
Volume
$3M
Txns
15,006
Traders
3,176
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or raise rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$16.9Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$9.82Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$5.18Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 90%$17.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 70%$3.53Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$5.62Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | kerimaful | No / 99.9¢ | -32.55 | $32.5 | |
| 9mo | d1k21 | No / 99.9¢ | +32.55 | $32.5 | |
| 9mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | -2,967.76 | $2.96K | |
| 9mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | -4,531.72 | $4.53K | |
| 9mo | ndasmdsam | No / 99.9¢ | -3,676.00 | $3.67K | |
| 9mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | -2,810.71 | $2.81K | |
| 9mo | d1k21 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,300.00 | $1.3K | |
| 9mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +15,286.19 | $15.3K | |
| 9mo | ndasmdsam | No / 99.9¢ | -925.12 | $924 | |
| 9mo | classified | Yes / 0.1¢ | -925.12 | $0.93 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,602.00 | $1.6 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.00 | $0.02 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +841.09 | $0.84 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +52.00 | $0.05 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.00 | $0.05 | |
| 9mo | aviato | No / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 9mo | ndasmdsam | No / 99.9¢ | -5,277.91 | $5.27K | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +682.00 | $0.68 | |
| 9mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,464.00 | $1.46 | |
| 9mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | bigbabytape | No / 99.9¢ | +57.72 | $57.7 | |
| 9mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +16.91 | $0.02 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +28.81 | $0.03 |
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