
Volume
$21K
Txns
395
Traders
89
Fees
$161
Liquidity
$4,138
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market asks whether Zcash's Orchard pool vulnerability publicized June 4 is confirmed to have been exploited on Zcash mainnet before it was fixed. This market resolves "Yes" if Shielded Labs, the Zcash Foundation, or the Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL) explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that the June 4 Zcash Orchard pool vulnerability was exploited on mainnet before the fix was activated by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Explicit confirmation of any of the following will qualify: - The Orchard pool bug was exploited on Zcash mainnet - Any extra, unauthorized, invalid, or unbacked Zcash was created in the Orchard pool through this vulnerability - A Zcash network upgrade, migration, audit, turnstile-accounting process (including the proposed new shielded pool with enforced turnstile accounting on exiting Orchard coins), or official investigation reveals excess or invalid Zcash in the Orchard pool that the source attributes to this specific vulnerability. New or different exploits targeting the Orchard pool after the original vulnerability was fixed are explicitly disqualified and will not qualify. This market will resolve based on official information from Shielded Labs, the Zcash Foundation, or the Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL), however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying exploit may also resolve this market.
Trades
1–25
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
No 63%$0volume
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?
No 72%$0volume
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
Yes 53%$0volume
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026?
Yes 63%$0volume
Over $3.5B crypto hack value in 2026?
No 90%$0volume