
Volume
$10K
Txns
512
Traders
124
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 12, 2026
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) compared with the same quarter a year ago in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for February 12, 2026, 7:00 AM. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$26.7Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$14.3Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$9.27Mvolume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
No 100%$554Kvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$7.11Mvolume
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$847Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +145.97 | $146 | |
| 4mo | ZXWP | No / 0.1¢ | +145.97 | $0.15 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +56.02 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | spreadmaker7 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +66.02 | $66 | |
| 4mo | mithra13 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9.98 | $9.97 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +9.98 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | mithra13 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | mithra13 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +297.00 | $0.3 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +120.00 | $0.12 | |
| 4mo | proposal123 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +83.00 | $0.08 | |
| 4mo | isiba | No / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +93.00 | $0.09 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +93.00 | $92.9 | |
| 4mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +93.00 | $92.9 | |
| 4mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +93.00 | $92.9 | |
| 4mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +53.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +93.00 | $92.9 | |
| 4mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +93.00 | $92.9 |
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