 90.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (11.0%) | May 14, 2026 4:45 AM | |
 Ken Paxton No 8.75 net shares | 41.0¢ / 6.0¢ | -$1.53 (-85.4%) | May 14, 2026 2:49 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No -2.82 net shares | 97.4¢ / 99.1¢ | $0.02 (1.7%) | May 11, 2026 1:22 PM | |
 May 15 No 17.62 net shares | 1.4¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 11, 2026 1:28 AM | |
May 15 Yes 17.62 net shares | 99.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (0.9%) | May 11, 2026 1:13 AM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 26.06 net shares | 36.2¢ / 30.0¢ | -$0.13 (-17.2%) | May 10, 2026 2:02 AM | |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 46.55 net shares | 65.7¢ / 70.0¢ | $0 (6.5%) | May 10, 2026 12:02 AM | |
 No change Yes 105.50 net shares | 96.7¢ / 97.8¢ | $0 (1.2%) | May 9, 2026 8:03 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No 0.01 net shares | 76.8¢ / 0.1¢ | -$0 (-99.9%) | May 9, 2026 6:41 PM | |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 676.80 net shares | 8.8¢ / 5.7¢ | -$10.5 (-35.2%) | May 9, 2026 1:49 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes 0.01 net shares | 22.0¢ / 17.0¢ | -$1.93 (-22.7%) | May 9, 2026 11:02 AM | |
25 bps decrease No 42.46 net shares | 98.5¢ / 98.9¢ | $0.09 (0.4%) | May 9, 2026 12:52 AM | |
No change No 105.50 net shares | 3.3¢ / 2.3¢ | -$1.06 (-29.2%) | May 8, 2026 2:48 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 331.50 net shares | 30.3¢ / 29.0¢ | -$0 (-4.3%) | May 6, 2026 11:51 PM | |
 Donald Trump Yes 330.12 net shares | 3.2¢ / 2.1¢ | -$0 (-34.5%) | May 6, 2026 11:51 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 95.76 net shares | 47.0¢ / 38.0¢ | -$0 (-19.1%) | May 6, 2026 11:51 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 105.52 net shares | 42.6¢ / 31.0¢ | -$1.61 (-27.3%) | May 6, 2026 11:51 PM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 1,816.67 net shares | 6.0¢ / 5.0¢ | -$0 (-16.7%) | May 6, 2026 11:51 PM | |
 December 31 No 47.07 net shares | 68.0¢ / 54.0¢ | -$0 (-20.6%) | May 6, 2026 11:51 PM | |
 Roberto Sánchez Palomino No -1.24 net shares | 69.0¢ / 77.9¢ | $0 (12.9%) | May 4, 2026 11:09 PM | |
 Keiko Fujimori Yes -1.34 net shares | 66.6¢ / 76.0¢ | $0 (14.1%) | May 4, 2026 10:31 PM |
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