
Volume
$130K
Txns
1,501
Traders
429
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 28, 2025
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 28, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +8.00 | $7.99 | |
| 1y | NeonGhoul | No / 99.9¢ | -8.00 | $7.99 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 1y | VelvetSpectre | No / 99.9¢ | -7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | OblivionX | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | NeonCipherr | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 1y | MournReaper | No / 99.9¢ | -7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +70.00 | $69.9 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +87.00 | $86.9 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -13.46 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.46 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Flydmail | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +60.00 | $59.9 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 |
1–25
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 99%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 77%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026…
No 97%$0volume
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98%$0volume
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 91%$0volume
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 60%$0volume