Will Trump's approval rating be 45.0% or higher on May 16?
ResolvedVolume
$41K
Txns
1,050
Traders
140
Fees
$0
Ends
May 16, 2025
Volume
$41K
Txns
1,050
Traders
140
Fees
$0
Ends
May 16, 2025
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 16, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | BTC. | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 1y | Lozer | Yes / 99.9¢ | -130.00 | $130 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -130.00 | $0.13 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -239.20 | $0.24 | |
| 1y | lawfulmodel | Yes / 99.9¢ | -239.20 | $239 | |
| 1y | Szty1 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -467.52 | $467 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -467.52 | $0.47 | |
| 1y | Cheeser4001 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -27.50 | $27.5 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -27.50 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | 0x7B6B6FF3B4e5D5B772F77DBFd36CA416156aE20A-1725506989235 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -33.33 | $33.3 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -33.33 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -38.46 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | misterwilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -38.46 | $38.4 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 0.1¢ | +66.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -116.00 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | IoannBrizzie | Yes / 99.4¢ | -180.88 | $180 | |
| 1y | Alicia | Yes / 99.4¢ | +180.88 | $180 | |
| 1y | Alicia | Yes / 99.4¢ | +34.45 | $34.2 | |
| 1y | TheKnightKing | Yes / 99.4¢ | -34.45 | $34.2 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -15.31 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | influenz.eth | No / 0.1¢ | +15.31 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -34.69 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | DjKeingeld | Yes / 99.9¢ | -34.69 | $34.7 |
1–25
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 12, 2026?
No 90%$3.66Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?
Yes 94%$2.61Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?
No 69%$2.73Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 12, 2026?
No 100%$1.35Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 12, 2026?
No 100%$1.25Kvolume
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
No 60%$51.9Kvolume