
Volume
$390K
Txns
242
Traders
45
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 30, 2025
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2025 scheduled for July 30, 2025. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$23.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$8.38Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 82%$21.8Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 55%$5.15Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 92%$1.81Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 10mo | Descartisan | Yes / 99.9¢ | -452.22 | $452 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,052.22 | $3.05K | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.4¢ | -101.00 | $0.4 | |
| 10mo | rocky42002 | Yes / 99.7¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 10mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.5¢ | +490.97 | $489 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.4¢ | -101.00 | $0.4 | |
| 10mo | perfectnostalgia | Yes / 99.6¢ | -943.97 | $940 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.3¢ | -51.00 | $0.15 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.3¢ | -50.00 | $0.15 | |
| 10mo | Askvaldo | Yes / 99.7¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | Descartisan | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 10mo | Aurik | Yes / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | Descartisan | Yes / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 10mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.5¢ | +7.69 | $7.65 | |
| 10mo | dsk69 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -7.69 | $7.65 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +1,250.00 | $2.5 | |
| 10mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1,250.00 | $1.25K | |
| 10mo | Descartisan | Yes / 99.9¢ | -88.00 | $87.9 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -88.00 | $0.09 | |
| 10mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +88.00 | $87.9 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +88.00 | $0.09 |
1–25