
Volume
$165K
Txns
3,532
Traders
542
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if X relaunches Vine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Relaunching Vine" is defined as launching a platform and/or feature that performs similar functions to Vine, and is branded as a "relaunch of Vine" by Elon Musk or X itself. Note - the relaunch must be live and broadly accessible to the public before the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be the Vine platform, as well as official information from Elon Musk and X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | 9... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +24.52 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Ahpo | No / 99.9¢ | +1,097.04 | $1.1K | |
| 6mo | 9... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +24.52 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | 9... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +24.52 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | 50cents | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | 9... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +23.48 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Ahpo | No / 99.4¢ | +333.00 | $331 | |
| 6mo | 0x587D2E9016f53c370eCdFA62Eb16AA5E0B022383-1767273506149 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +333.00 | $2 | |
| 6mo | Disco534 | No / 99.8¢ | +1.03 | $1.03 | |
| 6mo | 9... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.03 | $0 | |
| 6mo | 9... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5.83 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | linux.xx1 | No / 99.6¢ | -21.28 | $21.2 | |
| 6mo | 9... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +29.42 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | 2323234212 | No / 99.8¢ | -219.23 | $219 | |
| 6mo | Ahpo | No / 99.8¢ | +275.76 | $275 | |
| 6mo | Ahpo | No / 98.7¢ | +74.81 | $73.9 | |
| 6mo | linux.xx1 | No / 98.8¢ | -28.71 | $28.4 | |
| 6mo | 9... | Yes / 1.3¢ | +21.28 | $0.28 | |
| 6mo | 9... | Yes / 1.3¢ | +24.82 | $0.32 | |
| 6mo | linux.xx1 | No / 93.8¢ | +50.00 | $46.9 | |
| 6mo | 9... | Yes / 6.1¢ | -65.32 | $3.98 | |
| 6mo | Whylik | Yes / 6.7¢ | +299.83 | $20 | |
| 6mo | Ahpo | No / 93.0¢ | +184.51 | $172 | |
| 6mo | Ahpo | No / 99.0¢ | +12.00 | $11.9 | |
| 6mo | clanker69 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +12.00 | $0.12 |
1–25
Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?
Yes 98%$0volume
Will Elon post "President" on X this week?
No 70%$0volume
Will Elon post "Neuralink" on X this week?
Yes 62%$0volume
Will Elon post "Claude" on X this week?
No 71%$0volume
Will Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times November 8-15?
No 100%$0volume