Will Trump's 538 approval rating be below 45% on February 14?

This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 14, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for February 14 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.