
Volume
$34K
Txns
384
Traders
110
Fees
$0
Ends
May 12, 2025
Donald Trump has scheduled an event about drug prices on May 12 (see https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-big-announcement-medicare-drug-pricing-plan/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the main speech Trump gives at this event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 13 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Trades
Will Lionel Messi attend UFC Freedom 250?
No 100%$629Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
No 100%$375Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Yes 100%$557Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
No 100%$226Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 91%$39.6Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$5.24Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Alphie | Yes / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 1y | LBZone | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11,067.64 | $11.1K | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.1¢ | +992.48 | $984 | |
| 1y | Esalon | No / 0.2¢ | +12,060.12 | $20 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +43.36 | $43.3 | |
| 1y | dumdumdaaam | Yes / 99.9¢ | +956.64 | $956 | |
| 1y | salope | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | dumdumdaaam | Yes / 99.9¢ | +12.50 | $12.5 | |
| 1y | WLE05 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -12.50 | $12.5 | |
| 1y | Maserder | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.86 | $10.8 | |
| 1y | dumdumdaaam | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.86 | $10.8 | |
| 1y | NoHigherLimit | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | dumdumdaaam | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +30.00 | $29.7 | |
| 1y | Scemer | Yes / 99.0¢ | -30.00 | $29.7 | |
| 1y | axanet | Yes / 99.0¢ | -5.26 | $5.21 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +5.26 | $5.21 | |
| 1y | J.Thomas | Yes / 99.0¢ | -89.75 | $88.9 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +89.75 | $88.9 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +60.91 | $60.3 | |
| 1y | SkyRocket | Yes / 99.0¢ | -20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 1y | 0xE21e700eF23Ab6103ff06B6C5767F3657ccD4D48-1737013029135 | No / 1.0¢ | +40.91 | $0.41 | |
| 1y | lissartter | No / 5.0¢ | +14.73 | $0.74 | |
| 1y | 0xE21e700eF23Ab6103ff06B6C5767F3657ccD4D48-1737013029135 | No / 1.0¢ | +59.09 | $0.59 |
1–25