
Volume
$50K
Txns
1,179
Traders
393
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 4, 2025
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech at an Independence Day celebration on July 4. You can find more information on that here: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word comprised of two full words in common usage will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the main speech Trump gives at the named event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Trades
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
No 100%$375Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Yes 100%$557Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
No 100%$386Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
No 100%$226Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$5.21Mvolume
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
No 100%$117Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.7¢ | -36.00 | $0.25 | |
| 11mo | SqPeg | No / 99.4¢ | -46.00 | $45.7 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 11mo | cowcat | No / 99.9¢ | +2,560.00 | $2.56K | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.73 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | Bugz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -45.73 | $0.06 | |
| 11mo | sdd1123 | No / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 11mo | Xanderohh | No / 99.1¢ | -10.00 | $9.91 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.9¢ | -10.00 | $0.09 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.9¢ | -26.14 | $0.24 | |
| 11mo | sdd1123 | No / 99.2¢ | +10.00 | $9.92 | |
| 11mo | DiamondG332 | No / 99.1¢ | -36.14 | $35.8 | |
| 11mo | 0x203437b3B58cdB88259C02E65C64D2A68d1F9e14-1750748365096 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -275.00 | $0.28 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +275.00 | $0.28 | |
| 11mo | badatthis | No / 99.0¢ | -675.00 | $668 | |
| 11mo | 0xdc3E831cad | No / 99.0¢ | +675.00 | $668 | |
| 11mo | lfgwagmi | Yes / 1.0¢ | -70.00 | $0.7 | |
| 11mo | badatthis | No / 99.0¢ | -70.00 | $69.3 | |
| 11mo | St3f | Yes / 1.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | badatthis | No / 99.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 11mo | 0x203437b3B58cdB88259C02E65C64D2A68d1F9e14-1750748365096 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +180.00 | $7.2 | |
| 11mo | Bertapotamous | No / 96.0¢ | +208.00 | $200 | |
| 11mo | tix-001 | No / 96.0¢ | -28.00 | $26.9 |
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