dmoreno Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? NoPolitics 123.63 shares	50.0¢ / 79.3¢	$36.2 (34.7%)	$104	$0	$42.5	Jul 31, 2026 7:32 AM
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 123.63 shares	50.0¢ / 19.4¢	-$37.9 (-36.3%)	$104	$0	$42.5	Jul 31, 2026 6:44 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner WonB8Sports	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$388 (46.3%)	$837 · 2	$1.22K · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 7:39 PM
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5) WonVitalitySports	80.3¢ / 100.0¢	$217 (24.4%)	$886 · 3	$1.11K · 1	$0	May 11, 2026 11:51 PM
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner WonAstralisSports	73.0¢ / 100.0¢	$78.3 (9.7%)	$803 · 3	$881 · 8	$0	May 12, 2026 2:53 AM
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A WonB8Sports	71.4¢ / 100.0¢	$52.2 (11.4%)	$460 · 6	$512 · 4	$0	May 12, 2026 9:17 PM
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	5.8¢ / 0.0¢	$33.5 (3.0%)	$1.1K · 8	$1.16K · 5	$0	Jul 7, 2026 12:15 AM
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7? WonNoCrypto	93.2¢ / 100.0¢	$29.4 (5.2%)	$565 · 3	$582 · 2	$0	Mar 23, 2025 4:26 PM
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage WonPARIVISIONSports	40.0¢ / 0.0¢	$25 (25.0%)	$100 · 1	$125 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 5:36 PM
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025… WonNoMentions	97.6¢ / 100.0¢	$16.1 (0.8%)	$2.01K · 6	$2.03K · 9	$0	Dec 19, 2025 6:51 AM
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics	73.4¢ / 100.0¢	$15.7 (0.8%)	$2.08K · 4	$2.09K · 9	$0	May 16, 2026 7:18 AM
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7? WonNoMentions	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.4 (17.9%)	$85.8 · 2	$101 · 1	$0	Mar 6, 2025 7:18 PM
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7? WonNoMentions	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	$13.4 (2.5%)	$532 · 2	$546 · 1	$0	Mar 7, 2025 4:01 PM
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	2.4¢ / 0.0¢	$5.61 (1.3%)	$434 · 1	$453 · 1	$0	Jul 10, 2026 1:16 AM
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage WonG2Sports	67.2¢ / 100.0¢	$5.26 (0.2%)	$2.42K · 7	$2.43K · 21	$0	May 12, 2026 5:31 PM
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025… WonNoMentions	48.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.35 (2.7%)	$125 · 1	$128 · 17	$0	Dec 19, 2025 5:26 PM
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? WonNoSports	51.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.18 (93.2%)	$1.25 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2026 11:33 PM
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? WonNoSports	90.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.11 (10.4%)	$10.6 · 3	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2025 4:02 PM
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 11–18? WonNoMentions	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.44 (3.1%)	$14.1 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 10, 2025 6:44 PM
Ethereum all time high by June 30? WonNoCrypto	98.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.27 (1.9%)	$13.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2025 4:15 PM
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? WonNoSports	47.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.23 (16.8%)	$1.37 · 1	$1.6 · 1	$0	Feb 7, 2025 8:00 AM
Will Trump post less than 80 times on Truth March 21-28? WonNoMentions	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.19 (19.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 5, 2025 3:30 PM
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election? WonYesPolitics	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.09 (8.7%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 2, 2025 7:43 AM
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League? WonNoSports	99.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (0.4%)	$20.8 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 14, 2026 2:33 PM
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14? WonYesCrypto	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (8.2%)	$1 · 1	$1.08 · 1	$0	Feb 14, 2025 8:16 PM
25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (2.2%)	$2.77 · 1	$2.83 · 1	$0	Mar 6, 2025 4:34 PM
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 18–25? WonNoMentions	94.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (5.9%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2025 4:02 PM

					Merge
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? NoPolitics 123.63 shares	50.0¢ / 79.3¢	$36.2 (34.7%)	$104	$0	$42.5	Jul 31, 2026 7:32 AM
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 123.63 shares	50.0¢ / 19.4¢	-$37.9 (-36.3%)	$104	$0	$42.5	Jul 31, 2026 6:44 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner WonB8Sports	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$388 (46.3%)	$837 · 2	$1.22K · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 7:39 PM
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5) WonVitalitySports	80.3¢ / 100.0¢	$217 (24.4%)	$886 · 3	$1.11K · 1	$0	May 11, 2026 11:51 PM
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner WonAstralisSports	73.0¢ / 100.0¢	$78.3 (9.7%)	$803 · 3	$881 · 8	$0	May 12, 2026 2:53 AM
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A WonB8Sports	71.4¢ / 100.0¢	$52.2 (11.4%)	$460 · 6	$512 · 4	$0	May 12, 2026 9:17 PM
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	5.8¢ / 0.0¢	$33.5 (3.0%)	$1.1K · 8	$1.16K · 5	$0	Jul 7, 2026 12:15 AM
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7? WonNoCrypto	93.2¢ / 100.0¢	$29.4 (5.2%)	$565 · 3	$582 · 2	$0	Mar 23, 2025 4:26 PM
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage WonPARIVISIONSports	40.0¢ / 0.0¢	$25 (25.0%)	$100 · 1	$125 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 5:36 PM
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025… WonNoMentions	97.6¢ / 100.0¢	$16.1 (0.8%)	$2.01K · 6	$2.03K · 9	$0	Dec 19, 2025 6:51 AM
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics	73.4¢ / 100.0¢	$15.7 (0.8%)	$2.08K · 4	$2.09K · 9	$0	May 16, 2026 7:18 AM
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7? WonNoMentions	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.4 (17.9%)	$85.8 · 2	$101 · 1	$0	Mar 6, 2025 7:18 PM
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7? WonNoMentions	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	$13.4 (2.5%)	$532 · 2	$546 · 1	$0	Mar 7, 2025 4:01 PM
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	2.4¢ / 0.0¢	$5.61 (1.3%)	$434 · 1	$453 · 1	$0	Jul 10, 2026 1:16 AM
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage WonG2Sports	67.2¢ / 100.0¢	$5.26 (0.2%)	$2.42K · 7	$2.43K · 21	$0	May 12, 2026 5:31 PM
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025… WonNoMentions	48.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.35 (2.7%)	$125 · 1	$128 · 17	$0	Dec 19, 2025 5:26 PM
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? WonNoSports	51.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.18 (93.2%)	$1.25 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2026 11:33 PM
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? WonNoSports	90.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.11 (10.4%)	$10.6 · 3	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2025 4:02 PM
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 11–18? WonNoMentions	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.44 (3.1%)	$14.1 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 10, 2025 6:44 PM
Ethereum all time high by June 30? WonNoCrypto	98.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.27 (1.9%)	$13.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2025 4:15 PM
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? WonNoSports	47.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.23 (16.8%)	$1.37 · 1	$1.6 · 1	$0	Feb 7, 2025 8:00 AM
Will Trump post less than 80 times on Truth March 21-28? WonNoMentions	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.19 (19.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 5, 2025 3:30 PM
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election? WonYesPolitics	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.09 (8.7%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 2, 2025 7:43 AM
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League? WonNoSports	99.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (0.4%)	$20.8 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 14, 2026 2:33 PM
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14? WonYesCrypto	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (8.2%)	$1 · 1	$1.08 · 1	$0	Feb 14, 2025 8:16 PM
25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (2.2%)	$2.77 · 1	$2.83 · 1	$0	Mar 6, 2025 4:34 PM
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 18–25? WonNoMentions	94.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (5.9%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2025 4:02 PM

dmoreno Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$19.6

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$19.6

Open$210

High$247

Low$163

Close$230

Open positions2

USD balance$404

2$0.55

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.55

Open$230

High$230

Low$229

Close$230

Open positions2

USD balance$404

3-$5.26

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.26

Open$230

High$230

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

4$0.73

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.73

Open$225

High$226

Low$223

Close$226

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

6-$0.73

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.73

Open$226

High$226

Low$223

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

7$0.01

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

8-$0.01

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

9$0.01

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

10$0

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

11-$0

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$225

High$226

Low$222

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12-$0.06

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.06

Open$225

High$226

Low$223

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

13$0

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

14-$0

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

15$0

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

16$0.91

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.91

Open$225

High$226

Low$225

Close$226

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

17-$1.03

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.03

Open$226

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18$0.91

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.91

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$226

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19-$0.79

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.79

Open$226

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20-$0.91

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.91

Open$225

High$226

Low$223

Close$224

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21$0.91

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.91

Open$224

High$226

Low$222

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22$0.91

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.91

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$226

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23-$0.91

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.91

Open$226

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24$0.91

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.91

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$226

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25-$0.92

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.92

Open$226

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26-$0.01

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$0

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28-$1.16

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.16

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$224

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$0.25

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.25

Open$224

High$226

Low$223

Close$224

Open positions2

USD balance$0

30$0.91

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.91

Open$224

High$226

Low$221

Close$225

Open positions2

USD balance$0

31-$0.91

Jul 31, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.91

Open$225

High$226

Low$224

Close$224

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$1.717D -$0.0130D -$6.24

Markets

110

Won

Lost

Win Rate

47.2%

Profit Factor

1.22x

Avg Win

$17.5

Avg Loss

-$12.7

Total Wins

$873

Total Losses

-$713

Avg. Hold Time

44d 13h 59m 27s

Best Win

$388

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner

Worst Loss

-$323

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025…

Period

Best Period

$507, May 9 – May 15

Worst Period

-$304, Dec 15 – Dec 21

Longest Streak

8d W / 5d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$367 (-7218.0%)

Current DD

-$6.24 (-2.7%)

Max Runup

$592 (163.6%)

Rebates

$45.5(2)

Rewards

$19.8(3)

Yield

$0.63(83)

dmoreno

Analytics

Analytics

dmoreno

dmoreno

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

dmoreno

Trader DNA

Trader DNA