ArnanSerifat Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	4.1¢ / 100.0¢	$70.3 (2343.7%)	$3 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 9, 2026 2:13 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	6.0¢ / 100.0¢	$31.3 (1565.3%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:03 AM
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET WonDownCrypto	7.0¢ / 100.0¢	$26 (1296.7%)	$2 · 1	$28 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 4:46 AM
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	6.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.7 (1565.3%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 2:32 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	89.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (4.1%)	$1 · 1	$1.04 · 1	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:01 AM
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET LostDownCrypto	4.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.6 (-100.0%)	$0.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 10, 2026 5:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET LostUpCrypto	3.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.99 (-100.0%)	$0.99 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 11, 2026 6:15 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET LostUpCrypto	7.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 5, 2026 2:01 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET LostUpCrypto	3.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 12:15 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET LostUpCrypto	7.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 7, 2026 11:45 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET LostUpCrypto	3.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 9, 2026 4:45 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET LostUpCrypto	7.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 12, 2026 5:30 PM
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET LostUpCrypto	4.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 9, 2026 4:45 AM
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET LostUpCrypto	2.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 10, 2026 3:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET LostUpCrypto	1.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 9, 2026 2:31 AM
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET LostUpCrypto	2.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 11, 2026 6:15 PM
Solana Up or Down - January 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET LostUpCrypto	4.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 12, 2026 5:30 PM
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET LostDownCrypto	1.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 11, 2026 4:48 PM
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? LostYesPolitics	0.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 28, 2026 11:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET LostDownCrypto	1.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 7:16 PM
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET LostDownCrypto	2.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 8, 2026 3:01 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET LostDownCrypto	0.8¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 9, 2026 2:15 AM
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET LostUpCrypto	2.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 11, 2026 5:51 PM
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET LostDownCrypto	2.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 11, 2026 6:01 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET LostUpCrypto	5.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 11, 2026 5:45 PM

ArnanSerifat Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

January 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

5-$9.36

Jan 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$9.36

Open-$0.14

High-$0.14

Low-$9.5

Close-$9.5

Open positions0

USD balance$0.37

7$23.4

Jan 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$23.4

Open-$9.5

High$24.8

Low-$12.5

Close$13.9

Open positions2

USD balance$8.86

8-$4.84

Jan 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.84

Open$13.9

High$24.1

Low-$4.55

Close$9.07

Open positions0

USD balance$38.8

9$32.3

Jan 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$32.3

Open$9.07

High$78.5

Low$5.1

Close$41.4

Open positions0

USD balance$71.1

10-$47.5

Jan 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$47.5

Open$41.4

High$41.4

Low-$6.17

Close-$6.17

Open positions0

USD balance$23.6

11-$16

Jan 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$16

Open-$6.17

High-$4.17

Low-$22.2

Close-$22.2

Open positions0

USD balance$7.6

12-$7.61

Jan 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.61

Open-$22.2

High-$22.1

Low-$29.8

Close-$29.8

Open positions0

USD balance$0.01

20-$1.31

Jan 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.31

Open-$29.8

High-$29.8

Low-$32.2

Close-$31.1

Open positions5

USD balance$8.18

21-$6.25

Jan 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$6.25

Open-$31.1

High-$30.9

Low-$40.5

Close-$37.3

Open positions5

USD balance$8.18

22-$2.44

Jan 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.44

Open-$37.3

High-$35.3

Low-$41.5

Close-$39.8

Open positions4

USD balance$8.18

23-$2.43

Jan 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.43

Open-$39.8

High-$38.1

Low-$42.9

Close-$42.2

Open positions4

USD balance$8.18

24-$0.14

Jan 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.14

Open-$42.2

High-$40.8

Low-$43.7

Close-$42.3

Open positions4

USD balance$8.18

25-$1.64

Jan 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.64

Open-$42.3

High-$41.4

Low-$45.3

Close-$44

Open positions4

USD balance$8.18

26$0.36

Jan 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.36

Open-$44

High-$33

Low-$45

Close-$43.6

Open positions4

USD balance$8.18

27$8.57

Jan 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$8.57

Open-$43.6

High$96.5

Low-$46.1

Close-$35.1

Open positions4

USD balance$8.18

28-$14.4

Jan 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$14.4

Open-$35.1

High$27.9

Low-$49.5

Close-$49.5

Open positions1

USD balance$8.18

29-$1

Jan 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1

Open-$49.5

High-$49.5

Low-$50.5

Close-$50.5

Open positions0

USD balance$8.18

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D —7D —30D -$41

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

52.4%

Profit Factor

71.64x

Avg Win

$13

Avg Loss

-$0.2

Total Wins

$143

Total Losses

-$2

Avg. Hold Time

8m 25s

Best Win

$70.3

Solana Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Worst Loss

-$10

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Period

Best Period

$2.27, Jan 21 – Jan 27

Worst Period

-$20.3, Jan 5 – Jan 12

Longest Streak

2d W / 9d L

Current Streak

2d L

Max Drawdown

-$91.9 (-222.0%)

Current DD

-$91.9 (-222.0%)

Max Runup

$50.9 (535.6%)

Rebates

$0.02(1)

Rewards

Yield

ArnanSerifat

Analytics

Analytics

ArnanSerifat

ArnanSerifat

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

ArnanSerifat

Trader DNA

Trader DNA