Will turnout be between 40% and 44% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?

The Irish Presidential Election is scheduled to be held on October 24, 2025. This market will resolve based on the total percentage of all votes cast (total poll) out of the number of people entitled to vote (the total electorate) in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election. Spoiled or invalid votes will still count toward total turnout for the purpose of this market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If voting in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Commission of Ireland (electoralcommission.ie).