Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$746
Txns
97
Traders
26
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$3,695
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$746
Txns
97
Traders
26
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$3,695
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 90.3¢ | -1.34 | $1.21 | |
| 5d | 0x386f84A1684b46E99B488A1f45B5F97e93C3db83-1771535753864 | Yes / 9.4¢ | -1.34 | $0.13 | |
| 5d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 97.3¢ | +1.35 | $1.31 | |
| 5d | Mojito9 | Yes / 2.7¢ | +1.35 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | 0x41C134FE5c8aC0f1EEBf7855B050D75e6a2Af919-1765913752066 | Yes / 0.8¢ | -46.32 | $0.37 | |
| 1mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 0.8¢ | +1.82 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 0.8¢ | +44.50 | $0.36 | |
| 2mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.5¢ | -6.58 | $0.23 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.5¢ | +6.58 | $0.23 | |
| 2mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.5¢ | -4.31 | $0.15 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.5¢ | +4.31 | $0.15 | |
| 2mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.5¢ | -12.60 | $0.44 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.5¢ | +12.60 | $0.44 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.5¢ | +12.60 | $0.44 | |
| 2mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.5¢ | -12.60 | $0.44 | |
| 2mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.15 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.15 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.5¢ | +9.47 | $0.33 | |
| 2mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 3.5¢ | +18.24 | $0.64 | |
| 2mo | 0x386f84A1684b46E99B488A1f45B5F97e93C3db83-1771535753864 | Yes / 3.5¢ | -27.71 | $0.97 | |
| 2mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.7¢ | +10.10 | $0.37 | |
| 2mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 3.7¢ | +6.76 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | nptn | Yes / 3.7¢ | -16.86 | $0.62 | |
| 2mo | nptn | Yes / 11.0¢ | +16.86 | $1.86 | |
| 2mo | 0x386f84A1684b46E99B488A1f45B5F97e93C3db83-1771535753864 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -12.00 | $1.32 |
1–25
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 12, 2026?
No 90%$3.66Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?
Yes 94%$2.61Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?
No 69%$2.73Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 12, 2026?
No 100%$1.35Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 12, 2026?
No 100%$1.25Kvolume
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
No 60%$51.9Kvolume