Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.9% on February 14?
ResolvedVolume
$237K
Txns
1,737
Traders
491
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 14, 2025
Volume
$237K
Txns
1,737
Traders
491
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 14, 2025
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 14, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for February 14 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.27 | $3.27 | |
| 1y | jamespatterson | No / 99.9¢ | -3.27 | $3.27 | |
| 1y | elowarala | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,430.00 | $1.43 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | Yes / 0.1¢ | -547.66 | $0.55 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +882.34 | $881 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | Yes / 0.3¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | Yes / 0.3¢ | -40.34 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.3¢ | +40.34 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.3¢ | +50.66 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | Yes / 0.3¢ | -50.66 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | Yes / 0.3¢ | -50.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.3¢ | +50.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | Yes / 0.3¢ | -1.10 | $0 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1.10 | $0 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.3¢ | +9.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | Yes / 0.3¢ | -9.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | 2hpsatt | No / 99.7¢ | -5.31 | $5.29 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | Yes / 0.3¢ | -5.31 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.3¢ | +10.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | Yes / 0.3¢ | -10.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 0.2¢ | -376.24 | $0.75 | |
| 1y | tirion | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,336.08 | $2 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | Yes / 0.2¢ | -287.68 | $0.58 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | Yes / 0.1¢ | -672.16 | $0.67 |
1–25
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?
Yes 98%$2.98Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?
No 99%$2.85Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 12, 2026?
No 100%$3.75Kvolume
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Down 97%$928volume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 12, 2026?
No 99%$1.38Kvolume
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
No 60%$51.9Kvolume