
Volume
$152K
Txns
9,500
Traders
2,750
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed modeI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.21Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 100%$73.7Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 99%$77.8Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.93 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.62 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.95 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.86 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.09 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -29.24 | $29.2 | |
| 5mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.86 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +52.83 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.03 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +439.00 | $0.44 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.38 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.38 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.22 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.73 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.62 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +682.89 | $0.68 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.53 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.15 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.43 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.59 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +53.94 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.66 | $0.01 |
1–25