Volume
$479
Txns
21
Traders
13
Fees
$5
Liquidity
$863
Ends
Jul 4, 2026
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a keynote address at the "Tribute to America" Independence Day celebration in Washington, D.C., on July 4, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116817366986980714). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the "Tribute to America" Independence Day address scheduled for July 4, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Trades
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?
Yes 93%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
No 80%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
No 76%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
No 83%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 93%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?
No 93%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3m | Jamieeee | Yes / 53.0¢ | -93.47 | $49.5 | |
| 3m | -Motionless- | Yes / 54.0¢ | +93.47 | $50.5 | |
| 18h | badatthis | Yes / 53.0¢ | +2.60 | $1.38 | |
| 18h | 0xd0496d05595247dd3d1f8c66558e634d791269d | No / 47.0¢ | +2.60 | $1.25 | |
| 19h | Muskizin | Yes / 58.0¢ | +3.62 | $2.14 | |
| 19h | 0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b | Yes / 58.0¢ | -3.62 | $2.1 | |
| 19h | Yorteil | No / 47.0¢ | +21.28 | $10.2 | |
| 19h | badatthis | Yes / 53.0¢ | +21.28 | $11.3 | |
| 1d | Jamieeee | Yes / 54.0¢ | +43.48 | $23.5 | |
| 1d | kirit4 | No / 46.0¢ | +43.48 | $20.4 | |
| 1d | 0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b | Yes / 70.0¢ | +40.00 | $28 | |
| 1d | Ewgeny | No / 30.0¢ | +40.00 | $12.3 | |
| 1d | Jefferyep77 | No / 30.0¢ | +10.00 | $3.08 | |
| 1d | 0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b | Yes / 70.0¢ | +10.00 | $7 | |
| 1d | 0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b | Yes / 56.0¢ | +11.36 | $6.47 | |
| 1d | 0x8e31...0e30b1 | No / 44.0¢ | +11.36 | $5 | |
| 1d | controls | No / 43.0¢ | +172.00 | $74 | |
| 1d | 0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b | Yes / 57.0¢ | +192.00 | $111 | |
| 1d | Slackjaw | No / 43.0¢ | +20.00 | $8.6 | |
| 2d | Jamieeee | Yes / 57.0¢ | +50.00 | $29 | |
| 2d | controls | No / 43.0¢ | +50.00 | $21.5 |
1–21