sobra Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… YesPolitics 187.35 shares	14.7¢ / 26.5¢	$22.1 (80.5%)	$27.2 · 5	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 3:22 PM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… YesPolitics 4.99 shares	3.3¢ / 0.1¢	-$0.16 (-97.0%)	$0.16 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 27, 2026 5:58 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? WonNoCrypto	18.9¢ / 50.0¢	$14.1 (323.0%)	$4.35 · 3	$18.4 · 1	$0	Nov 25, 2025 5:09 PM
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	54.3¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (28.9%)	$38 · 3	$49 · 1	$0	Feb 3, 2026 11:13 PM
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? WonNoCulture	8.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10 (962.5%)	$1.04 · 1	$11.1 · 1	$0	Jan 30, 2026 8:35 PM
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? WonYesCrypto	0.3¢ / 0.0¢	$7.35 (226.2%)	$3.25 · 3	$10.6 · 2	$0	Jun 4, 2026 12:38 AM
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 WonFUT EsportsSports	49.5¢ / 100.0¢	$7.28 (91.9%)	$7.92 · 2	$15.2 · 1	$0	Jun 7, 2026 11:44 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics	9.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.3 (233.3%)	$2.7 · 2	$9 · 1	$0	Jun 18, 2026 12:35 AM
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-12-07? WonYesSports	42.7¢ / 0.0¢	$5.45 (85.2%)	$6.4 · 2	$11.8 · 1	$0	Dec 7, 2025 6:01 PM
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 G… WonYesCulture	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.44 (212.5%)	$2.56 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 12, 2025 7:49 AM
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10? WonYesWeather	38.5¢ / 100.0¢	$5.35 (138.8%)	$3.7 · 1	$9.2 · 1	$0	Jul 10, 2026 3:26 PM
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on… WonYesCulture	— / 100.0¢	$4.95	$0	$4.95 · 1	$0	Jul 17, 2026 6:56 PM
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on Jul… WonYesCulture	4.3¢ / 100.0¢	$4.88 (1511.2%)	$0	$5.21 · 2	$0	Jul 26, 2026 1:52 PM
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February… WonNoCulture	44.0¢ / 0.0¢	$4.6 (104.5%)	$4.4 · 1	$9 · 1	$0	Feb 9, 2026 7:01 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET WonDownCrypto	6.4¢ / 100.0¢	$4.59 (428.8%)	$1 · 1	$5.66 · 1	$0	Jan 10, 2026 11:45 AM
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 10? WonYesWeather	43.8¢ / 100.0¢	$4.34 (99.3%)	$4.2 · 1	$6.72 · 1	$0	Jul 11, 2026 7:25 AM
XRP Up or Down - July 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET WonDownCrypto	46.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.32 (117.4%)	$3.68 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 20, 2026 8:26 PM
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.44 (32.0%)	$10.7 · 3	$14.2 · 2	$0	Jan 12, 2026 12:15 PM
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05? WonNoCrypto	30.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3 (100.0%)	$3 · 1	$6 · 1	$0	Jan 26, 2026 1:56 PM
Clippers vs. Nuggets WonNuggetsSports	44.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.8 (127.3%)	$2.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 31, 2026 7:17 AM
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025? WonYesCrypto	35.5¢ / 0.0¢	$2.62 (36.9%)	$7.1 · 1	$9.72 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:49 AM
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery WonArthur FerySports	47.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.6 (109.2%)	$2.35 · 1	$4.99 · 1	$0	Jun 17, 2026 4:00 PM
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? WonYesPolitics	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.5 (75.8%)	$3.3 · 1	$5.8 · 2	$0	Jul 7, 2026 9:05 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.5 (10.0%)	$25	$27.5 · 3	$0	Jul 20, 2026 10:02 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET WonDownCrypto	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.5 (10.0%)	$25	$27.5 · 4	$0	Jul 20, 2026 9:55 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET WonUpCrypto	50.0¢ / 0.0¢	$2.49 (9.9%)	$25	$27.5 · 8	$0	Jul 20, 2026 9:55 AM
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February… WonNoCulture	66.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.4 (36.4%)	$6.6 · 1	$9 · 1	$0	Feb 8, 2026 7:03 AM

					Merge
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… YesPolitics 187.35 shares	14.7¢ / 26.5¢	$22.1 (80.5%)	$27.2 · 5	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 3:22 PM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… YesPolitics 4.99 shares	3.3¢ / 0.1¢	-$0.16 (-97.0%)	$0.16 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 27, 2026 5:58 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? WonNoCrypto	18.9¢ / 50.0¢	$14.1 (323.0%)	$4.35 · 3	$18.4 · 1	$0	Nov 25, 2025 5:09 PM
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	54.3¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (28.9%)	$38 · 3	$49 · 1	$0	Feb 3, 2026 11:13 PM
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? WonNoCulture	8.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10 (962.5%)	$1.04 · 1	$11.1 · 1	$0	Jan 30, 2026 8:35 PM
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? WonYesCrypto	0.3¢ / 0.0¢	$7.35 (226.2%)	$3.25 · 3	$10.6 · 2	$0	Jun 4, 2026 12:38 AM
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 WonFUT EsportsSports	49.5¢ / 100.0¢	$7.28 (91.9%)	$7.92 · 2	$15.2 · 1	$0	Jun 7, 2026 11:44 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics	9.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.3 (233.3%)	$2.7 · 2	$9 · 1	$0	Jun 18, 2026 12:35 AM
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-12-07? WonYesSports	42.7¢ / 0.0¢	$5.45 (85.2%)	$6.4 · 2	$11.8 · 1	$0	Dec 7, 2025 6:01 PM
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 G… WonYesCulture	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.44 (212.5%)	$2.56 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 12, 2025 7:49 AM
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10? WonYesWeather	38.5¢ / 100.0¢	$5.35 (138.8%)	$3.7 · 1	$9.2 · 1	$0	Jul 10, 2026 3:26 PM
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on… WonYesCulture	— / 100.0¢	$4.95	$0	$4.95 · 1	$0	Jul 17, 2026 6:56 PM
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on Jul… WonYesCulture	4.3¢ / 100.0¢	$4.88 (1511.2%)	$0	$5.21 · 2	$0	Jul 26, 2026 1:52 PM
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February… WonNoCulture	44.0¢ / 0.0¢	$4.6 (104.5%)	$4.4 · 1	$9 · 1	$0	Feb 9, 2026 7:01 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET WonDownCrypto	6.4¢ / 100.0¢	$4.59 (428.8%)	$1 · 1	$5.66 · 1	$0	Jan 10, 2026 11:45 AM
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 10? WonYesWeather	43.8¢ / 100.0¢	$4.34 (99.3%)	$4.2 · 1	$6.72 · 1	$0	Jul 11, 2026 7:25 AM
XRP Up or Down - July 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET WonDownCrypto	46.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.32 (117.4%)	$3.68 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 20, 2026 8:26 PM
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.44 (32.0%)	$10.7 · 3	$14.2 · 2	$0	Jan 12, 2026 12:15 PM
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05? WonNoCrypto	30.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3 (100.0%)	$3 · 1	$6 · 1	$0	Jan 26, 2026 1:56 PM
Clippers vs. Nuggets WonNuggetsSports	44.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.8 (127.3%)	$2.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 31, 2026 7:17 AM
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025? WonYesCrypto	35.5¢ / 0.0¢	$2.62 (36.9%)	$7.1 · 1	$9.72 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:49 AM
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery WonArthur FerySports	47.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.6 (109.2%)	$2.35 · 1	$4.99 · 1	$0	Jun 17, 2026 4:00 PM
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? WonYesPolitics	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.5 (75.8%)	$3.3 · 1	$5.8 · 2	$0	Jul 7, 2026 9:05 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.5 (10.0%)	$25	$27.5 · 3	$0	Jul 20, 2026 10:02 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET WonDownCrypto	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.5 (10.0%)	$25	$27.5 · 4	$0	Jul 20, 2026 9:55 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET WonUpCrypto	50.0¢ / 0.0¢	$2.49 (9.9%)	$25	$27.5 · 8	$0	Jul 20, 2026 9:55 AM
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February… WonNoCulture	66.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.4 (36.4%)	$6.6 · 1	$9 · 1	$0	Feb 8, 2026 7:03 AM

sobra Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.02

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open-$40.1

High-$40

Low-$40.1

Close-$40.1

Open positions1

USD balance$135

3$0.04

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open-$40.1

High-$40

Low-$40.1

Close-$40

Open positions1

USD balance$135

5$0.3

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.3

Open-$40

High-$39.7

Low-$40.1

Close-$39.7

Open positions3

USD balance$150

6$1.94

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.94

Open-$39.7

High-$37.8

Low-$40.8

Close-$37.8

Open positions8

USD balance$135

7-$4.22

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.22

Open-$37.8

High-$36.7

Low-$42

Close-$42

Open positions5

USD balance$136

8$2.4

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.4

Open-$42

High-$39.6

Low-$42.5

Close-$39.6

Open positions4

USD balance$137

9-$1.55

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.55

Open-$39.6

High-$39

Low-$41.2

Close-$41.2

Open positions8

USD balance$129

10$0.97

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.97

Open-$41.2

High-$37

Low-$45.1

Close-$40.2

Open positions17

USD balance$127

11-$10.6

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$10.6

Open-$40.2

High-$39.1

Low-$52.8

Close-$50.8

Open positions6

USD balance$132

12$0.34

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.34

Open-$50.8

High-$50.5

Low-$50.8

Close-$50.5

Open positions4

USD balance$132

13$1.12

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.12

Open-$50.5

High-$49

Low-$50.6

Close-$49.4

Open positions35

USD balance$82.9

14-$2.07

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.07

Open-$49.4

High-$48.7

Low-$52.3

Close-$51.4

Open positions59

USD balance$58.5

15-$3.01

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.01

Open-$51.4

High-$51.4

Low-$59.4

Close-$54.4

Open positions86

USD balance$55.5

16$0.5

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.5

Open-$54.4

High-$53.9

Low-$54.8

Close-$53.9

Open positions85

USD balance$55.5

17$4.92

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.92

Open-$53.9

High-$48.8

Low-$54.1

Close-$49

Open positions62

USD balance$65.5

18$0.01

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$49

High-$48.8

Low-$49.4

Close-$49

Open positions57

USD balance$66.2

19$0.2

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.2

Open-$49

High-$48.6

Low-$49.1

Close-$48.8

Open positions50

USD balance$72.9

20-$28

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$28

Open-$48.8

High-$48.7

Low-$79.1

Close-$76.8

Open positions75

USD balance$8.52

21$16.6

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$16.6

Open-$76.8

High-$58.6

Low-$80.2

Close-$60.2

Open positions65

USD balance$0.07

22$11.1

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$11.1

Open-$60.2

High-$47.9

Low-$107

Close-$49.2

Open positions64

USD balance$1.1

23-$15.7

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$15.7

Open-$49.2

High-$45.8

Low-$65.1

Close-$64.9

Open positions64

USD balance$0.05

24-$1.59

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.59

Open-$64.9

High-$63.2

Low-$94.9

Close-$66.4

Open positions32

USD balance$10

25-$26.4

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$26.4

Open-$66.4

High-$63.1

Low-$93.6

Close-$92.9

Open positions31

USD balance$0

26-$1.2

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.2

Open-$92.9

High-$91.9

Low-$101

Close-$94.1

Open positions30

USD balance$0

27$14.8

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$14.8

Open-$94.1

High-$75.9

Low-$97.4

Close-$79.3

Open positions30

USD balance$0

28-$8.06

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$8.06

Open-$79.3

High-$78.8

Low-$99.8

Close-$87.4

Open positions30

USD balance$0

29$4.87

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.87

Open-$87.4

High-$81.9

Low-$95.3

Close-$82.5

Open positions30

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $11.67D -$20.230D -$42.4

Markets

243

Won

138

Lost

191

Combos

Win Rate

41.9%

Profit Factor

0.66x

Avg Win

$1.36

Avg Loss

-$1.48

Total Wins

$187

Total Losses

-$283

Avg. Hold Time

6d 10h 18m 46s

Best Win

$14.1

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

Worst Loss

-$22.5

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Period

Best Period

$29.3, Jan 22 – Jan 28

Worst Period

-$44.1, Jul 19 – Jul 25

Longest Streak

5d W / 5d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$102 (-1334.7%)

Current DD

-$90.1 (-1182.6%)

Max Runup

$36 (78.1%)

Rebates

$0.55(5)

Rewards

Yield

$0(3)

sobra

Analytics

sobra

Analytics

sobra

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

sobra

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA