jakubhosek Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? NoPolitics 55.56 shares	90.0¢ / 93.0¢	$1.67 (3.3%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 12:38 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? WonNoPolitics	60.3¢ / 100.0¢	$18.9 (63.1%)	$30 · 2	$48.9 · 1	$0	Jul 7, 2026 3:29 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	61.6¢ / 100.0¢	$17.1 (62.3%)	$27.5 · 2	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 12:43 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? WonNoPolitics	63.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.4 (48.6%)	$23.5 · 1	$27.5 · 2	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:10 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? WonNoPolitics	33.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.84 (203.0%)	$3.37 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 6, 2026 7:44 PM
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? WonYesPolitics	91.7¢ / 100.0¢	$6.14 (9.0%)	$68 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:25 PM
Will Starostové get between 10% and 13% of the vote in the Czech electio… WonYesPolitics	40.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6 (150.0%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 6, 2025 1:28 PM
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? WonYesPolitics	31.6¢ / 100.0¢	$5.99 (149.7%)	$4 · 2	$9.98 · 1	$0	Jun 2, 2025 8:56 AM
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in… WonNoPolitics	47.1¢ / 100.0¢	$5.4 (105.5%)	$5 · 1	$10.5 · 1	$0	Jul 20, 2026 7:45 PM
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election? WonYesPolitics	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.89 (162.9%)	$3 · 1	$7.88 · 1	$0	Jun 4, 2025 2:58 AM
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup? WonYesSports	67.7¢ / 100.0¢	$4.76 (47.6%)	$10 · 2	$14.8 · 1	$0	Aug 1, 2025 10:09 PM
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? WonYesPolitics	84.2¢ / 100.0¢	$4.14 (18.7%)	$22 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 19, 2026 5:04 AM
Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election? WonYesPolitics	33.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.06 (203.0%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 6, 2025 1:28 PM
Will Piráti get between 8% and 11% of the vote in the Czech election? WonYesPolitics	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4 (100.0%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 6, 2025 1:28 PM
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? WonNoPolitics	59.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.57 (64.9%)	$5.5 · 1	$9.07 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2025 7:57 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… WonYesPolitics	74.6¢ / 100.0¢	$3.45 (34.1%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:07 PM
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31… WonNoPolitics	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.38 (33.8%)	$10 · 1	$13.4 · 2	$0	Apr 1, 2026 6:15 AM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? WonNoPolitics	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.14 (62.8%)	$5 · 1	$8.13 · 1	$0	Aug 1, 2025 6:05 AM
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? WonNoFinance	36.4¢ / 66.0¢	$2.85 (81.6%)	$3.5 · 1	$6.35 · 1	$0	Feb 8, 2026 8:45 PM
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils? WonYesPolitics	88.4¢ / 100.0¢	$2.63 (13.1%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2026 9:46 AM
Russia announces air truce by August 31? WonNoPolitics	84.5¢ / 100.0¢	$2.53 (17.4%)	$14.5 · 2	$17 · 1	$0	Sep 1, 2025 6:12 AM
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? WonYesPolitics	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.43 (46.7%)	$5.2 · 1	$0.63 · 1	$0	Nov 9, 2025 2:59 PM
Iran strike on Israel by Monday? WonYesPolitics	80.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.38 (23.8%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 17, 2025 1:30 PM
Starmer out by February 28, 2026? WonNoPolitics	83.3¢ / 100.0¢	$2.37 (20.1%)	$11.8 · 2	$0	$0	Mar 5, 2026 9:39 PM
Polish snap election called in 2025? WonNo	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.08 (26.1%)	$8 · 2	$10.1 · 2	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:45 AM
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? WonYesPolitics	53.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.5 (30.0%)	$5 · 1	$6.5 · 2	$0	May 9, 2026 5:02 PM

					Merge
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? NoPolitics 55.56 shares	90.0¢ / 93.0¢	$1.67 (3.3%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 12:38 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? WonNoPolitics	60.3¢ / 100.0¢	$18.9 (63.1%)	$30 · 2	$48.9 · 1	$0	Jul 7, 2026 3:29 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	61.6¢ / 100.0¢	$17.1 (62.3%)	$27.5 · 2	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 12:43 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? WonNoPolitics	63.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.4 (48.6%)	$23.5 · 1	$27.5 · 2	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:10 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? WonNoPolitics	33.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.84 (203.0%)	$3.37 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 6, 2026 7:44 PM
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? WonYesPolitics	91.7¢ / 100.0¢	$6.14 (9.0%)	$68 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:25 PM
Will Starostové get between 10% and 13% of the vote in the Czech electio… WonYesPolitics	40.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6 (150.0%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 6, 2025 1:28 PM
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? WonYesPolitics	31.6¢ / 100.0¢	$5.99 (149.7%)	$4 · 2	$9.98 · 1	$0	Jun 2, 2025 8:56 AM
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in… WonNoPolitics	47.1¢ / 100.0¢	$5.4 (105.5%)	$5 · 1	$10.5 · 1	$0	Jul 20, 2026 7:45 PM
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election? WonYesPolitics	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.89 (162.9%)	$3 · 1	$7.88 · 1	$0	Jun 4, 2025 2:58 AM
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup? WonYesSports	67.7¢ / 100.0¢	$4.76 (47.6%)	$10 · 2	$14.8 · 1	$0	Aug 1, 2025 10:09 PM
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? WonYesPolitics	84.2¢ / 100.0¢	$4.14 (18.7%)	$22 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 19, 2026 5:04 AM
Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election? WonYesPolitics	33.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.06 (203.0%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 6, 2025 1:28 PM
Will Piráti get between 8% and 11% of the vote in the Czech election? WonYesPolitics	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4 (100.0%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 6, 2025 1:28 PM
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? WonNoPolitics	59.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.57 (64.9%)	$5.5 · 1	$9.07 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2025 7:57 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… WonYesPolitics	74.6¢ / 100.0¢	$3.45 (34.1%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:07 PM
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31… WonNoPolitics	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.38 (33.8%)	$10 · 1	$13.4 · 2	$0	Apr 1, 2026 6:15 AM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? WonNoPolitics	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.14 (62.8%)	$5 · 1	$8.13 · 1	$0	Aug 1, 2025 6:05 AM
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? WonNoFinance	36.4¢ / 66.0¢	$2.85 (81.6%)	$3.5 · 1	$6.35 · 1	$0	Feb 8, 2026 8:45 PM
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils? WonYesPolitics	88.4¢ / 100.0¢	$2.63 (13.1%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2026 9:46 AM
Russia announces air truce by August 31? WonNoPolitics	84.5¢ / 100.0¢	$2.53 (17.4%)	$14.5 · 2	$17 · 1	$0	Sep 1, 2025 6:12 AM
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? WonYesPolitics	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.43 (46.7%)	$5.2 · 1	$0.63 · 1	$0	Nov 9, 2025 2:59 PM
Iran strike on Israel by Monday? WonYesPolitics	80.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.38 (23.8%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 17, 2025 1:30 PM
Starmer out by February 28, 2026? WonNoPolitics	83.3¢ / 100.0¢	$2.37 (20.1%)	$11.8 · 2	$0	$0	Mar 5, 2026 9:39 PM
Polish snap election called in 2025? WonNo	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.08 (26.1%)	$8 · 2	$10.1 · 2	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:45 AM
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? WonYesPolitics	53.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.5 (30.0%)	$5 · 1	$6.5 · 2	$0	May 9, 2026 5:02 PM

jakubhosek Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$1.44

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.44

Open$61.9

High$62.4

Low$57.6

Close$60.4

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2$1.7

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.7

Open$60.4

High$62.1

Low$59.6

Close$62.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

3-$1.48

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.48

Open$62.1

High$63

Low$60.6

Close$60.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

4-$1.42

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.42

Open$60.6

High$60.7

Low$59.2

Close$59.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

5$1.62

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.62

Open$59.2

High$62

Low$59.1

Close$60.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6-$0.17

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.17

Open$60.8

High$61.8

Low$58.4

Close$60.7

Open positions3

USD balance$8.32

7$0.42

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.42

Open$60.7

High$62.6

Low$60.2

Close$61.1

Open positions3

USD balance$8.32

8$0.82

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.82

Open$61.1

High$62.4

Low$60.5

Close$61.9

Open positions3

USD balance$8.32

9$2.01

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.01

Open$61.9

High$65.6

Low$61.9

Close$63.9

Open positions3

USD balance$8.32

10$0.18

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.18

Open$63.9

High$64.9

Low$63

Close$64.1

Open positions3

USD balance$8.32

11-$0.22

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.22

Open$64.1

High$64.4

Low$61.3

Close$63.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

12$1.64

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.64

Open$63.9

High$65.8

Low$63.9

Close$65.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

13-$0.53

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.53

Open$65.5

High$65.8

Low$63.7

Close$65

Open positions2

USD balance$19.7

14-$7.22

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.22

Open$65

High$65.2

Low$55.6

Close$57.8

Open positions2

USD balance$19.7

15-$2.99

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.99

Open$57.8

High$58.8

Low$54.4

Close$54.8

Open positions2

USD balance$19.7

16$1.52

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.52

Open$54.8

High$56.5

Low$54.8

Close$56.3

Open positions2

USD balance$19.7

17-$0.62

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.62

Open$56.3

High$56.6

Low$55.1

Close$55.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18$0.83

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.83

Open$55.7

High$56.8

Low$55.5

Close$56.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19-$0.14

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.14

Open$56.5

High$56.8

Low$55.9

Close$56.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20-$0.05

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open$56.4

High$57.4

Low$55.7

Close$56.3

Open positions0

USD balance$93.8

24-$0.33

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.33

Open$56.3

High$56.3

Low$55.8

Close$56

Open positions3

USD balance$13.5

25-$11.7

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$11.7

Open$56

High$56.1

Low$43

Close$44.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26-$0.8

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.8

Open$44.3

High$45.1

Low$42.6

Close$43.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$1.01

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.01

Open$43.5

High$45.5

Low$43.4

Close$44.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$0.73

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.73

Open$44.5

High$46.5

Low$43.4

Close$45.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$5.44

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.44

Open$45.3

High$50.7

Low$44.8

Close$50.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

30$0.56

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.56

Open$50.7

High$51.8

Low$50.1

Close$51.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.567D -$5.0830D -$9.16

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

70.3%

Profit Factor

1.76x

Avg Win

$3.24

Avg Loss

-$4.35

Total Wins

$146

Total Losses

-$82.6

Avg. Hold Time

80d 11h 31m 51s

Best Win

$18.9

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Worst Loss

-$15

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Period

Best Period

$17.8, Apr 20 – Apr 26

Worst Period

-$16.4, Feb 23 – Mar 1

Longest Streak

11d W / 5d L

Current Streak

4d W

Max Drawdown

-$33.3 (-159.2%)

Current DD

-$14.3 (-21.8%)

Max Runup

$77.9 (628.5%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

jakubhosek

Analytics

Analytics

jakubhosek

jakubhosek

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

jakubhosek

Trader DNA

Trader DNA