
Volume
$5K
Txns
264
Traders
83
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$3,129
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, xAI releases a Diffusion Large Language Model (dLLM). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any xAI dLMM will be considered to be released if it is launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. A Diffusion Large Language Model (dLLM) is any model for which official publicly released documentation, such as a model card, technical paper, or official statements from its developers, clearly identifies diffusion or iterative denoising as a central part of its text-generation or decoding process. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | 0x3CFf61C9A93C80B02081c7859853e701BbF76fBd-1780459443269 | No / 96.4¢ | +8.78 | $8.46 | |
| 3d | 54sfds | Yes / 2.4¢ | -6.42 | $0.15 | |
| 3d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 97.5¢ | +16.20 | $15.8 | |
| 3d | 0xdd501cB6a5FE594571D724e0a5d5b910600DA2e4-1779718070549 | Yes / 2.7¢ | +36.40 | $1.04 | |
| 3d | 54sfds | Yes / 2.5¢ | -5.00 | $0.13 | |
| 5d | Wojtek | Yes / 2.0¢ | +500.00 | $10 | |
| 5d | LuckyPierrot | No / 98.0¢ | +535.00 | $525 | |
| 5d | Lavincey | Yes / 2.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.32 | |
| 5d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 2.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.44 | |
| 5d | sawan4 | Yes / 3.1¢ | +40.00 | $1.24 | |
| 5d | 54sfds | Yes / 3.2¢ | +12.80 | $0.41 | |
| 5d | LuckyPierrot | No / 97.0¢ | +384.36 | $373 | |
| 5d | Wojtek | Yes / 3.0¢ | +288.03 | $8.64 | |
| 5d | Larisita-609 | No / 97.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.85 | |
| 5d | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 3.1¢ | +29.03 | $0.9 | |
| 5d | 54sfds | Yes / 3.2¢ | +9.50 | $0.3 | |
| 5d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 3.4¢ | +5.36 | $0.18 | |
| 5d | Colala | Yes / 3.4¢ | +25.70 | $0.87 | |
| 5d | LLLLLukee | No / 96.6¢ | +31.06 | $30 | |
| 19d | SmokeDrinkPerm | No / 97.0¢ | +11.97 | $11.6 | |
| 19d | Wojtek | Yes / 3.0¢ | +11.97 | $0.36 | |
| 19d | LuckyPierrot | No / 96.0¢ | +300.00 | $288 | |
| 19d | Wojtek | Yes / 4.0¢ | +300.00 | $12 | |
| 22d | Colala | Yes / 4.1¢ | +4.28 | $0.18 | |
| 22d | mrFuture12 | Yes / 3.9¢ | -4.28 | $0.17 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.21Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.85Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 99%$55.6Kvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.87Mvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 91%$968Kvolume