Ret-von-Ard Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 10.91 shares	60.5¢ / 99.9¢	-$20 (-28.4%)	$70.4 · 3	$39.5 · 3	$0	Jul 31, 2026 5:08 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? YesPolitics 7.14 shares	14.0¢ / 0.1¢	-$0.99 (-99.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:59 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of H… WonYesPolitics	26.0¢ / 100.0¢	$53.6 (267.9%)	$20 · 1	$73.6 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 6:51 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? WonNoPolitics	58.8¢ / 100.0¢	$44.6 (69.9%)	$63.7 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 2, 2026 10:32 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? WonNoPolitics	42.9¢ / 100.0¢	$24.4 (61.1%)	$40 · 2	$64.4 · 3	$0	Jul 7, 2026 3:30 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? WonYesFinance	67.5¢ / 100.0¢	$24.3 (48.1%)	$50.3 · 4	$0	$0	May 19, 2026 9:32 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? WonNoPolitics	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$19.1 (38.2%)	$50 · 1	$69.1 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 3:27 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? WonNoPolitics	53.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17.7 (88.7%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 8, 2026 8:51 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	59.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.7 (52.3%)	$30 · 1	$45.7 · 3	$0	May 1, 2026 7:27 AM
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? WonYesPolitics	28.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14 (167.2%)	$8.4 · 5	$22.4 · 3	$0	May 10, 2026 11:15 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	41.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.6 (142.0%)	$8.2 · 2	$19.8 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 6:44 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? WonNoPolitics	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.4 (104.1%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 21, 2026 4:22 PM
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? WonNoPolitics	38.8¢ / 100.0¢	$9.26 (61.7%)	$15 · 2	$15.6 · 1	$0	Apr 22, 2026 7:50 AM
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20? WonYesWeather	41.2¢ / 0.0¢	$8.45 (82.0%)	$10 · 1	$18.8 · 1	$0	Jun 20, 2026 4:29 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.79 (51.9%)	$15 · 2	$10.5 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 2:02 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? WonNoPolitics	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.36 (73.6%)	$10 · 1	$10.8 · 1	$0	Apr 22, 2026 7:27 AM
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? WonNoPolitics	44.2¢ / 100.0¢	$6.27 (105.5%)	$5.95 · 2	$3.75 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 9:35 AM
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? WonNoPolitics	44.6¢ / 100.0¢	$6.13 (103.1%)	$5.95 · 2	$3.75 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 9:35 AM
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? WonYesPolitics	46.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.65 (113.0%)	$5 · 1	$10.6 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 3:33 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? WonNoFinance	45.2¢ / 100.0¢	$5.42 (107.9%)	$4.89 · 1	$4.88 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 9:35 AM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026? WonNoPolitics	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.43 (108.5%)	$5 · 1	$10.4 · 4	$0	Apr 24, 2026 7:21 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? WonNoPolitics	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5 (33.3%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	May 19, 2026 10:25 PM
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? WonNoPolitics	69.5¢ / 100.0¢	$4.72 (19.2%)	$24.5 · 4	$29.3 · 3	$0	May 1, 2026 12:34 AM
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20? WonYesWeather	27.6¢ / 100.0¢	$4.69 (45.2%)	$10 · 1	$15 · 1	$0	Jun 20, 2026 4:40 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? WonNoPolitics	83.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.05 (20.2%)	$20 · 1	$24 · 1	$0	Apr 23, 2026 7:41 AM
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? WonNoPolitics	64.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.81 (56.3%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 9:35 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? WonNoFinance	37.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.7 (170.3%)	$1.59 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 2, 2026 10:32 PM

					Merge
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 10.91 shares	60.5¢ / 99.9¢	-$20 (-28.4%)	$70.4 · 3	$39.5 · 3	$0	Jul 31, 2026 5:08 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? YesPolitics 7.14 shares	14.0¢ / 0.1¢	-$0.99 (-99.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:59 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of H… WonYesPolitics	26.0¢ / 100.0¢	$53.6 (267.9%)	$20 · 1	$73.6 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 6:51 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? WonNoPolitics	58.8¢ / 100.0¢	$44.6 (69.9%)	$63.7 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 2, 2026 10:32 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? WonNoPolitics	42.9¢ / 100.0¢	$24.4 (61.1%)	$40 · 2	$64.4 · 3	$0	Jul 7, 2026 3:30 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? WonYesFinance	67.5¢ / 100.0¢	$24.3 (48.1%)	$50.3 · 4	$0	$0	May 19, 2026 9:32 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? WonNoPolitics	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$19.1 (38.2%)	$50 · 1	$69.1 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 3:27 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? WonNoPolitics	53.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17.7 (88.7%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 8, 2026 8:51 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	59.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.7 (52.3%)	$30 · 1	$45.7 · 3	$0	May 1, 2026 7:27 AM
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? WonYesPolitics	28.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14 (167.2%)	$8.4 · 5	$22.4 · 3	$0	May 10, 2026 11:15 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	41.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.6 (142.0%)	$8.2 · 2	$19.8 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 6:44 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? WonNoPolitics	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.4 (104.1%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 21, 2026 4:22 PM
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? WonNoPolitics	38.8¢ / 100.0¢	$9.26 (61.7%)	$15 · 2	$15.6 · 1	$0	Apr 22, 2026 7:50 AM
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20? WonYesWeather	41.2¢ / 0.0¢	$8.45 (82.0%)	$10 · 1	$18.8 · 1	$0	Jun 20, 2026 4:29 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.79 (51.9%)	$15 · 2	$10.5 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 2:02 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? WonNoPolitics	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.36 (73.6%)	$10 · 1	$10.8 · 1	$0	Apr 22, 2026 7:27 AM
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? WonNoPolitics	44.2¢ / 100.0¢	$6.27 (105.5%)	$5.95 · 2	$3.75 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 9:35 AM
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? WonNoPolitics	44.6¢ / 100.0¢	$6.13 (103.1%)	$5.95 · 2	$3.75 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 9:35 AM
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? WonYesPolitics	46.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.65 (113.0%)	$5 · 1	$10.6 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 3:33 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? WonNoFinance	45.2¢ / 100.0¢	$5.42 (107.9%)	$4.89 · 1	$4.88 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 9:35 AM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026? WonNoPolitics	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.43 (108.5%)	$5 · 1	$10.4 · 4	$0	Apr 24, 2026 7:21 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? WonNoPolitics	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5 (33.3%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	May 19, 2026 10:25 PM
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? WonNoPolitics	69.5¢ / 100.0¢	$4.72 (19.2%)	$24.5 · 4	$29.3 · 3	$0	May 1, 2026 12:34 AM
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20? WonYesWeather	27.6¢ / 100.0¢	$4.69 (45.2%)	$10 · 1	$15 · 1	$0	Jun 20, 2026 4:40 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? WonNoPolitics	83.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.05 (20.2%)	$20 · 1	$24 · 1	$0	Apr 23, 2026 7:41 AM
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? WonNoPolitics	64.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.81 (56.3%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 9:35 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? WonNoFinance	37.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.7 (170.3%)	$1.59 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 2, 2026 10:32 PM

Ret-von-Ard Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.45

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.45

Open-$129

High-$129

Low-$130

Close-$129

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2$1.67

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.67

Open-$129

High-$127

Low-$129

Close-$127

Open positions3

USD balance$0

3$0.22

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.22

Open-$127

High-$127

Low-$128

Close-$127

Open positions3

USD balance$0

4$0.96

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.96

Open-$127

High-$126

Low-$127

Close-$126

Open positions3

USD balance$0

5$0.4

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.4

Open-$126

High-$125

Low-$126

Close-$126

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6$0.95

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.95

Open-$126

High-$125

Low-$126

Close-$125

Open positions3

USD balance$23.5

7$0.32

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.32

Open-$125

High-$124

Low-$125

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$23.5

8$0.09

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.09

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$125

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$23.5

9-$0.07

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.07

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$125

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$23.5

10-$0.07

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.07

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$125

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$23.5

11$0.05

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.05

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$125

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$0

12$0.04

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$125

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$0

13$0.08

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.08

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$125

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$0

14$0.11

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.11

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$125

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$0

15$0

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$124

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$0

16$0.01

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$124

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$0

17$0.01

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$124

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$0

18$0.01

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$124

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$0

19-$0.02

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$125

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$0

20-$0

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$125

Close-$124

Open positions3

USD balance$0

21$0.04

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$124

Close-$124

Open positions2

USD balance$43.9

22$0

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$124

Close-$124

Open positions2

USD balance$43.9

23-$0

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$124

Close-$124

Open positions2

USD balance$43.9

24$0.03

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$125

Close-$124

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$0.01

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$124

Close-$124

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$0.01

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$124

Close-$124

Open positions2

USD balance$0

30-$0

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$124

Close-$124

Open positions2

USD balance$0

31$0

Jul 31, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$124

High-$124

Low-$124

Close-$124

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $07D $0.0230D $3.17

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

57.7%

Profit Factor

1.31x

Avg Win

$7.81

Avg Loss

-$8.14

Total Wins

$351

Total Losses

-$269

Avg. Hold Time

11d 3h 8m 28s

Best Win

$51.6

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of H…

Worst Loss

-$52.1

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$96.3, Apr 20 – Apr 26

Worst Period

-$241, Jun 10 – Jun 16

Longest Streak

10d W / 7d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$330 (-169.6%)

Current DD

-$319 (-163.8%)

Max Runup

$186 (2299.7%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

Ret-von-Ard

Analytics

Analytics

Ret-von-Ard

Ret-von-Ard

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Ret-von-Ard

Trader DNA

Trader DNA