| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 11.76 net shares | 68.0¢ / 68.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | May 12, 2026 11:00 PM | |
 Gavin Newsom Yes 11.98 net shares | 17.3¢ / 16.6¢ | -$0.04 (-3.8%) | May 12, 2026 10:59 PM | |
 JD Vance Yes 10.70 net shares | 19.3¢ / 18.8¢ | -$0.03 (-2.6%) | May 12, 2026 10:58 PM | |
 Marco Rubio Yes 13.99 net shares | 14.8¢ / 13.9¢ | -$0.06 (-6.0%) | May 12, 2026 10:58 PM | |
 Democrats Sweep Yes 4.55 net shares | 45.0¢ / 43.0¢ | -$0.05 (-4.4%) | May 12, 2026 10:57 PM | |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes 5.56 net shares | 36.9¢ / 35.0¢ | -$0.05 (-5.2%) | May 12, 2026 10:56 PM | |
 Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No 5.88 net shares | 34.0¢ / 42.0¢ | $0.24 (23.5%) | May 12, 2026 10:56 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 8.70 net shares | 23.0¢ / 23.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | May 12, 2026 10:54 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 5.71 net shares | 35.0¢ / 33.0¢ | -$0.06 (-5.7%) | May 12, 2026 10:52 PM | |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes 4.26 net shares | 48.2¢ / 25.0¢ | -$0.49 (-48.2%) | May 12, 2026 10:52 PM | |
 December 31 Yes 3.13 net shares | 64.9¢ / 77.0¢ | $0.19 (18.6%) | May 12, 2026 10:51 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 9.52 net shares | 21.7¢ / 24.0¢ | $0.11 (10.8%) | May 12, 2026 10:51 PM | |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 11.49 net shares | 9.1¢ / 7.4¢ | -$0.2 (-18.7%) | May 12, 2026 10:51 PM | |
 June 30 No 5.26 net shares | 84.0¢ / 84.0¢ | -$0 (-0.0%) | May 10, 2026 10:06 PM | |
 Nicolás Maduro No 4.48 net shares | 47.3¢ / 35.6¢ | -$0.26 (-24.8%) | Apr 21, 2026 3:05 AM | |
 May 31 Yes 86.63 net shares | 82.0¢ / 22.0¢ | -$26 (-73.2%) | Apr 16, 2026 6:41 AM | |
 April 30 No -33.52 net shares | 93.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (6.6%) | Apr 16, 2026 6:39 AM | |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? No 9.80 net shares | 51.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$5 (-100.0%) | Apr 7, 2026 10:44 PM | |
 June 30 No 1.37 net shares | 73.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $0.23 (23.3%) | Apr 7, 2026 10:02 PM | |
May 31 No 1.32 net shares | 76.0¢ / 94.8¢ | $0.25 (24.7%) | Apr 7, 2026 10:02 PM | |
 25 bps increase Yes 1.85 net shares | 54.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | Apr 7, 2026 10:02 PM | |
 Arsenal Yes 3.70 net shares | 27.0¢ / 43.0¢ | $0.59 (59.3%) | Apr 7, 2026 10:01 PM | |
 June 30 No 1.56 net shares | 64.0¢ / 85.0¢ | $0.33 (32.8%) | Apr 7, 2026 10:00 PM |
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