Volume
$3K
Txns
168
Traders
54
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 4, 2025
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" in Washington on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (see https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/president-trump-to-light-national-christmas-tree-thursday-expect-these-road-closures/4023736/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Trades
Will Lionel Messi attend UFC Freedom 250?
No 99%$629Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
No 100%$375Kvolume
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
No 100%$230Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
No 100%$226Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 91%$39.6Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
No 71%$138Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | AAALovesTakaichi | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 6mo | Do1 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 6mo | AAALovesTakaichi | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.56 | $2.56 | |
| 6mo | 0x76Fb4282CE8B0e2828B2c34288886F6A04f01666-1764268903977 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.56 | $2.56 | |
| 6mo | ClownPagliacci | Yes / 99.9¢ | +150.00 | $150 | |
| 6mo | 0xRocket666 | No / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 6mo | 0x2d412b38b83f1dF0F44Bf434b3A1cFe6956de6FD-1764690215424 | Yes / 99.1¢ | -20.28 | $20.1 | |
| 6mo | RevengeBoarn | Yes / 99.1¢ | +20.28 | $20.1 | |
| 6mo | 4... | No / 0.2¢ | +12.45 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | BlondBeast | Yes / 99.8¢ | +12.45 | $12.4 | |
| 6mo | irinanitu | No / 0.7¢ | +120.00 | $0.88 | |
| 6mo | RevengeBoarn | Yes / 99.1¢ | +76.34 | $75.7 | |
| 6mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +22.00 | $22 | |
| 6mo | milize | No / 0.8¢ | -21.66 | $0.17 | |
| 6mo | AlterKanye | Yes / 99.0¢ | -61.29 | $60.7 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +61.29 | $60.7 | |
| 6mo | 4... | No / 1.0¢ | +6.58 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | 4... | No / 4.0¢ | +8.73 | $0.35 | |
| 6mo | rocketcrypto | No / 1.0¢ | +12.00 | $0.12 | |
| 6mo | 4... | No / 3.0¢ | +9.71 | $0.29 | |
| 6mo | GreenYoshi | No / 4.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.8 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 97.7¢ | +124.80 | $122 | |
| 6mo | 4... | No / 1.0¢ | +9.93 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | 4... | No / 2.0¢ | +7.85 | $0.16 | |
| 6mo | zippa | No / 2.0¢ | +50.00 | $1 |
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