
Volume
$67K
Txns
876
Traders
210
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 1, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Up 100%$0volume
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5?
Down 100%$0volume
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Down 100%$0volume
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Down 100%$0volume
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Up 100%$0volume
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Down 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | pabloyer | No / 99.9¢ | -14.00 | $14 | |
| 6mo | KimWell21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Harrow | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 6mo | KimWell21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | gusant | No / 99.9¢ | -100.30 | $100 | |
| 6mo | KimWell21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.30 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | KimWell21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2,375.59 | $2.38 | |
| 6mo | almondlover9 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,375.59 | $2.38 | |
| 6mo | almondlover9 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +377.53 | $0.76 | |
| 6mo | 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +888.23 | $0.89 | |
| 6mo | Liamyxy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66 | |
| 6mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +4,935.76 | $4.93K | |
| 6mo | WbjMqGrVc | Yes / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes / 0.2¢ | -900.00 | $1.8 | |
| 6mo | 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes / 0.2¢ | -11.70 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | almondlover9 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,411.70 | $2.82 | |
| 6mo | 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.77 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Bearpp | No / 99.9¢ | +11.77 | $11.8 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +93.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +12,711.93 | $12.7K | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +139.00 | $0.14 | |
| 6mo | orin40 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +91.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | WbjMqGrVc | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 |
1–25